Category: Uncategorized

Gonna keep this one short and simple.

The blog picks went 6-6 last week but I went 3-1 on Sunday. That’s 9-7 in Week 1 for any of you English majors.

It was a pleasure to see the SEC Insider, which may or not be any one of us, finish with a winning week.

The Prem League Advisor is off to a hot start of 0-2 this blog season. Now, this person is betting against Ed Sheeran on Saturday. Let’s see how that goes.

And I’m glad to have Insider Dash joining us. His 6-leg ATTD parlay went 3/6. They’re not all gonna hit. But you better not miss it when it does.

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Where Griff was WRONG in Week 1:

Abilene Christian at Texas Tech -42.5 – “I believe they will do everything in their power to win this game by 100 points. All we need is 43.” – Tech only won by 23. The Toretto is now 1-1 on the season.

Oklahoma State -13.5 at Tulsa – “OSU has all the North Texas guys from last year, including coach and QB. The Mean Green were a fan favorite of this blog last season. I’m hoping the trend carries over.” – (Tommy Wiseau voice) It did naht. OSU lost 24-10.

Where Griff was RIGHT in Week 1:

Bryant at Army -36.5 – “Respect the troops.” – We do and we will. Army won 59-3.

FIU +14.5 at South Florida – “People forget that Brian Hartline is the head coach of USF.” – People forgot, but not us. USF won 19-9.

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Let’s get to the picks.

Last week: 9-7 / Since 2022: 380-361-10

Dominic Toretto’s “Take it or leave it” Pick of the Week (Overall: 24-24-1): Louisiana Tech at LSU -35.5 – I’m riding the Lane-train.

Rutgers at Boston College -3 – “Red Bandana” game. On 9/11. Rutgers just lost a game, and $1.5M, to UMass. What else do you need to know?

Oklahoma 1H -3 at Michigan – The 5.5 full game line is just weird. Oklahoma looked awesome in Week 1. Michigan…………………………………………………………..Point is, this line is fishy. Why isn’t Oklahoma favored by more? Sure, it’s at the Big House, but we all saw how Michigan played. There’s a lot of talk about Michigan’s backup QB, CJ Carr’s little brother. Idk how the game ends, but Underwood is gonna play like shit, get pulled, and maybe the Carr kid gives TTUN a boost in the second half. Or maybe I’m way overthinking this. Fade me.

Penn State -23.5 at Temple – I picked them to make the CFP before the season started. I’m choosing to believe last week was not a mirage.

Old Dominion at Virginia Tech -19.5 – James Franklin can’t win the big one, but he’s still a good coach who wins games he’s supposed to win. VT won 73-3 last week against a shitty FCS team. I don’t know what kind of team ODU is, but they’re not “the big one.”

Washington State at Kansas State -19.5 – I think Colin Klein might actually know what he’s doing. He helped make Texas A&M a good offense and now he’s doing it at his alma mater. KSU won 71-3 last week (against Nicholls(???)). WSU covered against Washington, but that’s a rivalry game. It mattered more. This one doesn’t.

USF at Army -3.5 – Respect the troops.

Utah State at Washington -26.5 – I think Washington will look like a top 25 team in this game. Again, last week was a rivalry game and WSU had all offseason to plan for that game. Washington still won by 14. Utah State lost to Idaho State last week. I don’t know what that really means for us, but I don’t think it’s good for Utah State. This will be an easy cover.

Rice at Notre Dame -44.5 – Prove it.

San Diego State at UCLA -11.5 – I watched almost the whole UCLA-Cal game last week. UCLA is legit. Not “threat to make the playoff” legit, but “yeah, we can beat SDSU by at least 12 points” legit.

Ohio State +1.5 at Texas – I’m a B1G guy.

Iowa Sate +14 at Iowa – Since 2011 (14 games), this game has been decided by more than 14 points just one time (Iowa won 42-3 in 2016).

North Dakota State at Air Force +2.5 – I read this article and am convinced that Air Force will win this game. TLDR; NDSU hasn’t played in the western time zone since 2024 and haven’t played this late (10 p.m. ET) since 2024 at Colorado. I think they’re a fun story: 2-0 in their first year in the FBS. But they don’t have any teams like Air Force (or Navy or Army) in the FCS. This will be an early “welcome to the FBS” moment for the Bison.

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SEC Insider Picks of the Weekend

Last week: 2-1 / Since 2022: 80-85-3

*the following is verbatim*

Never listen to the mainstream bias. Weinberg may be on to something with that. That Georgia team was always going to cover after everyone ran with that stat. Winning week none the less. Gosh is it good to be back.

Mouth Watering Pick of the Week (6-8 in 2025 / 20-22-1 overall): Ohio State at Texas -1.5 –
I don’t just like it, I love it. Sark has to get this all right eventually, right? Too much money and resources not too [sic]. I think they really upgraded in personnel and coaching this year. Muschamp is one of the best in the business. Julian Sayin is too nebbish to go into this environment and win.

Tennessee -12.5 at Georgia Tech – I think this GT team is bad? [sic] Why [sic] because I think that Colorado team that beat this [sic] is horrific and some how came away with a victory. Vols offense is too much for GT. Vols be [sic] 2+ scores. (Editor’s note: 2+ scores could be 9 points)

Oklahoma -5.5 at Michigan – This Michigan team is bad. What an embarrassment to storm the field after sneaking away with one against a mid-major. Venables [sic] defense should give Underwood fits. This Oklahoma team can compete for the SEC. B1G might be overrated this year. Boomer.

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Insider Dash’s Prop-aganda Parlay of the Week

2026 record: 0-1/$10 bettor = -$10

*the following is verbatim*

CJ Baxter (Kentucky) – 50+ rushing yards / Daniel Hill (Alabama) – 40+ rushing yards / Avery Johnson (Kansas State) – 300+ passing+rushing yards / Jeremiah Smith (tOSU) – 60+ receiving yards = +1491 on Draft Kings ($10 to win $159)

This is a lock. Do you like money? Good. Take this.

#YitYat

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Prem League Advisor Pick of the Weekend

2026 record: 0-2 / Since 2023: 13-15

*the following is verbatim*

Crystal Palace ML -115 vs. Ipswich Town

(Editor’s note: Ed Sheeran is a minority owner in Ipswich Town, for whatever that may mean to you)

I’m blind. Not seeing the ball well. May have lost it, but still I show up. Palace at home and have beaten Ipswich in 5 straight meetings. I watched palace [sic] last week and they can score. Hoping CP can pull through in a high scoring affair[.]

There’s nothing better than this.

Not necessarily the slate of games we have in Week 1, but pulling up whichever app you use to look at all the games you bet on before the games begin.

Just staring at it.

Gazing.

Glazing.

Bet-bating.

There is no better feeling in the world than what we get to experience right now.

It’s like getting two strokes on every hole for a golf match then shooting a double bogey that turns into a par to win that hole to go from ‘Down 8’ to ‘Down 7’ in match play then tossing your putter like you’re Blockie. It’s tough when you get no help from your playing partner (shrug emoji).

It’s like every morning when I wake up, I only open my left eye and it takes about 20 minutes for my right eye to open, but on days like this, I wake up with both eyes open, ready to attack the day.

It’s like looking at the big Spiderman tattoo on my back+shoulder in the mirror and thinking, “Gahh-damn right I did that.”

Cherish this moment: the first football betting board of the calendar year. Take a little extra time to look at the bets you made before the games begin. Don’t soak. Just soak it in.

I’m excited for another year with the SEC Insider’s picks. He/She/They/Ze went 1-2 in Week 0, but that’s OK because Week 0 is not real (show us yuh tootsies, Insiduh!).

The return of the Prem League Advisor, also 0-1 in Week 0, is coming off a tough 2025 season (5-7). But we need those picks to kickstart our Saturdays. Nothing better than starting the day with a win before you even wake up.

And we have a new addition to the blog this year: Insider Dash’s Prop-aganda Parlay of the Week. Everybody knows our friendly neighborhood Dasher. The guy racked up half of my yearly salary in the month of June alone. Dash will be supplying a player prop parlay for every Saturday slate of games. Prayers to the players and their DM’s if they don’t hit their leg of the parlay.

Let’s get to the picks.

Last week: 1-0 / In 2025: 116-110-6 / Since 2022: 371-354-10

Dominic Toretto’s “Take it or leave it” Pick of the Week (In 2025: 6-10 / Overall: 24-23-1): Abilene Christian at Texas Tech -42.5 – I believe they will do everything in their power to win this game by 100 points. All we need is 43.

ECU at Alabama -27.5 – Tailing the SEC Insider.

North Texas at Indiana -40.5 – This is the largest spread Cig has had at IU, but the Hoosiers have won seven (7) games by at least 41 points in his 22 regular season games. I think he feels some of the lack of respect being thrown around and wants to prove a point in game one (1).

Bryant at Army -36.5 – Respect the troops.

Ball State +50.5 at Ohio State – The Buckeyes play at Texas next week. They don’t need to run up the score in this one.

Tennessee State +46.5 at Georgia – Tailing the SEC Insider.

Texas State at Texas -29.5 – Texas wins by 35. They need all the momentum they can get before tOSU game.

Furman at Tennessee -47.5 – Josh Heupel is 3-1 ATS when favored by 40 points or more at Tenn. They’re not afraid of running up the score.

Oklahoma State -13.5 at Tulsa – OSU has all the North Texas guys from last year, including coach and QB. The Mean Green were a fan favorite of this blog last season. I’m hoping the trend carries over.

FIU +14.5 at South Florida – People forget that Brian Hartline is the head coach of USF.

Clemson at LSU -10 – If Brian Kelly were still coaching LSU, this line would make sense and I would hammer Clemson. But it’s 2026. Get with the times.

UCLA -2.5 at California – The Mainstream Bias Pick of the Week. It feels like everyone is on UCLA with the JMU coach now there and Nico is being talked about as a bounce back candidate.

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SEC Insider Picks of the Weekend

Last week: 1-2 / 2025 record: 23-23 / Since 2022: 78-84-3

*the following is verbatim*

Let’s forget Week 0 ever happened eh? Hand up, we’re 0-3 last weekend if that Stanford scoop n score [sic] doesn’t happen. Talk about a bad beat. Season starts this week as far as I’m concerned. All SEC card for all the haters and loser [sic] (of which, sadly, there are many!)

Mouth Watering Pick of the Week (6-8 in 2025 / 20-21-1 overall): Tennessee State +46.5 at Georgia – Georgia just does not cover these big spreads under Kirby Smart. Isn’t there a running clock at a certain deficit now too? Kirby won’t run it up and they’ll look to play a bunch of guys to get them live looks.

ECU at Alabama -27.5 – Getting Bama to win by 4 scores feel like a lay-up [sic] here. Love the Tide’s new QB Keelon Russell and think they will be explosive offensively. Defense should be somewhat stout to [sic]. ECU feels like on [sic] of those schools where the best guys get plucked in the [sic] off season. Tide roll[.]

Clemson at LSU -10 – Has there ever been a more anticipated debut for a head coach? Does anyone need the season to start more than Lane Kiffin? Death Valley should be rocking and fortunately, I think the game has passed Dabo by. I think LSU wins by 14-20. Lane needs this one bad.

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Insider Dash’s Prop-aganda Parlay of the Week

*the following is verbatim*

6-leg ATTD scorer (+637 ((used my 50% on DK to make it +956)):

Kewan Lacy – Ole Miss
Isaac Brown – Louisville
Daniel Hill – Alabama
Cam Coleman – Texas
Carson Hansen – Penn State
Jordan Marshall – Michigan

First of all, what an absolute honor and privilege it is to have a feature spot on the greatest blog north of Wisconsin.

Does this parlay really need an explanation? I’m taking the best player on each of these teams to score.

$100 —> $1,000

#YitYat

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Prem League Advisor Pick of the Weekend

2025 record: 5-7 / Since 2023: 13-14

*the following is verbatim*

3 leg SGP (-125 on DK): Man City -1.5 + Over 2.5 Total Goals + Over .5 First Half Goals

First team officially dead to me this year is Coventry. They got mauled by the tigers (IYKYK)

This should be a blood bath. This is basically me taking Man City -2.5. I expect a 3-0 or 4-0 win for City at home. From watching Coventry this year I have them relegated by Christmas. City handled Palace fairly easy last week, this seems free.

I’ve changed.

Since the conclusion of the 2025 CFB season, I’ve become a National Champion. HOO- HOO- HOO- woulda thought that was possible two (2) years ago. Curt Cignetti has me close to believing in God. CLOSE.

I’m a proud B1G grad, but now that I have a legitimate football program to root for, I’ve become a more staunch defender of the best conference in college sports. This is bad news for the (anonymous) SEC Insider, who is coming off his/her/their/thems worst season since this journey started.

I’ve had sex (not the first time).

I got promoted to full-time anchor/producer at TV6 about three (3) months ago. Not everyone is happy about that. Being an anchor/producer means many things, including, but not limited to: generally having a set time when I arrive to and leave work, a consistent sleep schedule, having Gen Z reporters say things to me that go something like, “Bro, I think I’m cooked on this story I’m working on,” whilst wearing pre-owned Generation 2 AirPods in both ears, and not having to drive 2.5 hours multiple days a week to report on a story that makes me want to get slapped in the face after I’m done.

Some things haven’t changed.

I still (probably) make less money than a janitor at Walmart (no offense to Walmart but Meijer has better Granny Smith apples).

I still can’t hit my P-wedge 150 straight towards the hole.

I still have a winning record in CFB picks since this blog started in 2022 (370-354-10).

And I still have the SEC Insider and Prem League Advisor along with me for another year.

But I don’t think the year really starts this week. I still don’t believe Week 0 (zero) is the actual start of the college football season. Just for the record though: teams playing in Week 0: B1G – 1, SEC -0. The SEC can’t handle Week 0 I guess (shrug emoji).

I know jack shit about the teams that are playing Saturday. So I’m not gonna do extra research for a fake slate of college football. I did my due diligence on two games: the Ireland game (TCU vs. North Carolina) and San Jose State at USC. The trends from the Ireland game told me to take the UNDER. I refuse to take the UNDER for my first bet of the year.

That leaves us with one (1) true pick for Week 0 along with some futures I really like. Let’s get to the picks.

*Editor’s note: I get all my odds from DraftKings

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Last week: 0-0 / In 2025: 116-110-6 / Since 2022: 370-354-10

Dominic Toretto’s “Take it or leave it” Pick of the Week (In 2025: 6-10 / Overall: 23-23-1): San Jose St at USC OVER 59.5: Since Lincoln Riley took over in 2022, in six (6) games played the last weekend of August and the first weekend of September with a total of at least 59.5 points, the OVER in USC’s games are 5-1.

Futures

Penn State to make the CFP +320: This is great value. They only went to shit last year because they lost faith in James Franklin. Matt Campbell is a good coach. Rocco Becht is a good QB. Beaver Stadium is still a hard place to play in. Looking at their schedule, the only games that give me real pause (pause) are vs. USC and at Michigan. I don’t see why they can’t win 10 games.

Bama o8.5 wins -125: They’ve won 9 and 10 regular season games in Deboer’s first two years. I see surefire losses against Georgia and Texas A&M. One more blemish and this number still hits.

LSU o8.5 wins -115: There are plenty of reasons why this does not hit. There are also obvious reasons why this should. Brian Kelly was an unlikable dick. Lane Kiffin is at least likable.

Indiana o10.5 wins +105: What do you expect from me?

Michigan State o4.5 +130: I don’t know anything about MSU football this season except that Pat Fitzgerald is now the coach. Remember him? The guy who made Northwestern a relevant football program (and some other alleged stuff that may or may not have happened)? I see wins four home wins vs. Toledo, Eastern Michigan, Northwestern and Washington and one more at Rutgers.

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SEC Insider Picks of the Weekend

Last week: 0-0 / 2025 record: 23-23 / Since 2022: 77-82-3

*the following is verbatim*

The wait is finally over. We get a little taste of some middle tier college football this weekend.

Everyone has written me and my beloved SEC off. Can we adjust to this new age of CFB? Time will tell. Fade-away knuckleheads

Mouth Watering Pick of the Week (6-8 in 2025 / 20-21-1 overall): N/A (just like the beers he/she/they probably drinks)

Hawaii at Stanford -4 – Plain and simple, you fade the Rainbow Warriors when they leave the big island. Especially early in the season.

New Mexico State at Florida State -30.5 – Norvell needs to make some noise this year. I think he needs to run it up in these no-name games. I’ve actually heard some positive things from those close to the program at FSU. Noles big.

Memphis at UNLV -4.5 – Point blank period, better coach, better talent. Give me Dan Mullen all day over first year head coach Charles Huff. Anyone remember SEC/B1G reject Air Noland? If he starts for Memphis my mouth may start watering on this one…

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Prem League Advisor Pick of the Weekend

2025 record: 5-7 / Since 2023: 13-13

*the following is verbatim*

Coventry ML -115 vs. Hull City

We’re backkkkkkkkkkkkk. The prem advisor is already an informal 1-0 from last weekend’s Arsenal -1.5 bet (Premium members only pick) and we’re ready for a formal 1-0 start this weekend. This seems like a great spot. Coventry lost 3-0 to Arsenal in the opener last weekend and Hull surprised a lot of people with a 2-0 victory over United in their opener. Coventry at home, the books know something. This is one of those spots you just trust the bookmakers on. Hull comes back down to reality and Coventry secures their first victory as a new member of the premier league this season.

I placed some futures in my Week 1 blog. There was more bad than good…

Ohio State: under 10.5 wins (-140): “Kinda shocked it was -140 to the under. I thought I would be a contrarian with this pick. They went all in last season, Last Dance-style, and it worked but the follow-up is usually underwhelming in these situations. I think they lose three games.” – Big miss.

Penn State: over 10.5 wins (-105): “They’re trying to be this year’s Buckeyes. They plucked DC Jim Knowles from Columbus, Allar is back, they got a bunch of dudes who returned instead of going to the draft. Everyone doubted Ryan Day the same way they are doubting James Franklin. I’m not going to ignore the similarities. Not picking them to win it all, but if their only loss is to tOSU, they hit this number.” – B1G miss.

Indiana: over 8.5 win (+100): “I got to.” – B1G hit.

Vanderbilt: under 5.5 wins (-125): “Last year was cute. Everyone has the book on Pavia and Co. now. Vandy is going back to the shitter of the SEC.” – That didn’t turn out well.

Alabama: over 9.5 wins (-120): “Even after last year, they’re still Alabama. Deboer gets his OC Ryan Grubb back, who he worked with at Washington when Penix was the QB. The Bama QB Simpson has been riding the pine for two years and got a chance to learn Deboer’s system. It wouldn’t shock me if they go 12-0.” – 10-2 (as of now) but we’ll take that!

Now to last week’s games…

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Where Griff was WRONG:

Miami (FL) at Pitt +7: “I’m going to keep riding the ‘Duz Cruise.’ The only game Pitt has not covered since switching QBs was against Notre Dame, the game Narduzzi said didn’t matter. Miami will lose, Notre Dame will win their game, making things easier on the CFP Committee.” – Miami won 38-7.

UAB at Tulsa -9.5: “UAB is bad vibes. They got guys stabbing their own teammates, only 3-8 ATS and they haven’t covered in four straight…Feel free to fade, but it’s trouble in paradise for the Blazers.” – UAB won 31-24.

LSU at Oklahoma -10: “I’m not sure how LSU is gonna score in this game. They’re averaging 15 ppg since BK got fired. Now, I don’t think Oklahoma puts up a lot of points either. Also, I’m too much of a pussy to take the UNDER 36.5. But Oklahoma will win 24-9.” – Should’ve taken the under. OU won 17-13.

Where Griff was RIGHT:

Texas A&M at Texas +2.5: “…I think Texas A&M has not been tested by a complete team since playing Notre Dame more than two months ago. Texas is not complete. But they are more capable than the rest of the shit fucks the Aggies have been playing the last couple months.” – Texas won 27-17.

Cincinnati at TCU -3.5: “The Cardiac Cats are in full-on cardiac arrest. Losers of 3 straight, SU and ATS. UC fans will be calling for Scott Satterfield’s job again this offseason.” – TCU won 45-23.

Virginia Tech at Virginia -8.5: “It’s not the James Franklin era yet. I think UVA has a little chip on their shoulder, too…Virginia was +5.5 at Duke last week and won 34-17. I think they feel disrespected by that line…Virginia wins 31-11.” – Virginia did win by 20 points, 27-7.

Now, let’s get to this week’s picks.

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Last week: 12-12 / In 2025: 114-103-6 / Since 2022: 368-347-10

Dominic Toretto’s “Take it or leave it” Pick of the Week (In 2025: 5-10 / Overall: 22-23-1): B1G: Indiana +4 vs OSU (in Indianapolis, IN) – You thought.

Sun Belt: Troy at James Madison -23.5 – The Dukes need all the style points they can get.

Conference USA: Kennesaw State at Jacksonville State +2.5 – Jax State is 5-0 SU and 4-1 ATS at home this season. They already beat Kennesaw State this season, on November 15th, 35-26. I don’t know anything else about these teams.

AAC: North Texas -2.5 at Tulane – This blog has enjoyed the fruits of betting on the Mean Green for a while now. I’m not stopping now.

Mountain West: UNLV +4.5 at Boise State – Another game I don’t know anything about. Boise has beaten UNLV 9 straight times, including earlier this season in Boise, 56-31. Both teams are 5-1 ATS this year. Whatever.

Big 12: BYU vs Texas Tech -12.5 (in Arlington, TX) – Like North Texas, I just can’t turn away from betting on TTU. They have covered every game that QB Behren Morten has started. Why will it change this week?

MAC: Miami (OH) +2.5 vs Western Michigan (in Detroit, MI) – Love and Honor. Since 2005, in this conference championship game, dawgs are 14-5-1 ATS.

SEC: Georgia vs Alabama +2.5 (in Atlanta, GA) – Kirby has a Bama problem (1-7 SU and 3-5 ATS vs the Tide). Georgia didn’t even wanna be in this game either. Playing in the SEC Championship feels like a punishment. Bama wants to be here.

ACC: Duke vs Virginia -3.5 (in Charlotte, NC) – I like where my head was at with Virginia last week: they’re playing like they’ve been disrespected all year. Hypothetically, Duke winning would be funny because it means the ACC would probably be left out of the playoff. Realistically, Duke is not going to win, or cover. Virginia wins by two touchdowns.

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SEC Insider Picks of the Weekend

Last week: 2-1 / 2025 record: 22-20 / Since 2022: 76-79-3

*the following is verbatim*

One last dance. All of the marbles on the line. All you fuckers counted us out. It got so bad that the Advisor and I were trying to figure out ways to kill ourselves off of this blog. Griff even threatened to expose our identity if we didn’t shape up. We scratched, we clawed. Now we have a chance to go out as winners, or [sic] atleast as .500 bettors…

Mouth Watering Pick of the Week (6-7 in 2025 / 20-20-1 overall): Kennesaw State at Jacksonville State +2.5 – “What’s better than a home team getting points?” – Brent Musburger. I love this Jacksonville State team. They say it’s hard to beat the same team twice. That theory be damned. Cocks win The C-USA Title.

Miami (OH) +2.5 vs Western Michigan – Miami topped Western Michigan back in October. New QB at the [sic] healm for the Red Hawks. Same result incoming. 3rd straight MAC Championship for Miami. Do they start to build the statue for Coach Chuck Martin when he brings this one home?

Georgia -2.5 vs Alabama – As I’ve always said, it’s hard to beat the same team twice. Kirby Smart is 3-0 when facing a team for the 2nd time in a season. both teams are banged up. I’ve been down on Georgia but looking back, Bama played damn near perfect to beat them the first go round. Dawgs.

Ohio State -4 vs Indiana – I just think the Buckeyes have more horses here on both sides of the ball. This should be a great game but at the end of the day, defense wins championships. Buckeyes D should slow down the O and the Buckeyes O should score plenty. I’m not buying the distractions with Hartline leaving. Ryan Day is too good of a coach to let that happen.

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Prem League Advisor Pick of the Weekend

2025 record: 5-6 / Since 2023: 13-12

*the following is verbatim*

Liverpool ML -120

Now most people would say, “Well since AI picked a winner last week, let’s go back to AI.” Let me tell you something, run from AI, build hard skills, escape the matrix, it’s a bubble.

Anyway, Liverpool has been garbage recently and I think we are getting some value here. Leeds is on my “Never bet again” list so this is a perfect storm. Let’s get 3 in a row and end the season strong

I’m THANKFUL for many things this year.

For Joe Burrow, telling the haters and losers to “Kiss-my-anthia” and delivering the Bengals a Thanksgiving win over the Ravens (h/t the defense).

For Labatt Blue, the beer I consumed while sitting at Remie’s Tavern after working 8.5 long, hard, strenuous hours on Thanksgiving Day.

For 4-wheel drive, for which our company cars are equipped with that allowed me to navigate my way through a literal blizzard the last two days while still finding a way to do my job.

For snow tires, for which my 2016 Toyota Corolla is now equipped with that makes traversing through 10-15 inches of snow and 55 mph winds much easier.

For myself, for not turning into Edward Snowed-in in the midst of an actual fucking blizzard.

For this blog, for providing all of you a total record of 15-6-1 on picks last week (h/t SEC Insider going 3-0 and Prem League Advisor going 1-0).

And for reflection, for which we must do in order to keep improving as people, and as gamblers…

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Where Griff was WRONG:

Louisville +2.5 at SMU: “Weird line alert…SMU by a field goal is too easy. Louisville is also 3-0 ATS on the road this year.” – SMU won 38-6.

Kansas +4.5 at Iowa State: “Jayhawks are 3-0 ATS vs Iowa State each of the last three seasons. Kansas was dawgs each game…This game is a pickem in my book.” – Iowa State won 38-14.

Kansas State at Utah -17.5: “KSU had a moment of redemption for a couple weeks but it’s all gone now…Utah has won three straight games by a combined 104 points. Don’t be afraid to take the OVER 51.5 either.” – Shoulda taken the over. Utah won 51-47.

Where Griff was RIGHT:

Illinois at Wisconsin +8.5: “I’m betting on the Badgers to pull off another upset at home. Moneyline is probably the play.” – Wisconsin won 27-10.

Pitt +2.5 at Georgia Tech: “This one does matter to Pitt. Let’s see if Narduzzi can back up his words.” – Pitt won 42-28.

Baylor at Arizona -7: “I love betting against Baylor. They’re now 2-8 ATS…Some may see this as a letdown game for Arizona after taking down UC in Nippert Stadium. That makes me laugh out loud. This offseason, UC fans were shitting on the program and Coach Satterfield. No one expected the Cats to be good this year. The only thing that was confirmed last week was that UC is who we thought they were: frauds. Arizona is playing good ball. Take them.” – Arizona won 41-17.

*BONUS – BYU -2.5 at Cincinnati: “Please read what I wrote about UC regarding the Baylor/Arizona game.” – BYU won 26-14.

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Let’s get to this week’s picks.

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Last week: 11-6-1 / In 2025: 102-91-6 / Since 2022: 356-335-10

Dominic Toretto’s “Take it or leave it” Pick of the Week (In 2025: 4-10 / Overall: 21-23-1): Temple at North Texas -19.5 – Do you really think it’s gonna stop this week? If so, just take Temple moneyline.

Ole Miss -7 at Mississippi State – I’m not worried about any of the Lane rumors. Kiffin is 4-1 in the Egg Bowl, with wins by 12, 10, 10 and 7 points.

Utah at Kansas OVER 59.5 – Course correction from last week. Utah games have gone OVER in four straight. Utah is averaging 51 ppg over that span. Strangely, the Utes allowed 7 points to Colorado, then 14 to UC, then 28 to Baylor then 47 to Kansas St. I don’t think Utah will allow Kansas to score 100 points, but I’m confident the numbers will add up in our favor.

Iowa at Nebraska +6.5 – This is fadeable because I’m just following recent history. The last time this game was decided by more than 7 points was in 2017 (Iowa 56-14). Nebraska has only won once since 2018, but they are 4-2-1 ATS in that time.

Georgia -14 vs Georgia Tech – I feel like this is gonna bite me in the ass, because of the rivalry-ness of this game, but I cannot come to grips with Georgia Tech being able to compete with the Dawgs. Their seasons are going in opposite directions. Also, in 2018 and 2021, when UGA failed to cover 40+ point spreads the week before this game, Georgia ended up covering against the Yellow Jackets.

Texas A&M at Texas +2.5 – I think A&M does not have a great defense. I think Georgia is the best team in the SEC. I think Texas has figured out how to score the football (except for scoring 10 at Georgia, the best SEC team). I think Texas A&M has not been tested by a complete team since playing Notre Dame more than two months ago. Texas is not complete. But they are more capable than the rest of the shit fucks the Aggies have been playing the last couple months.

Ohio State at Michigan +10 – It all comes down to Bryce Underwood. If he game-manages, Michigan will cover, maybe even win. If he looks like a scared freshman, OSU will cover. After last year, how can you trust the Bucks in this game?

Miami (FL) at Pitt +7 – I’m going to keep riding the “Duz Cruise.” The only game Pitt has not covered since switching QBs was against Notre Dame, the game Narduzzi said didn’t matter. Miami will lose, Notre Dame will win their game, making things easier on the CFP Committee.

Texas Tech -23.5 at West Virginia – Texas Tech has still covered every game that QB Behren Morton has started. He is expected to start again on Saturday. Tech has also beaten West Virginia by 38 and 37 points in two of the last three seasons. Maybe the OVER in this game could be good, too.

Houston +3 at Baylor – This line makes no sense. Baylor has no reason to be favored. Typically, this would mean I should take Baylor, but I can’t do it. They’re 2-9 ATS. Maybe the Bears are favored because Dave Aranda got the vote of confidence this week? I don’t know. I just can’t back them.

UAB at Tulsa -9.5 – UAB is bad vibes. They got guys stabbing their own teammates, only 3-8 ATS and they haven’t covered in four straight. Looks like Tulsa has covered 4 of its last 5 games (2-1 ATS as a favorite in 2025). Feel free to fade, but it’s trouble in paradise for the Blazers.

Oregon -7 at Washington – I think the sharp play here is Oregon 2H -3.5, but I’m not here to give frisky picks like that. It’s gonna be a competitive game, and first half, but Oregon will pull away in the second half. 6.5 is obviously a much better number, so look for that, but Oregon should be able to handle business.

LSU at Oklahoma -10 – I’m not sure how LSU is gonna score in this game. They’re averaging 15 ppg since BK got fired. Now, I don’t think Oklahoma puts up a lot of points either. Also, I’m too much of a pussy to take the UNDER 36.5. But Oklahoma will win 24-9.

Vandy +3 at Tennessee – This could be the last chance we get to bet on Diego Pavia in a meaningful game (bowl games don’t matter anymore and a Vandy loss means no CFP). We don’t need Vandy to win, we just need them to cover, and the Dores are 9-2 ATS this season.

Penn State -13.5 at Rutgers – The Scarlet Knights (5-6) will not go bowling. Recently, they did not cover at OSU, beat a downtrodden Maryland team, got blown out by an Illinois team that is not as good as we thought they were and barely beat Purdue. Meanwhile, State Penn has won two straight and covered 4 of its last 5 games. The Nittany Lions (5-6) WILL go bowling.

Cincinnati at TCU -3.5 – The Cardiac Cats are in full-on cardiac arrest. Losers of 3 straight, SU and ATS. UC fans will be calling for Scott Satterfield’s job again this offseason.

James Madison -21.5 at Coastal Carolina – JMU needs style points to convince the Committee to let them in the CFP. Also, they have beaten Coastal by 32, 42 and 40 points each of the last three seasons.

Virginia Tech at Virginia -8.5 – It’s not the James Franklin era yet. I think UVA has a little chip on their shoulder, too. They’ve been painted as a weak top-25 team this whole season but they can still win the ACC. Virginia was +5.5 at Duke last week and won 34-17. I think they feel disrespected by that line. Virginia Tech is going to have trouble scoring in this game. Virginia wins 31-11.

Maryland +4 at Michigan State – It’s a classic both-teams-suck-so-take-the-points game. In the B1G, Maryland is 1-7 and MSU is 0-8. MSU should be 3-point favorites just because it’s a home game so I’ll gladly take the extra point.

Rice at South Florida -28.5 – When USF wins, they cover the spread. When they lose, they do not cover. Do you think USF will lose this game? If so, just take Rice moneyline.

Alabama -5.5 at Auburn – Tailing the Insider but I hate this.

UCLA at USC OVER 58.5 – UCLA has allowed 56, 48 and 48 points in three of the last four games. USC has played two tough defenses in back-to-back weeks (Oregon and Iowa). The Trojans will benefit from playing a soft defense. But I don’t trust them to win by 23 (they haven’t done it vs a P4 team this season). Maybe USC TT o40.5 is a good play, but I’ll settle for the OVER.

Northwestern at Illinois -7.5 – Illinois’ only home loss this season is to Ohio State (also an ATS loss). The Illini are 5-0 ATS at home in the other games. Ignore the loss at Wisconsin last week. Just take Illinois.

Notre Dame -31.5 at Stanford – The Cardinal got their feel-good moment of the season when they beat Cal 31-10. The Notre Dame train is coming through.

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SEC Insider Picks of the Weekend

Last week: 3-0 / 2025 record: 20-19 / Since 2022: 74-78-3

*the following is verbatim*

Don’t look now, but I think me and the advisor have got our swagger back. Feast week, Rivalry week, Thanksgiving Triple header. Who’s got it better than us?

❌outh Watering Pick of the Week (5-7 in 2025 / 19-20-1 overall): Ohio State -10 at Michigan – I think the dam finally breaks in this rivalry, and breaks big time. Surely this can’t go on forever. It’s clear OSU is the better team. Day seems to have a different demeanor this week. The gold pants are coming back to the Buckeye State.

Alabama –5.5 at Auburn – Normally I’d buy into all the spooky hocus pocus juju that goes into playing this game at Jordan-Hare, but I’ve grown. I’ve learned. I still remember that stretch where no one was playing better football than the Tide. Back against the wall fighting for a chance at a playoff birth and SEC title appearance. RTR.

Vandy at Tennessee -3 – Fuck Diego Pavia. Do we really think Vandy should be in the conversation to play in this post season tournament? Do we really think TN is going to let Vanderbilt win the state championship? In Neyland Stadium? And leave the door open to a playoff birth? I still like the pieces on this Vols team. GBO

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Prem League Advisor Pick of the Weekend

2025 record: 4-6 / Since 2023: 12-12

*the following is verbatim*

Both-Teams-To-Score (BTTS): Everton vs Newcastle -132

I was accused falsely last week of using ChatGPT to make picks, you know what that means? This week ChatGPT will be making our pick. “Given both teams have showed tendencies to concede — especially Newcastle away — the “both teams score” market might offer reasonable value”