Positives and negatives.
Positive? The Toretto hit for the first time since Week 0 last week. Negative? We went 9-10 overall. Positive? We’re still winning on the year, at 32-30-1 overall. Negative? It’s not enough.
Positive? The (anonymous) SEC Insider went 2-1 last week, the MSP hit for the first time this year and he/she/they is/are over .500 on the season (8-7 overall). Negative? Absolutely none. My confidence is growing each with the Insider. I got a good feeling this is gonna be a good week.
Positive? Hard to say for Insider Dash. The prop-aganda parlay is 0-4 on the season but Dash hit 3/4 legs last week. Shoutout to the kid for hitting a $25 to win $10K Thursday Night Football parlay. You read that right. $10K in the bank. He sent me $100 and that money is going on the Toretto #ThankYouDash. And shoutout Hesse for raking in more than $3K on his parlay. Baby E is gonna have a hell of a first visit from the Tooth Fairy.
Where Griff was WRONG in Week 4:
Ole Miss +3.5 at Florida – “I’m not taking the drugs, Jon Sumrall.” – Maybe I should have. Florida wins 52-28.
Wake Forest at Louisville -12.5 – “UofL is just good, man. 3-0 ATS and SU. I think this line is this small because Wake only lost by 13 to Miami last week. But they still got torched by Mensah and Toney. The Deacons otherwise are 1-2 ATS, failing to cover against Purdue and Akron. Louisville OVERs are also 3-0 this year.” – Wake won 30-27 and the UNDER hit (57.5).
Where Griff was RIGHT in Week 4:
Nebraska at Michigan State +5.5– “There’s just something off-putting about Nebraska. They’re 3-0 but haven’t played a P4 team. This is their first road game. I just don’t care for them. No reason to tail me here. Easy fade.” – Great call on the fade. Nebraska won 31-13.
Georgia Tech at Stanford +3.5 – “GT’s loss to Colorado is looking worse by the week. They’re 0-3 ATS. Now, the cross-country trip. Stanford had the Week 1 win and cover against Hawaii. Then they played Miami (FL), maybe the best offense in the nation right now, and cross-country at Duke (L 35-7). I just don’t think there’s any logical reason for GT to be favored in this game. Stanford has had a tough go of it to start the year. Wake up with a dub.” – Stanford won 34-27. And Davis Warren looked fucking awesome.
Let’s get to the picks.
Last week: 9-10 / 2026 record: 32-30-1 / Since 2022: 402-384-11
Dominic Toretto’s “Take it or leave it” Pick of the Week (2026: 2-3 / Overall: 25-26-1): Washington at USC -8.5 – In their last six (6) games under Lincoln Riley, in a home conference game following a loss, USC is 5-1 ATS. Washington is also 0-4 ATS this year.
Pitt at Virginia Tech -3.5 – Didn’t cover last week (-14, won at Boston College, 21-14), but that game was played in the middle of the Nor’easter. Grunkemeyer completed 63% of passes and their RB had a 25-209-1 TD line. The Pitt QB has 13 TD passes against Bucknell and Miami (OH). He has zero (0) TDs and one (1) INT against P5 teams UCF and Syracuse. Enter Sandman. I think VT wins a grimy game in an electric atmosphere.
Alabama at Mississippi State OVER 60.5 – Only one of Bama’s games did not go over this total. MSU is 2-2 with that total. Kamario could be the best QB in the country. MSU has scored no less than 31 points each game. Bama no less than 45. This is gonna be a fun one.
Notre Dame -21 at UNC – The only game UNC has covered this year was in Ireland. Belichick is talking about an investigation into the football program at his press conferences instead of football itself. Notre Dame has a home game against Stanford next week. I think they take this easy.
Stanford at Wake Forest -12.5 – Stanford was awesome last weekend, but they were in a perfect spot with GT coming to them. The Cardinal are now 2-2 ATS/SU. They got blown out by Duke and Miami (FL). Only other win was Week 1 at home vs Hawaii. Wake only lost 33-20 vs Miami (FL) and they went to Louisville and won. I think Stanford will struggle off an emotional home win and going cross-country.
West Virginia at Iowa State OVER 52.5 – WVU OVERs are 4-0 this year. Iowa State is 2-2 to the OVER but one of those games was the CyHawk, notorious for being UNDER.
Michigan State at Wisconsin -10 – Perfect letdown spot for the Badgers, right? Wrong. They’ve won three straight and have covered two straight. The campus is buzzing and Camp Randall will be on Saturday. MSU just got blown out at home to Nebraska. The vibes for both teams are on complete opposite ends of the spectrum.
Toledo -19.5 at Ball State – Toledo easily covered for us last week (-2.5 vs SDSU, won 41-16). Ball State is 1-4 ATS/SU with its only win, and cover, against Stony Brook. They are 0-3 as dawgs. Last year, Toledo won 38-9. I love this pick.
Ohio State -14.5 at Iowa – I wish I got this at -14, but I really don’t think Iowa can hang with the Buckeyes. Their offense looked like stinky butt at Michigan. They only won because Michigan is even more stinky butt. The schmucks are all taking the points in this one. But we’re not schmucks. This week, we support the Bucks.
Florida at Mizzou +5.5 – Similar to the Toretto. Since 2020 (when Drink took over at M.I.Z.-Z.O.U.), in a home SEC game following a loss, the Tigers are 6-3 ATS (3-1 in the past four instances). Everyone is ready to crown Florida, but this is a spot we can attack.
Bowling Green at Miami (OH) -13.5 – I’m just taking a gamble here. BGSU has not scored more than 13 points in any game this season. Miami won the last two meetings 28-12 and 27-0. It could be a slugfest, but I’m choosing to love and honor the Redhawks.
Marshall at James Madison -19.5 – There is no reason to tail me on this one. I just like what we saw out of JMU last week (-7, won 46-20 at ODU), they’re 4-0 ATS and Marshall is just 1-3 ATS. DO NOT TAIL!
Oregon State at Colorado State OVER 61.5 – I read a Reddit thread where people (bots?) we’re saying the OVER 60.5 is the play. We’ll have to settle for 61.5.
Miami (FL) at Clemson 1H OVER 25.5 – Miami’s 1H OVERS are 4-0 this year. I don’t know what kind of voodoo magic Tom Allen and a night game at Clemson will bring at the end of it all, but we know points will be scored in the first half.
Texas State -7 at San Diego State – SDSU cannot score. 10, 13 and 16 points in their last three (3) games. 0-4 ATS. Texas State has increased their scoring each game from 7 (at Texas) to 26 to 49 to 63 points. They’re not scoring 60 in this game, but I’m betting SDSU will not hang with Texas State. (Editor’s note: After this bet was placed, it was discovered that SDSU is dealing with an outbreak of the mumps. The MUMPS!)
SEC Insider Picks of the Weekend
Last week: 2-1 / 2026 record: 8-7 / Since 2022: 85-89-3
*the following is verbatim*
Mouth Watering Pick of the Week (2026: 1-3 / Overall: 21-24-1): Alabama -6 at Mississippi State – Is this game going to be fun or what? Kamario vs Keelon. Must watch. No one is higher on the Tide than me. The MSU story is great but let’s be honest, they’re not beating Alabama.
Florida at Missouri -5.5 – Griff sent me a screenshot of his little group chat and some guy said to “Let the SEC Insider know” where all of the money is going in this one 😂. Brother – where do you think THAT guy got those stats that he tweeted out? I’m your favorite sources favorite source, champ.
Bowling Green at Miami OH -13.5 – Does Brick Street get ESPN+? Bowling Green stinks and no one has more good pub going right now than the RedHawks. You think you can join the AAC? You better run through the bad MAC teams. Yes, I like this even with the 3rd string QB going.
Insider Dash’s Prop-aganda Parlay of the Week
2026 record: 0-4/$10 bettor = -$40
*the following is verbatim*
First TD scorer: Daniel Hill (Alabama)+Aneyas Williams (Notre Dame)+Makhi Hughes (Houston) = +22400 ($10 to win $2,240)
Don’t overthink it. Let’s have a Saturday folks.
Prem League Advisor Pick of the Weekend
2026 record: 2-3 / Since 2023: 15-16
*the following is verbatim*
Prem is on international break this week.
