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College Football Picks Week 13, 2025

I was nearly scammed out of $3,500 Tuesday night.

NEARLY.

It’s 7:36 p.m. ET. I’m almost done with my drive from Escanaba back to work in Negaunee (it’s about an hour-and-a-half drive). I get this text message:

That’s not good.

I’m about five minutes away from a gas station, so, after a quick glance at the text, I pull into the gas station to fill up and respond (I swear this is what happened. I DID NOT text and drive. I’m serious.).

Here is my response:

I get a text back within one minute of that reply:

I don’t know if this is real at this point. People get scammed all the time. Hell, I’ve been scammed before.

When I was living in Columbus in the summer of 2019, I was doing an internship and didn’t have a job on the side. One day, I Googled “easiest ways to make money.” I clicked on this website and, essentially, this company would send me three checks worth about $2,000, I deposit those into my account then I had to go buy random shit at like Best Buy or Meijer that this company wanted to do tests and surveys on. I would have to ship those items back to this company. Then I would receive another check for $2,000 that I would get to keep for myself.

I got those checks sent to me. I didn’t deposit them into my bank account. I didn’t buy any of that shit they wanted me to buy. I kept getting texts/calls/emails from this company asking for my bank info.

SCAMMED.

I was an idiot. I was desperate. Hand up.

But I learned. Now, I was prepared. I wouldn’t fall for a scam ever again.

Back to those texts from Tuesday night.

About five minutes after the last text, I get a call from a Honolulu phone number. I don’t where people in the PNC fraud department work but Honolulu seems like a reasonable place to me. It’s about 2:45 p.m. local time for them at the time I received the call. Normal work hours.

The beginning of the conversation feels like a typical “someone is trying to steal form your bank account” phone call (I have had my debit card info stolen a couple of times so I know what those phone calls are like). Then this guy I’m talking to says a Zelle payment of $3,500 was scheduled for 8:30 p.m. that night and if I don’t put in a “reversal code” ASAP then I would be out $3,500.

Now I’m getting skeptical.

We’re about 15 minutes into the phone call. He (I’m assuming it’s a ‘he’) told me to click ‘add contact’ in my Zelle account, type in my full name, then type in the reversal code, which was told to me in this manner: 5-1-7-3, 6-8-9-1, 2-8.

Type that in a different way, and it’s: 517-368-9128.

Now it’s confirmed.

This fucking idiot wanted me to send $3,500 to this phone number while using my name.

I was prepared to handle a moment like this from my own experience about six years ago.

So, I called him (still assuming it’s a ‘him’) out on his bullshit.

“You almost got me you mother fucker.”

“You fucking dumbass.”

“You really think I’m that dumb?!?”

I was. I’m not anymore.

But there’s one detail I should’ve noticed at the very start of this shenanigans that would’ve saved me time and energy. Check the punctuation after each the beginning of each text:

A dash and a colon.

That basically translates to [sic].

I’m smarter than I was. But we all make mistakes. So let’s rehash some from last week…


Where Griff was WRONG:

South Carolina at Texas A&M -19.5: “Next week, A&M will play a tune-up game against Samford followed by the season finale at Texas. Next week is the week to fade A&M, not this week. Set it and forget it.” – A&M won 31-30.

Memphis +3 at ECU: “I have this game as Memphis -3. ECU is only favored because of what they’ve done recently…Memphis got upset at by Tulane on national TV their last time out. But Memphis is the better team…2-0 ATS as a dawg this season. Tigers ml.” – Memphis lost 31-27.

Penn State at Michigan State +7: “Why is Penn State favored? And by that much? Because they almost beat Indiana last week? MSU has covered four (4) straight games as a dawg. Both of these teams suck.” – Penn State won 28-10.

Where Griff was RIGHT:

Oklahoma +6 at Alabama: “They want you to take Alabama. All the Tide have to do is win by a touchdown. It should be simple. I’m not falling for it. If the line were 7.5, I’d take Bama. But this number is too weird.” – OU won 23-21.

Arkansas +6 at LSU: “This number is way too big for two shitty teams. Since Bobby Petrino’s coup, Arkansas has lost three (3) games by three (3) points each and another loss to Auburn by nine (9) points.” – LSU won 23-22.

North Texas -17.5 at UAB: “North Texas is 7-2 SU and ATS. When they lose games, they also lose ATS. Do you think North Texas will lose this game? If so, just take UAB moneyline.” – UNT won 53-24.

Now, let’s get to this week’s picks.


Last week: 8-9 / In 2025: 91-85-5 / Since 2022: 345-329-9

Dominic Toretto’s “Take it or leave it” Pick of the Week (In 2025: 3-9 / Overall: 20-22-1): Charlotte +43.5 at Georgia and OVER 53.5 – We need to make up some ground with “The Toretto” and the Dawgs just don’t cover these games. Since 2018, Georgia is 0-3 ATS in its three November non-conference home games. They’ve been -41.5, -42.5 and -52.5. All three games have hit the OVER as well. Also, since 2018, Georgia is 0-5 ATS in any November home game when favored by at least 35 points. Those games are 4-1 to the OVER. Beating up Charlotte doesn’t matter to the Dawgs. Coming out of this game healthy does.

Mizzou at Oklahoma -7.5 – I don’t trust the new Mizzou QB in this environment. The kid has 327 passing yards in three games and he can’t run (-32 rush yards in those games). Mizzou did NOT look good against Vandy and Texas A&M (good teams). Mizzou DID look good against Mississippi State (bad team). I think the #8 ranked Sooners are a good team. So I’m gonna take them.

Rutgers at Ohio State -31.5 – I’m not worried about Michigan being in OSU’s headlights. I am worried about a backdoor cover, though.

Louisville +2.5 at SMU – Weird line alert. SMU is a much better team right now and can still win the ACC. UofL would need the miracle of miracles to make the ACC title game and has lost two straight. SMU by a field goal is too easy. Louisville is also 3-0 ATS on the road this year.

Kansas +4.5 at Iowa State – Jayhawks are 3-0 ATS vs Iowa State each of the last three seasons. Kansas was dawgs each game (+2.5, +2.5, +3.5). Both teams are underperforming this year. Both teams are 4-6 ATS. This game is a pickem in my book.

Baylor at Arizona -7 – I love betting against Baylor. They’re now 2-8 ATS. Arizona has won three straight games (2-1 ATS in that time). Some may see this as a letdown game for Arizona after taking down UC in Nippert Stadium. That makes me laugh out loud. This offseason, UC fans were shitting on the program and Coach Satterfield. No one expected the Cats to be good this year. The only thing that was confirmed last week was that UC is who we thought they were: frauds. Arizona is playing good ball. Take them.

USF -21.5 at UAB – We played this game last week when North Texas beat UAB. When UAB wins, they cover the spread. When they lose, they do not cover. When USF wins, they cover the spread. When they lose, they do not cover. Do you think USF will lose this game? If so, just take UAB moneyline.

USC at Oregon -9.5 – I thought this line would be closer to a touchdown. For that reason, I’m taking the Ducks. Also, USC is 1-3 ATS on the road this season.

Arkansas +9.5 at Texas – Since Bobby Petrino’s coup, the Hogs, though 0-5 SU, have not lost a game by double digits. That includes games at Tennessee and vs Texas A&M. They’ll find a way to be competitive.

Kentucky at Vandy -8.5: re: the Insider below. “Dores by 2 scores.”

Duke at North Carolina +7 – Each of the last three season, this game has been decided by no more than three (3) points. Duke is collapsing, having lost 3 of its last 4 games, all as favorites (also 1-3 ATS in that time). UNC needs to win to make a bowl game so they have some more motivation.

Kansas State at Utah -17.5 – KSU had a moment of redemption for a couple weeks but it’s all gone now. Losing to Texas Tech by 23 followed by just an 8 point win over Oklahoma State last week. Keep in mind, Ok St is the worst P4 team in the nation. Utah has won three straight games by a combined 104 points. Don’t be afraid to take the OVER 51.5 either.

Pitt +2.5 at Georgia Tech – This one does matter to Pitt. Let’s see if Narduzzi can back up his words.

Tennessee at Florida +4 – In these teams’ last 7 games, Florida is 6-1 ATS. Florida as a dawg since 2002: 8-1 ATS. The last 5 times this game was played in The Swamp: Florida is 4-1 ATS. The Gators have the Vols’ number.

Illinois at Wisconsin +8.5 – I do not advise you to tail me here. Wisconsin cannot score points; they’ve scored 27 points in their last 5 games. But they’re playing better defense and have covered three straight games. I’m betting on the Badgers to pull off another upset at home. Moneyline is probably the play.

North Texas -17.5 at Rice – North Texas is 8-2 SU and ATS. When they lose games, they also lose ATS. Do you think North Texas will lose this game? If so, just take Rice moneyline.

BYU -2.5 at Cincinnati – Please read what I wrote about UC regarding the Baylor/Arizona game.


SEC Insider Picks of the Weekend

Last week: 2-1 / 2025 record: 17-19 / Since 2022: 71-78-3

*the following is verbatim*

SEC cupcake week is upon us. Not good for the brand! All eyes in Cincinnati this week for the prime time game of the week. Dave Portnoy vs Skyline Chili…. 0.0!

Mouth Watering Pick of the Week (4-7 in 2025 / 18-20-1 overall): Arkansas at Texas -8.5: I think I’m 0-fer on picking the Horns this year. Something has to give. Texas and Sark know they need a strong close to the season. They may be crazy enough to believe they can still get into the dance. Texas D is strong. Arch and co are close. Style points incoming. Hook Em.

Kentucky at Vandy -8.5: Speaking of style points. Vandy is also playing for a shot at a playoff birth, maybe? I’m low on UK as those who actually read what I have to say know. Vandy is a good football team and should be highly motivated. Dores by 2 scores.

Charlotte at Georgia UNDER 53.5: Georgia is going to have to cover this on their own and I’m not seeing that. They hardly cover, let alone cover these mega spreads. Nothing to gain and too much to lose in this one. Get the JV’s in there early Coach.


Prem League Advisor Pick of the Weekend

2025 record: 3-6 / Since 2023: 11-12

*the following is verbatim*

Brighton ML -110

Appreciate you if you’ve made it this far in the blog. We’re throwing darts blind this year. Brighton and Brentford are tied in the table right now with 16 points. I think Brighton is a much better club from what I’ve seen this year. Brighton at home also, feels like a layup. Let’s get back on track

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College Football Picks Week 12, 2025

Last week: 7-5 / In 2025: 83-76-5 / Since 2022: 337-320-9

Dominic Toretto’s “Take it or leave it” Pick of the Week (In 2025: 3-8 / Overall: 20-21-1): Texas at Georgia OVER 49.5 – I’m getting UGA-Tennessee shootout vibes. In Georgia’s ranked games this year, they’ve given up 41, 35, and 24 points. Meanwhile, Texas has scored 45 and 34 points its last two games. Arch is getting comfortable. Georgia’s defense isn’t that scary anymore. Plus, if YouTube TV and Disney strike a deal before this game, this game is 100% hitting the OVER. It has to. The people would deserve that. That’s a big part of this bet. Let’s go Iger! (Editor’s note: LFG)

South Carolina at Texas A&M -19.5 – Next week, A&M will play a tune-up game against Samford followed by the season finale at Texas. Next week is the week to fade A&M, not this week. Set it and forget it.

Michigan at Northwestern UNDER 40.5 – The only Michigan games that have gone OVER with Sherrone Moore coaching were Week 1 (Week 1 results don’t matter) and against Michigan State (maybe the worst P4 defense in the country). Now you’re playing at Wrigley Field in weird conditions.

Notre Dame -12.5 at Pitt – Narduzzi said it: Pitt could lose by 100 and still make the CFP. This game does not matter to them. Beating a ranked team matters to ND.

Arizona at UC -6 – The Bearcats (I believe) can still make the Big 12 Championship game if they win out. Getting blown out by Utah was not good, but that line (+11.5) was always fishy. Now, UC is 2-0 ATS with a rest advantage this year, which they’ll have against Arizona. Pump It Up.

Arkansas +6 at LSU – This number is way too big for two shitty teams. Since Bobby Petrino’s coup, Arkansas has lost three (3) games by three (3) points each and another loss to Auburn by nine (9) points.

Tennessee Tech +22.5 at Kentucky

North Texas -17.5 at UAB – North Texas is 7-2 SU and ATS. When they lose games, they also lose ATS. Do you think North Texas will lose this game? If so, just take UAB moneyline.

Oklahoma +6 at Alabama – They want you to take Alabama. All the Tide have to do is win by a touchdown. It should be simple. I’m not falling for it. If the line were 7.5, I’d take Bama. But this number is too weird.

Penn State at Michigan State +7 – Why is Penn State favored? And by that much? Because they almost beat Indiana last week? MSU has covered four (4) straight games as a dawg. Both of these teams suck. I’d take the OVER but I’m worried about these teams’ ability to score against each other. You may think this line is similar and fishy, like the game above, but it’s not. It’s just wrong. Trust me.

NC State +14.5 at Miami (FL) – Makes total sense to fade me on this one. I don’t watch either team that much. But Mario Cristobal’s Hurricanes usually drop off late in the season and his team is 2-4 ATS in November since 2024. This year, Miami is 1-3 ATS in the last four (4) games. NC State upset Georgia Tech a couple weeks ago and are coming off a bye. Maybe we catch the Wolfpack at the right time.

UCF at Texas Tech -23.5 – The Red Raiders are 9-0 ATS in games QB Behren Morton has started this year. Morton is probable for this game.

Memphis +3 at ECU – I have this game as Memphis -3. ECU is only favored because of what they’ve done recently: won three straight games 41-27, 45-14, 48-22, but those opponents’ combined record is 8-20 and 3-9 in the AAC. ECU only covered the spread in two of those games. Memphis got upset at by Tulane on national TV their last time out. But Memphis is the better team. 8-2 SU and ATS and 2-0 ATS as a dawg this season. Tigers ml.

North Carolina +5.5 at Wake Forest – UNC is just playing good football right now. They’ve covered three of the last four won two straight games. The defense has been good, giving up 10, 15, 17 and 21 points in the last four. In Wake’s last three games, they’ve scored 7, 13 and 16 points. I’m not sure about taking the UNDER (38.5) but I am sure about taking UNC.

Florida at Ole Miss -11.5 – Just one of those lines you look at and immediately know which side you’re taking.

Utah -8.5 at Baylor – I just have a problem with Baylor. They’re 2-7 ATS and 1-4 ATS at home. Utah is 7-2 ATS. There’s not much else to this one.

UCLA at Ohio State -32.5 – The honeymoon is over. UCLA has lost two straight. Ryan Day knows how to play against Nico (Bucks beat Vols 42-17 in Columbus last year). OSU’s defense is even better this year. UCLA should not score double digits this game.

Mississippi State at Mizzou -7 – Tailing the Insider.


SEC Insider Picks of the Weekend

Last week: 1-2 / 2025 record: 15-18 / Since 2022: 69-77-3

*the following is verbatim*

3 weeks to go. I’ve been about as disappointed in myself as the Louisiana Governor is in Brian Kelly and Scott Woodward. If you’re fading me, congrats thus far. It’s time to go play spoiler and win the year on a high note.

Mouth Watering Pick of the Week (3-7 in 2025 / 17-20-1 overall): TCU at BYU -3 – Get right spot for BYU here after getting beat down last week. 8:15PM kick in Provo? Expect the fans to be all hopped up on Sugar and ready to go. Cougars by 10+.

Mississippi State at Missouri -7 – Look for Missouri to run silly on Miss State here. I think Zollers has some good tools and should settle in here with another week of practice. Tough to play that A&M D in your first start. Tigers roll.

Arizona at Cincinnati -6 – My friends in Cincinnati think the Bearcats can still win the Big12. If that’s the case, you go and beat this AZ team by a TD. Welcome to Nip at Noon you west coasters.


Prem League Advisor Pick of the Weekend

2025 record: 3-6 / Since 2023: 11-12

Bye week.

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College Football Picks Week 11, 2025

Where Griff was WRONG:

Oklahoma State at Kansas -24.5: “’I’m gonna continue to bet against OK St until they prove to be competitive.’ I wrote that three weeks ago. I wrote it two weeks ago. I wrote it last week. I will write it again next week.” – Kansas won 38-21. It had to end sometime.

UCF +3 at Baylor: “Baylor is 1-7 ATS this year. Like Texas, you cannot trust this team as a favorite. They’ve lost two straight after coming off a bye. UCF has covered in two straight and they are coming off their bye week.” – Baylor won 30-3.

Georgia Tech -5.5 at NC State: “Haynes King and the Yellow Jackets are for real. In year’s past, NC State would be enticing to take in this spot. But the Wolfpack have lost 4 of the last 5 games SU and ATS (its only win was against Campbell (?)). Tech has covered three straight games and are 2-1 ATS on the road this year.” – NC State won 48-36.

Where Griff was RIGHT:

Navy at North Texas -6.5: “This week’s “I Really Just Wanna Bet On This Team” Game of the Week (2-0 this season).” – Mean Green won 31-17.

Army at Air Force UNDER 48.5: “This game has gone UNDER in every game for the last 11 years.” – 12 straight years now. Army won 20-17.

Pitt -14 at Stanford: “Pitt is 4-0 ATS since making the QB change…I’m gonna keep riding the hot hand.” – Pitt won 35-20.


Last week: 7-11-1 / In 2025: 76-71-5 / Since 2022: 330-315-9

Dominic Toretto’s “Take it or leave it” Pick of the Week (In 2025: 3-7 / Overall: 20-20-1): Indiana -14.5 at Penn State

BYU at Texas Tech -10.5

Ohio State -29.5 at Purdue

Texas A&M -6.5 at Mizzou

Oregon at Iowa +6.5

Duke at UConn +9.5

Auburn at Vandy -6.5

Stanford at North Carolina -7.5

LSU +10 at Alabama

Navy at Notre Dame -26.5

Florida at Kentucky +3

Nebraska at UCLA -1.5


SEC Insider Picks of the Weekend

Last week: 2-1 / 2025 record: 14-16 / Since 2022: 68-75-3

*the following is verbatim*

Rocky Flop last week. Remind me to never buy into a potential atmosphere play again. Nonetheless a positive week.

Mouth Watering Pick of the Week (3-6 in 2025 / 17-19-1 overall): Florida -3 at Kentucky – This Gator team probably should’ve beat Georgia last week. They flashed and you can tell they have plenty of dudes on each side of the ball. I like Billy 2.0 and think UK is about as bad as it gets. Give me the Gators here to bounce back.

Texas A&M -6.5 at Mizzou – I’ve been a doubter but I’ve been proven wrong I believe. Drink could have 1 foot out the door as he is a hot name for these open jobs. The players hear that stuff. Distraction alert. Gig Em.

Oregon -6.5 at Iowa – Oregon has all of their goals ahead of them. Lanning knows he’s got to build this thing to a crescendo as the years closes. Early and often for the Ducks. I see them winning by 10+.


Prem League Advisor Pick of the Weekend

2025 record: 3-5 / Since 2023: 11-11

*the following is verbatim*

Arsenal ML + Chelsea ML -119

Prem advisor has never been so low. Loser of 2 straight and 3 of his/her last 4. They/them need a bye week but the show must go on. Arsenal is a wagon and we should have been fading wolves every week. I see both Arsenal and Chelsea cruising on Saturday

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College Football Picks Week 10, 2025

Where Griff was WRONG:

Auburn at Arkansas -3: “Auburn is officially dead to this blog. Hugh Freeze is getting fired. Jackson Arnold is not HIM. Arkansas is due for a win under Petrino and it will come at the hand of the Tigers.” – Auburn won 33-24.

Illinois +3.5 at Washington: “This line SCREAMS Washington. That’s not even bait. It’s stupidity. All Illinois has done this year is win and cover in every single game besides the two games vs the two best teams in the country, OSU and Indiana. People have been hyping up Washington all year as “under-appreciated,” but they are 3-4 ATS. I think this line is a joke and recommend taking Illinois ml as well.” – Washington won 42-25.

Houston at Arizona St -7: “I’ve enjoyed betting on Houston most of this season, which means I am more than qualified to know when to bet against them. We faded the Cougars against Texas Tech a few weeks ago. ASU has a healthy Sam Leavitt and is ranked again (#24). I like the Sun Devils at home.” – Houston won 24-16.

Where Griff was RIGHT:

Oklahoma State at Texas Tech -37.5: “’I’m gonna continue to bet against OK St until they prove to be competitive.’ I wrote that two weeks ago. I wrote it last week. I will write it again next week.” – Texas Tech won 42-0.

South Florida at Memphis +6: “Both teams are 6-1 SU and ATS. Why is South Florida #18 in the AP poll but Memphis is unranked? I don’t know. Memphis, as a 24 point favorite, lost to UAB last week. Maybe UAB got a little jolt from firing Trent Dilfer and, perhaps, Memphis was looking ahead to this game? Meanwhile, USF had “the two best wins in the country” to begin the season: “upsetting” then-ranked Boise State (now 5-2) and “upsetting” then-ranked Florida (just fired head coach) before losing 49-12 at Miami (FL). I think these teams are equals. This line is way too big.” – Memphis won 34-31.

Virginia at UNC +10.5: “After examining Virginia’s schedule thus far, I’ve determined they are not that serious of a contender (full disclosure: I have not watched a single snap of theirs this season). Their best win is a 30-27 win at Louisville three weeks ago as a 6.5 point dawg. UofL is a fine team at 5-1, but last week’s win at Miami (FL) was more about the Canes looking like ass and Carson Beck throwing four (4) picks. UNC managed to go to California last week and cover as 7.5 point dawgs. I think they show up for this one.” – Virginia won 17-16.


Last week: 9-6-1 / In 2025: 69-60-4 / Since 2022: 323-304-8

Dominic Toretto’s “Take it or leave it” Pick of the Week (In 2025: 3-6 / Overall: 20-19-1): Oklahoma State at Kansas -24.5 – “I’m gonna continue to bet against OK St until they prove to be competitive.” I wrote that three weeks ago. I wrote it two weeks ago. I wrote it last week. I will write it again next week.

Penn State TT u13.5 and at Ohio State -19.5 – Set it and forget it.

Vandy +3 at Texas – I cannot trust Texas in any game that they are favored. Why would you?

West Virginia at Houston -12.5 – The Cougars are 4-1 ATS as a favorite this year. Rich Rodriguez is 8-15 ATS as a double-digit dawg in his career. WVU has lost five straight games SU. All bad vibes for the Mountaineers and Houston is still playing for a chance to get to the Playoff.

Navy at North Texas -6.5 – This week’s “I Really Just Wanna Bet On This Team” Game of the Week (2-0 this season). The Mean Green (7-1) are the best team not enough people are talking about. They beat Army 45-38 a little over a month ago so we don’t have to be concerned about the military academy stuff. UNT is also 6-2 ATS and Navy is 2-5 ATS.

UCF +3 at Baylor – Baylor is 1-7 ATS this year. Like Texas, you cannot trust this team as a favorite. They’ve lost two straight after coming off a bye. UCF has covered in two straight and they are coming off their bye week.

Army at Air Force UNDER 48.5 – This game has gone UNDER in every game for the last 11 years.

Georgia -7 at Florida – Georgia has been favored in this game five (5) straight years now. The Dawgs covered the last four by an average of 21.5 points. Do you really think this Florida team is any better than the last four? We will find out if Billy Napier was the problem or if the Gators are just a B-tier program now.

Texas Tech at Kansas State +7.5 – This is crazy for me, considering all the praise I’ve given Texas Tech and how many times I’ve called Kansas State frauds. But I think ‘gotcha culture’ is coming for the Red Raiders. They host BYU next week, the best team remaining on their schedule. KSU has covered four (4) straight games now, three (3) straight as dawgs.

Michigan State at Minnesota -3.5 – I’m reading way too much about Michigan State probably firing its coach after the season. The Spartans (3-5) have lost five straight games SU. Minnesota isn’t much better with a 5-3 overall record, but no one is talking about PJ Fleck getting fired. I understand if the .5 in 3.5 will scare you away. This is a very fadeable pick.

Pitt -14 at Stanford – Pitt is 4-0 ATS since making the QB change. This is the biggest they’ve been favored in that stretch, and they got the cross-country game, but Stanford also went to Miami (FL) last week and lost 42-7 so they could have some jet lag. I’m gonna keep riding the hot hand.

Mississippi State +4.5 at Arkansas – Like Texas and Baylor, why is Arkansas favored? The Bulldogs, meanwhile, are 4-1 ATS as dawgs this year.

Purdue at Michigan -21 – I hate this pick. Michigan does not blow teams out (biggest win this year over a P4 team is by 17 points). Purdue does not get blown out (one loss this year by more than 21 points). But last week, Michigan scored 30 points for the first time since Week 1 with Sherrone Moore coaching and I think they might be finding a groove on offense. Confused yet? Me too. Don’t tail me on this one.

South Carolina at Ole Miss -12.5 – Tailing the Insider.

Georgia Tech -5.5 at NC State – Haynes King and the Yellow Jackets are for real. In year’s past, NC State would be enticing to take in this spot. But the Wolfpack have lost 4 of the last 5 games SU and ATS (its only win was against Campbell (?)). Tech has covered three straight games and are 2-1 ATS on the road this year.

Oklahoma at Tennessee -3 – I’ve lost faith in Oklahoma. Mateer coming back too early from his injury ruined it for the Sooners. Neyland@Night.

Wake Forest at Florida State -10.5 – Mainstream Bias Pick of the Week. I loved Wake Forest. The bias got to me. FSU is coming off a bye and Mike Norvell is 9-2 ATS after a bye. I guess Thomas Castellanos was injured but now he’s expected to play? And FSU is getting some big-time cornerback back from injury? The Noles have lost four (4) straight ATS. Wake Forest has won four (4) straight ATS. I’m not following the logic, I’m following the bias.

Hawaii +1.5 at San Jose State – Hawaii is 6-2 ATS. San Jose St is 3-4 ATS. Fall (back) asleep and wake up Sunday morning with an extra hour of sleep and a win.


SEC Insider Picks of the Weekend

Last week: 1-2 / 2025 record: 12-15 / Since 2022: 66-74-3

*the following is verbatim*

Mouth Watering Pick of the Week (3-5 in 2025 / 17-18-1 overall): Oklahoma at Tennessee -2.5 – Dark [sic for ‘mode’ not ‘made’] made – Activated. Neyland black out incoming. I’ve got goose bumps just thinking about it. I don’t think Oklahoma is as good as they were made out to be. I like this TN team a lot. If Aguilar can get time, he will pick this Sooner D [sic for ‘apart’ not ‘a part’] a part

South Carolina at Ole Miss -12.5 – Can Beamer get his team up to play after last weeks heart break? I think the players have to be [sic] of his corn ball talk with no results this year. Rebs at home are no joke. Look for some style points. I see Lane wanting to stick it to Beamer

Penn State at Ohio State -19.5 – Why the hell not? Has Penn State shown you anything to that makes you think they can keep this within 3 scores? I can’t remember a team as dominant yet feels somehow no one really talk about them like the Buckeyes. They are a freight train and no one can stop them besides themselves at this point. Bucks – B1G!


Prem League Advisor Pick of the Weekend

2025 record: 3-4 / Since 2023: 11-10

*the following is verbatim*

Brentford Double Chance -120

Sitting on my couch last Saturday watching our parlay lose killed me. This is a get right week. I am introducing a new strategy called, “Fade the easy ML bet [sic for no punctuation]” Crystal Palace is -110 to win. A simple [sic for ‘bettor’ not ‘better’] better would say, wow -110 that’s easy, I like that number, it reminds me of the bets I normally make! We are not a simple [sic] better, we take the opposite. Brentford win or draw.

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College Football Picks Week 9, 2025

Where Griff was WRONG:

Texas Tech -7 at Arizona State: “Tech is 6-0 ATS now. Not sure if [sic] Same Leavitt is suiting up for ASU. Give me a reason to not keep betting Texas Tech.” – Tech lost 26-22. [sic] Same Leavitt did in fact play.

LSU +1.5 at Vanderbilt: “I don’t think Vandy has been tested enough this year. LSU’s offense hasn’t looked great (haven’t scored more than 20 points vs a P4 team) but their defense is great (have given up either 7 or 10 points in every game besides giving up 24 in a loss at Ole Miss).” – Vandy won 31-24.

Ole Miss +7 at Georgia: “There’s just no reason to believe Georgia will win this game by more than a touchdown.” – Georgia won 43-35.

Where Griff was RIGHT:

Washington at Michigan UNDER 51.5: “The Huskies have not given up more than 24 points all season. Washington’s games have gone UNDER the total in three (3) straight games. Michigan is 3-1 to the UNDER with Sherrone Moore as head coach (OVER is 2-0 with Biff Poggi).” – Michigan won 24-7.

Texas A&M at Arkansas +7.5: “The second straight “I Really Just Wanna Bet On This Team” Game of the Week (1-0, Kent State beat UMass last week)…A&M has looked the part this whole year, but I gotta follow my gut.” – Texas A&M won 45-42.

Cincinnati -21.5 at Oklahoma State: “’I’m gonna continue to bet against OK St until they prove to be competitive.’ I wrote that last week. I will write it again next week.” – UC won 49-17. The real conundrum now is that OK St is at Texas Tech this week. Tech is -38.5. What to do. What to do.


Last week: 10-8 / In 2025: 60-54-3 / Since 2022: 314-298-7

Dominic Toretto’s “Take it or leave it” Pick of the Week (In 2025: 3-5 / Overall: 20-18-1): Wisconsin at Oregon -31.5 – Wisconsin is dead. We know this. Been outscored 71-0 the last two games. 122-20 in four B1G games. Moving on.

Ole Miss +5.5 at Oklahoma – Here’s why you should fade me: Since 2021, the Rebels are 1-5 ATS as an away underdog and 3-7-1 ATS after a loss. Here’s why you should NOT fade me: we all know Ole Miss is the better team right now. The Insider provides analysis into this game in the section below. TLDR: “I think we know what we’ll get from Chambliss. I don’t know which Mateer we will get.”

Virginia at UNC +10.5 – After examining Virginia’s schedule thus far, I’ve determined they are not that serious of a contender (full disclosure: I have not watched a single snap of theirs this season). Their best win is a 30-27 win at Louisville three weeks ago as a 6.5 point dawg. UofL is a fine team at 5-1, but last week’s win at Miami (FL) was more about the Canes looking like ass and Carson Beck throwing four (4) picks. UNC managed to go to California last week and cover as 7.5 point dawgs. I think they show up for this one.

South Florida at Memphis +6 – Both teams are 6-1 SU and ATS. Why is South Florida #18 in the AP poll but Memphis is unranked? I don’t know. Memphis, as a 24 point favorite, lost to UAB last week. Maybe UAB got a little jolt from firing Trent Dilfer and, perhaps, Memphis was looking ahead to this game? Meanwhile, USF had “the two best wins in the country” to begin the season: “upsetting” then-ranked Boise State (now 5-2) and “upsetting” then-ranked Florida (just fired head coach) before losing 49-12 at Miami (FL). I think these teams are equals. This line is way too big.

Auburn at Arkansas -3 – Auburn has lost four (4) straight SEC games by a combined 29 points. They covered the spread in one of those games. Arkansas is 2-0 ATS since Bobby Petrino’s coup about a month ago. Those are just facts. My opinion? Auburn is officially dead to this blog. Hugh Freeze is getting fired. Jackson Arnold is not HIM. Arkansas is due for a win under Petrino and it will come at the hand of the Tigers.

Alabama at South Carolina +11.5 – Strictly taking the stats on this one: Kalen DeBoer is 1-4 ATS as a double-digit favorite away from home at Bama and Shane Beamer is 6-1 ATS vs top-10 teams at South Carolina.

Mizzou at Vandy -3 – I’ve learned my lesson betting against Diego Pavia. Vandy is real, and they are more real than Mizzou. The best team the Tigers have played, Alabama, resulted in a 27-24 loss and an ATS push. A road win at Auburn would look better if Auburn were actually good at football. I like Vandy coming off the emotional win over LSU, but try to get it at 2.5.

BYU at Iowa State – 2.5 – This line SCREAMS BYU. I’m not taking the bait. Iowa State is in overall bad shape, having lost two straight and 4 of the last 5 ATS. But they’re coming off a bye and I think they needed it. From Action Network: Matt Campbell is 6-2 ATS at home after a bye and “Top-15 teams coming off an upset win over a ranked opponent have hit at 44% ATS historically in their next game. When that opponent is coming off a bye (like Iowa State), they have gone just 5-19 ATS (20.8%), including 1-9 on the road.”

Illinois +3.5 at Washington – This line SCREAMS Washington. That’s not even bait. It’s stupidity. All Illinois has done this year is win and cover in every single game besides the two games vs the two best teams in the country, OSU and Indiana. People have been hyping up Washington all year as “under-appreciated,” but they are 3-4 ATS. I think this line is a joke and recommend taking Illinois ml as well.

NC State at Pitt – 6.5 – I’ve been riding Pitt since they made the QB change a few weeks ago and it’s been working. 3-0 SU and ATS in the Panthers’ last three games, two of those as favorites of 6.5 and 9.5.

UMass at Central Michigan -16.5 – UMass is the literal worst team in the country. 0-7 SU but 2-5 ATS. CMU has beaten a team 49-10 this season, so this is possible. No reason to tail me on this one.

Baylor at Cincinnati -3.5 – The Cats are just rolling and Baylor is not. Baylor has lost five (5) straight ATS. UC has covered 4 of its last 5 ATS. There is just no logical reason to take Baylor in this game.

Oklahoma State at Texas Tech -37.5 – “I’m gonna continue to bet against OK St until they prove to be competitive.” I wrote that two weeks ago. I wrote it last week. I will write it again next week.

Texas at Mississippi State +7 – I just don’t know how you can trust Texas, on the road as a touchdown favorite. They look like shit. Texas is 0-2 ATS as a road favorite this season.

Texas A&M at LSU +2.5 – Tailing the Insider.

Houston at Arizona St -7 – I’ve enjoyed betting on Houston most of this season, which means I am more than qualified to know when to bet against them. We faded the Cougars against Texas Tech a few weeks ago. ASU has a healthy Sam Leavitt and is ranked again (#24). I like the Sun Devils at home.


SEC Insider Picks of the Weekend

Last week: 3-0 / 2025 record: 11-13 / Since 2022: 65-72-3

*the following is verbatim*

Fade away boys, fade away. Big sweep for the program last week. Can we get a “Where the Insider was RIGHT” spot this week Griff?

Mouth Watering Pick of the Week (3-4 in 2025 / 17-17-1 overall): Texas A&M at LSU ML +120 – I think the Texas A&M Magic runs out this week. Do we really think they can run the table and go undefeated? Do we really think they can go 11-1? Do we really think they can play for an SEC Title? LSU’s backs are against the wall. Welcome to Death Valley at night.

Auburn at Arkansas UNDER 55.5 – I’m seeing reports of horrific weather in Fayetteville this weekend. Steady rain, gusts of 20+. Im expecting turnovers and bad football.

Ole Miss +5.5 at Oklahoma – I think we see a good response out of the Rebs. All their goals are still ahead of them. Lane knows the Sooners are stealing signals and won’t let that happen. Ole Miss looked pretty darn good last week. I think we know what we’ll get from Chambliss. I don’t know which Mateer we will get. Rebs.


Prem League Advisor Pick of the Weekend

2025 record: 3-3 / Since 2023: 11-9

*the following is verbatim*

Chelsea ML + Newcastle ML +115

No better way to spend your Saturday morning than betting 2 ML favorites, sitting on your couch, and eagerly awaiting a day of college football. That’s what I’ll be doing. We’re on a roll let’s keep the momentum going