Category: Uncategorized

Where Griff was WRONG in Week 6:

South Carolina at Florida -12.5 – “This number is too low. South Carolina is in crisis mode…Florida wins this one with ease.” – South Carolina won 38-19.

Illinois at Michigan State UNDER 47.5 – “This game is going to SUCK. Do not watch. Just bet and win.” – Illinois won 38-37 in OT.

Where Griff was RIGHT in Week 7:

Charlotte at North Texas -28.5 – “Charlotte can’t score (11 ppg vs FBS opponents) and they lost to The Citadel. Remember that team you would play Week 1 in Dynasty Mode of any CFB game growing up? Charlotte lost to that team. North Texas averages 46 ppg vs teams not named Indiana University. They beat Charlotte last year by 34 points.” – North Texas won 50-10.

UCLA 1Q +3.5 at Oregon – “I think this is similar to Indiana-Ohio State in 2024. OSU is 10x better than Oregon in this scenario, but the vibes are the same...Maybe they pull off an upset. Maybe they flounder in the second half. But they will keep it close in Q1.” – Oregon lead 6-3 after Q1. JMUCLA won 17-15.

BONUS: Georgia 2H +1.5 at Alabama – “How psychotic is this? In the three games between these two schools with Kirby and Kalen coaching, Georgia has outscored Bama 48-18 in the second half. They’ve won the 2H moneyline each game.” – UGA won the second half 10-3.

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Last week: 12-5 / 2026 record: 52-42-1 / Since 2022: 422-396-11

Dominic Toretto’s “Take it or leave it” Pick of the Week (2026: 3-4 / Overall: 25-27-1): Washington State at Oregon State -18.5 – We’re betting on the Beavers until further notice. 6-0 ATS. Washington State’s offense isn’t good enough to keep up (111 points in six (6) games and 48 of those were against Duquesne).

Northwestern -7.5 at Michigan State – I just think Vegas is begging us to take MSU with this line. Revenge game for Pat Fitzgerald. At home on a Friday night. Northwestern has looked almost too good. This line is way too good to be true.

Florida at Texas -10.5 – I hate this pick because I don’t trust Arch. But I think Florida is who we think they are (frauds) and Texas is who we know they are (not legit contenders but head-and-shoulders better than Florida). UF has given up no less than 28 points to their four (4) P4 opponents, including 83 the last two (2) weeks while scoring only 36 points vs Mizzou and South Carolina. The running back Baugh for Florida only has 72 yards his last two (2) games. I think they peaked vs Ole Miss.

Georgia State at James Madison UNDER 58.5 – Georgia State has not given up more than 17 points to a non-P4 school (they lost 44-30 at UCF). They’re also 5-0 ATS. JMU is 5-1 ATS and they’re giving up 15 ppg. This is an important conference game. Both teams are really good (respectively) and I think they do whatever they can to win, even if it means extending drives and playing more conservative.

UC at West Virginia OVER 63.5 – Fellas (and Mrs. Prifti), we’re betting WVU OVERs. It’s as simple as that. Mountaineers are 6-0 to the OVER this year.

Florida Atlantic at Army -2.5 – Army should not be favored, so that’s why we’re picking them. FAU is 4-1 ATS and SU. They’ve already beaten Navy this year (38-30). Army is just 1-3-1 ATS. They’ve had a hard time scoring (64th in the nation). They’re begging us to take FAU. Don’t do it.

Rutgers +6 at Maryland – There’s just no reason for Maryland to be favored by this much. Yes, Rutgers is bad (1-4 SU/2-3 ATS). Maryland (2-4 SU/3-3 ATS) may be worse. This should be -3 just cause Maryland is the home team. Rutgers is at least coming off a bye.

Alabama -8.5 at Tennessee – I’m just using my common sense for this one. Bama has consistently looked like one of the best teams in the country, and still showed it vs Georgia. Tennessee only beat Auburn by 10 and Arkansas by 7 (scored the GW TD with two (2) minutes left in the game). They’re on their second string QB. I just know that Bama is the much better team.

Penn State at Michigan UNDER 42.5 – Again, we know who these teams are. Michigan is averaging 16 ppg vs teams not named UTEP. PSU is averaging 19 ppg in B1G games. This will be a close game, not a fun one.

Mizzou at Ole Miss -6 – Let’s keep using our brains to the fullest capacity. Mizzou being ranked #13 is blasphemous. We have been bamboozled, hoodwinked, and led astray by the Tigers. They beat the hell out of Florida (frauds) and Texas A&M (coach is fighting with the media). They’ve also beaten Troy, Kansas and Arkansas Pine Bluff. Ole Miss’ only miscue came in the most obvious letdown spot at Florida. They had a bye then came back and beat the crap out of Vandy. Kewan Lacy played last week. The defense may give up some points, but don’t overthink who will win this game.

Florida State at Miami (FL) OVER 56.5 – We know what Miami can do on offense but the best team they’ve played is Wake Forest (33-20 W for Miami). The Canes are coming off a bye week. FSU can score (31 ppg). Florida State is not a good team, so I think we should be fine here.

Nevada at North Dakota State UNDER 42.5 – We caught onto the NDSU UNDERs last week and we’re back at it. They are 5-1 to the UNDERs this season (all five (5) of those games did not eclipse 42 total points). Their defense is 1st in the nation in passing yards allowed, 2nd in points allowed and 7th in yards per play. Nevada’s offense is 124th in passing yards, 78th in points scored and 75th in yards per play.

TCU at Baylor -5.5 – People will look to TCU’s defense as a reason to take the points (13 ppg allowed). But they haven’t played many good offenses (BYU w/o LJ Martin, Arkasnas St, Grambling and North Carolina in Week 1). Baylor has won four (4) straight since losing on the failed 2pt conversion against Auburn in the opener. They’re averaging 40 ppg in that span.

Notre Dame -10.5 at BYU – BYU is the obvious pick here with the spread that high. This isn’t my first rodeo, though. Without LJ Martin, Bear Bachmeier is the offense. ND’s defense is good enough to know that and limit him. I hope this is a good game, but I know it won’t be.

Wisconsin at UCLA UNDER 42.5 – When the Badgers have 14 days of rest under Fickell (since 2023), their games are 4-1 to the UNDER. Those five (5) games average on O/U of 46 points. The game should be close with a spread of 2.5. UCLA will lean on Wayne Knight with Nico out for the year. Fickell maybe has his groove back and has been studying tape for two (2) weeks.

Kentucky +6.5 at Oklahoma – I just don’t trust John Mateer. This could be a good UNDER game (43.5) but I’ve taken too many UNDERs already.

Oklahoma State at Houston OVER 62.5 – OSU has gone OVER this total in three (3) games. The other two (2) were Week 1 and a 59-0 win against Murray State. Houston is 4-2 to the OVER this year. Mestemake vs Weigman. I think we got a shootout on our hands.

Utah -15.5 at Colorado – The writing is on the wall for Coach Prime. Just 27 total points of offense the last three (3) games. 1-4 ATS. Utah is 5-0 ATS. The Utes are clearly the better team.

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SEC Insider Picks of the Weekend

Last week: 2-1 / 2026 record: 12-9 / Since 2022: 89-91-3

*the following is verbatim*

Mouth Watering Pick of the Week (2026: 2-4 / Overall: 22-25-1): Kentucky at Oklahoma -6.5 – Nobody is higher on Will Stein than I am but I think Oklahoma is too talented. Let’s be honest, LSU and Texas A&M stink. Think the bye came at the perfect time for Oklahoma. I think they will play better football the rest of the way in.

Auburn at Georgia -21 – Belt to ass. Georgia rolls and claims the title of Alabama state champs.

Alabama at Tennessee +7.5 – Tough place to play. Tide are banged up. Big rivalry. I like this one to stay close.

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Insider Dash’s Prop-aganda Parlay of the Week

2026 record: 0-6 / $10 bettor = -$60

*the following is verbatim*

ATTD: Jeremiah Smith+Trae’shawn Brown+Malachi Toney+CJ Baxter = +602 ($10 to win $60)

This is a lock.

NQATT

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Prem League Advisor Pick of the Weekend

2026 record: 2-4 / Since 2023: 15-17

*the following is verbatim*

Fulham v. Hull Over 2.5 (-138)

Just need to get back on track. Hull started the season hot but has cooled off lately, and Fulham loves giving away late goals. My stat for this one: Fulham has put up close to 7 expected goals over their last 3 home games, and the over has hit in Hull’s last 3 (thanks AI?). If Fulham can actually FINISH, this over should hit easily.

Where Griff was WRONG in Week 5:

Washington at USC -8.5 – “In their last six (6) games under Lincoln Riley, in a home conference game following a loss, USC is 5-1 ATS. Washington is also 0-4 ATS this year.” – Washington is now 1-4 ATS. USC wins 25-21.

Texas State -7 at San Diego State – “SDSU cannot score…0-4 ATS. Texas State has increased their scoring each game from 7 (at Texas) to 26 to 49 to 63 points. They’re not scoring 60 in this game, but I’m betting SDSU will not hang with Texas State. (Editor’s note: After this bet was placed, it was discovered that SDSU is dealing with an outbreak of the mumps. The MUMPS!)” – SDSU wins 31-29.

Where Griff was RIGHT in Week 5:

Michigan State at Wisconsin -10 – “Perfect letdown spot for the Badgers, right? Wrong. They’ve won three straight and have covered two straight. The campus is buzzing and Camp Randall will be on Saturday. MSU just got blown out at home to Nebraska. The vibes for both teams are on complete opposite ends of the spectrum.” – Wisconsin wins 31-3.

Stanford at Wake Forest -12.5 – “(Stanford) got blown out by Duke and Miami (FL). Only other win was Week 1 at home vs Hawaii. Wake only lost 33-20 vs Miami (FL) and they went to Louisville and won. I think Stanford will struggle off an emotional home win and going cross-country.” – Wake wins 57-3.

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Last week: 8-7 / 2026 record: 40-37-1 / Since 2022: 410-391-11

Dominic Toretto’s “Take it or leave it” Pick of the Week (2026: 2-4 / Overall: 25-27-1): UCF at Oklahoma State -9.5 – UCF was up 17-0 with four (4) minutes left in the 3rd quarter at Houston last week. They lost 27-17. Now they go back on the road, to an OSU team coming off a bye week, with one of the best offenses in the country and a #18 next to their name. The Cowboys have covered each of their last four (4) games. T. Boone is gonna be rocking at 11 a.m. local time Saturday.

Florida State at Louisville OVER 58.5 – UofL’s defense is awful, giving up no less than 30 points in their four (4) P4 games. They’ve scored at least 27 in each game. FSU is averaging 33 ppg. The only way this goes wrong is if UofL (on a 2-game losing streak) slows the game down at a glacial speed to try and get a win. It’s gonna be 72 degrees in Louisville Friday night, so the chances of that happening are slim.

Iowa State +10.5 at BYU – BYU’s #1 RB is out. They looked rough in a 17-10 at TCU last week. Iowa State was impressive in their 45-42 win vs West Virginia and RB Aiden Flora was great (200+ yards). Lookahead spot for BYU with Notre Dame coming to town next week.

Texas A&M at Mizzou -3.5 – Classic letdown spot, right? Not so fast. The Aggies had a ‘get right’ game beating Arkasnas 34-7. The Hogs may be the worst team in the SEC. Let’s not forget A&M lost by 10 at home to (a good) Kentucky (team) then got blown out 35-6 at LSU. I don’t think they’re good enough to win this game. For Drink, in this scenario (favored at home against an SEC team following a win), he’s 3-4 ATS but 6-1 SU. Not a great stat, but I’ll take a nearly 50/50 chance that Mizzou can cover this one.

Arizona at West Virginia OVER 61.5 – Dipping back into the WVU OVERs well. 5-0 on the year. Arizona is averaging 32 ppg.

South Carolina at Florida -12.5 – This number is too low. South Carolina is in crisis mode. Up 17-0 last week vs (a good) Kentucky (team) and lost in overtime. Blew that 17 point lead to Miss St. a few weeks ago. Lanoris Sellers might get pulled. Beamer’s seat is steaming. Florida lost last week because of the spot they were in. We bet Mizzou and won. Now, we flip the script. Florida wins this one with ease.

Oklahoma at Texas -7.5 – I really hate this pick but I think it’s the smart play. Both teams are coming off a bye. OU has not scored more than 14 points since beating UTEP Week 1 51-0. They have not covered in their last three games. I think Arch is a fraud, but Texas is just the better team right now. The Horns won 34-3 and 23-6 the past two (2) seasons. The O/U is only 39.5. This will not be fun to watch, but it will be satisfying to watch Texas cover the spread.

UCLA 1Q +3.5 at Oregon – I think this is similar to Indiana-Ohio State in 2024. OSU is 10x better than Oregon in this scenario, but the vibes are the same. UCLA is the early season darling playing really well. Oregon, despite the upset to Oklahoma State, is still a big dawg. Don’t forget the 2025 CFP: this JMUCLA staff has coached against Oregon. I think the Bruins keep it steady against Raiola and Co. early. Maybe they pull off an upset. Maybe they flounder in the second half. But they will keep it close in Q1.

Illinois at Michigan State UNDER 47.5 – This game is going to SUCK. Do not watch. Just bet and win.

Houston +2.5 at Kansas State – Houston is going to win this game with their running game. I was reading about this matchup. KSU got hosed by a good UC running game in their last loss. Houston is better at running the ball than UC is. KSU was a fun story in non-conference play, and Collin Klein will end up being a good coach, and their offense is fun (maybe take the over?), but Houston is the better team right now.

Charlotte at North Texas -28.5 – Charlotte can’t score (11 ppg vs FBS opponents) and they lost to The Citadel. Remember that team you would play Week 1 in Dynasty Mode of any CFB game growing up? Charlotte lost to that team. North Texas averages 46 ppg vs teams not named Indiana University. They beat Charlotte last year by 34 points.

San Diego State at Oregon State -15.5 – The Beavers are 5-0 ATS and look like a real wagon. They lost to Houston and Texas Tech to start the season, then won their last three (3) games by no less than 26 points. SDSU is just 1-4 ATS. OSU is 1st in the nation is passing yards/game and 8th in yards/play. SDSU’s defense is 129th and 92nd, respectively.

LSU at Kentucky +8.5 – Kroger Field at night is a daunting place to play. Lane is always due for a letdown on the road. I don’t count the loss at Ole Miss as his letdown.

North Dakota State at UNLV UNDER 47.5 – I watched (skipped through) a video on some kid’s Substack and he predicted the score to be 24-10 NDSU. He’s a UNLV guy. Anyone doing a 15-minute solo podcast about UNLV football has to know their shit. I’ll trust him.

Georgia 2H +1.5 at Alabama – How psychotic is this? In the three games between these two schools with Kirby and Kalen coaching, Georgia has outscored Bama 48-18 in the second half. They’ve won the 2H moneyline each game. If Georgia is losing at the half, this is THE live bet to make.

Hawaii at Arizona State -20.5 – This guy Collin Wilson from the Action Network is 4-0 in his ‘early week bets’ on the season.

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SEC Insider Picks of the Weekend

Last week: 2-1 / 2026 record: 10-8 / Since 2022: 87-90-3

*the following is verbatim*

Mouth Watering Pick of the Week (2026: 2-3 / Overall: 22-24-1): Georgia at Alabama -1.5 – As I’ve stated before, no one is higher on the Tide than I am. Conditions should be rough. History always repeats itself. Hurts, Milroe and now Russell. Kirby struggles against the mobile QB historically. Who do you like in a street fight? The answer is usually the Tide.

Oklahoma +7.5 vs Texas – Low total in this one at O/U 39.5. Both teams are coming off a bye. 2 good defenses. I like this one to come down to the wire.

Ole Miss -9.5 at Vanderbilt – Tough back to back for Vanderbilt here. If Ole Miss is who we thought they were, the win by 10+ here. Golding should give Curtis some crazy looks. Vandy’s defense is ultra agressive in the blitz, I think that’s trouble some against Trinidad.

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Insider Dash’s Prop-aganda Parlay of the Week

2026 record: 0-5/$10 bettor = -$50

*the following is verbatim*

Avery Johnson+Arch Manning+Keelon Russell+Trinidad Chambliss – 300+ passing+rushing yards each = +5355 on DK ($10 to win $535)

Everything negative – pressure, challenges – is all an opportunity for me to rise. (Editor’s note: I’m beginning to think Dash does not really care about this blog or parlay.)

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Prem League Advisor Pick of the Weekend

2026 record: 2-3 / Since 2023: 15-16

*the following is verbatim*

Bournemouth Double Chance +115

The sub advisor again has helped us out with this one. This is a side that competes. Coming off of the 2 week international break, Chelsea had a lot of guys in action. Bournemouth on the other hand should be rested and ready to go. I like these guys to grind out at least an away draw if not an outright win.

Positives and negatives.

Positive? The Toretto hit for the first time since Week 0 last week. Negative? We went 9-10 overall. Positive? We’re still winning on the year, at 32-30-1 overall. Negative? It’s not enough.

Positive? The (anonymous) SEC Insider went 2-1 last week, the MSP hit for the first time this year and he/she/they is/are over .500 on the season (8-7 overall). Negative? Absolutely none. My confidence is growing each with the Insider. I got a good feeling this is gonna be a good week.

Positive? Hard to say for Insider Dash. The prop-aganda parlay is 0-4 on the season but Dash hit 3/4 legs last week. Shoutout to the kid for hitting a $25 to win $10K Thursday Night Football parlay. You read that right. $10K in the bank. He sent me $100 and that money is going on the Toretto #ThankYouDash. And shoutout Hesse for raking in more than $3K on his parlay. Baby E is gonna have a hell of a first visit from the Tooth Fairy.

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Where Griff was WRONG in Week 4:

Ole Miss +3.5 at Florida – “I’m not taking the drugs, Jon Sumrall.” – Maybe I should have. Florida wins 52-28.

Wake Forest at Louisville -12.5 – “UofL is just good, man. 3-0 ATS and SU. I think this line is this small because Wake only lost by 13 to Miami last week. But they still got torched by Mensah and Toney. The Deacons otherwise are 1-2 ATS, failing to cover against Purdue and Akron. Louisville OVERs are also 3-0 this year.” – Wake won 30-27 and the UNDER hit (57.5).

Where Griff was RIGHT in Week 4:

Nebraska at Michigan State +5.5– “There’s just something off-putting about Nebraska. They’re 3-0 but haven’t played a P4 team. This is their first road game. I just don’t care for them. No reason to tail me here. Easy fade.” – Great call on the fade. Nebraska won 31-13.

Georgia Tech at Stanford +3.5 – “GT’s loss to Colorado is looking worse by the week. They’re 0-3 ATS. Now, the cross-country trip. Stanford had the Week 1 win and cover against Hawaii. Then they played Miami (FL), maybe the best offense in the nation right now, and cross-country at Duke (L 35-7). I just don’t think there’s any logical reason for GT to be favored in this game. Stanford has had a tough go of it to start the year. Wake up with a dub.” – Stanford won 34-27. And Davis Warren looked fucking awesome.

Let’s get to the picks.

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Last week: 9-10 / 2026 record: 32-30-1 / Since 2022: 402-384-11

Dominic Toretto’s “Take it or leave it” Pick of the Week (2026: 2-3 / Overall: 25-26-1): Washington at USC -8.5 – In their last six (6) games under Lincoln Riley, in a home conference game following a loss, USC is 5-1 ATS. Washington is also 0-4 ATS this year.

Pitt at Virginia Tech -3.5 – Didn’t cover last week (-14, won at Boston College, 21-14), but that game was played in the middle of the Nor’easter. Grunkemeyer completed 63% of passes and their RB had a 25-209-1 TD line. The Pitt QB has 13 TD passes against Bucknell and Miami (OH). He has zero (0) TDs and one (1) INT against P5 teams UCF and Syracuse. Enter Sandman. I think VT wins a grimy game in an electric atmosphere.

Alabama at Mississippi State OVER 60.5 – Only one of Bama’s games did not go over this total. MSU is 2-2 with that total. Kamario could be the best QB in the country. MSU has scored no less than 31 points each game. Bama no less than 45. This is gonna be a fun one.

Notre Dame -21 at UNC – The only game UNC has covered this year was in Ireland. Belichick is talking about an investigation into the football program at his press conferences instead of football itself. Notre Dame has a home game against Stanford next week. I think they take this easy.

Stanford at Wake Forest -12.5 – Stanford was awesome last weekend, but they were in a perfect spot with GT coming to them. The Cardinal are now 2-2 ATS/SU. They got blown out by Duke and Miami (FL). Only other win was Week 1 at home vs Hawaii. Wake only lost 33-20 vs Miami (FL) and they went to Louisville and won. I think Stanford will struggle off an emotional home win and going cross-country.

West Virginia at Iowa State OVER 52.5 – WVU OVERs are 4-0 this year. Iowa State is 2-2 to the OVER but one of those games was the CyHawk, notorious for being UNDER.

Michigan State at Wisconsin -10 – Perfect letdown spot for the Badgers, right? Wrong. They’ve won three straight and have covered two straight. The campus is buzzing and Camp Randall will be on Saturday. MSU just got blown out at home to Nebraska. The vibes for both teams are on complete opposite ends of the spectrum.

Toledo -19.5 at Ball State – Toledo easily covered for us last week (-2.5 vs SDSU, won 41-16). Ball State is 1-4 ATS/SU with its only win, and cover, against Stony Brook. They are 0-3 as dawgs. Last year, Toledo won 38-9. I love this pick.

Ohio State -14.5 at Iowa – I wish I got this at -14, but I really don’t think Iowa can hang with the Buckeyes. Their offense looked like stinky butt at Michigan. They only won because Michigan is even more stinky butt. The schmucks are all taking the points in this one. But we’re not schmucks. This week, we support the Bucks.

Florida at Mizzou +5.5 – Similar to the Toretto. Since 2020 (when Drink took over at M.I.Z.-Z.O.U.), in a home SEC game following a loss, the Tigers are 6-3 ATS (3-1 in the past four instances). Everyone is ready to crown Florida, but this is a spot we can attack.

Bowling Green at Miami (OH) -13.5 – I’m just taking a gamble here. BGSU has not scored more than 13 points in any game this season. Miami won the last two meetings 28-12 and 27-0. It could be a slugfest, but I’m choosing to love and honor the Redhawks.

Marshall at James Madison -19.5 – There is no reason to tail me on this one. I just like what we saw out of JMU last week (-7, won 46-20 at ODU), they’re 4-0 ATS and Marshall is just 1-3 ATS. DO NOT TAIL!

Oregon State at Colorado State OVER 61.5 – I read a Reddit thread where people (bots?) we’re saying the OVER 60.5 is the play. We’ll have to settle for 61.5.

Miami (FL) at Clemson 1H OVER 25.5 – Miami’s 1H OVERS are 4-0 this year. I don’t know what kind of voodoo magic Tom Allen and a night game at Clemson will bring at the end of it all, but we know points will be scored in the first half.

Texas State -7 at San Diego State – SDSU cannot score. 10, 13 and 16 points in their last three (3) games. 0-4 ATS. Texas State has increased their scoring each game from 7 (at Texas) to 26 to 49 to 63 points. They’re not scoring 60 in this game, but I’m betting SDSU will not hang with Texas State. (Editor’s note: After this bet was placed, it was discovered that SDSU is dealing with an outbreak of the mumps. The MUMPS!)

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SEC Insider Picks of the Weekend

Last week: 2-1 / 2026 record: 8-7 / Since 2022: 85-89-3

*the following is verbatim*

Mouth Watering Pick of the Week (2026: 1-3 / Overall: 21-24-1): Alabama -6 at Mississippi State – Is this game going to be fun or what? Kamario vs Keelon. Must watch. No one is higher on the Tide than me. The MSU story is great but let’s be honest, they’re not beating Alabama.

Florida at Missouri -5.5 – Griff sent me a screenshot of his little group chat and some guy said to “Let the SEC Insider know” where all of the money is going in this one 😂. Brother – where do you think THAT guy got those stats that he tweeted out? I’m your favorite sources favorite source, champ.

Bowling Green at Miami OH -13.5 – Does Brick Street get ESPN+? Bowling Green stinks and no one has more good pub going right now than the RedHawks. You think you can join the AAC? You better run through the bad MAC teams. Yes, I like this even with the 3rd string QB going.

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Insider Dash’s Prop-aganda Parlay of the Week

2026 record: 0-4/$10 bettor = -$40

*the following is verbatim*

First TD scorer: Daniel Hill (Alabama)+Aneyas Williams (Notre Dame)+Makhi Hughes (Houston) = +22400 ($10 to win $2,240)

Don’t overthink it. Let’s have a Saturday folks.

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Prem League Advisor Pick of the Weekend

2026 record: 2-3 / Since 2023: 15-16

*the following is verbatim*

Prem is on international break this week.

I’m not satisfied 3.5 weeks into the season but I’m not totally upset either. We’re 23-20-1 overall. However, the Toretto is 1-3 with three (3) straight losses. My best bets have been my worst bets. You can fade those until further notice. But I’m not going to complain about being over 50% overall so far. I got 19 picks for you this week. It’s a wonderful slate. Get your chores done before noon ET and enjoy the ride.

Our resident SEC Insider is in the same boat as me. Dead even overall with a bunch of losers for his/her/their Mouthwatering Picks. But I’m going to continue to tail the Insider’s picks because I feel a turnaround coming. I think this is a 3-0 week for him/her/them.

Our friendly neighborhood Insider Dash will hit one of these parlays one day. It’s only a matter of time. He went 3-of-4 in his parlay last week. Linc ‘The Sink’ Kienholz couldn’t hold up his end of the bargain with 300 pass+rush yards, but the Prop-aganda parlay will prevail.

And how about the Prem League Advisor? Back against the wall, two (2) picks given out and two (2) winners provided. The EPL is on a hiatus for the international break, but new life has been breathed into our Saturday mornings.

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Where Griff was WRONG in Week 3:

Florida State at Alabama -19.5 – “FSU just fired its Athletic Director...Norvell is the most fired coach in college football, even more-so than Dave Arranda. It’s only a matter of time. Bama has looked awesome this season. Set it and forget it.” – Bama won by 14 but this never had a chance. Three (3) straight losses on the Toretto.

Kentucky at Texas A&M -16.5– “Kentucky is not playing at Kroger Field this week. I think the Midnight Yell is gonna put their minds in a pretzel.” – Kentucky won 31-21.

Where Griff was RIGHT in Week 4:

Mississippi State +4 at South Carolina – “Kamario Taylor for MSU has been awesome…I know Lanoris Sellers is the talk of the town, but I think the nation will know Kamario Taylor’s name by the end of this game.” – They trailed 16-0 then won 41-34.

Virginia Tech -3 at Maryland – “I’m just gonna keep riding Franklin and the Hokies until further notice.” – VT won 35-26.

Let’s get to the picks.

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Last week: 6-7-1 / 2026 record: 23-20-1 / Since 2022: 393-374-11

Dominic Toretto’s “Take it or leave it” Pick of the Week (2026: 1-3 / Overall: 24-26-1): Oregon at USC OVER 62.5 – Both defenses stink. USC has gone way over this total in games against Rutgers and Lafayette. Oregon in each of its three games. It was 42-27 Oregon last year. Don’t overthink this one.

Clemson at California +1.5 – The only reason Clemson won vs. UNC last week is because the game was delayed for multiple hours. And they only covered the spread (-3) with a TD with one (1) minute left. Clemson is 1-2 ATS this season. JKS and Cal went cross-country to Syracuse a couple weeks ago and won outright at +4 dawgs. Clemson will not follow suit.

Texas -5.5 at Tennessee – Texas’ first ever trip to Knoxville. If this were a night game, the bet would be Tennessee. But it’s at 11 a.m. central time. Listen, I’m as low on Arch as anyone, but Tennessee has not been tested. They’ve beaten three teams that have not beaten an FBS team this year. Their freshman QB has been good, but Nico was a freshman and looked great in his first few games, then he played an SEC team (Oklahoma, I believe) and hell went to shit. I think Texas will outclass the Vols.

Illinois at OSU -27.5 – The Buckeyes are 3-0 ATS. Illinois (1-2 ATS) has been fraudulent since the start of the 2025 season. They barely covered against Southern Illinois last week (-35, won 48-10).

Wake Forest at Louisville -12.5 – UofL is just good, man. 3-0 ATS and SU. I think this line is this small because Wake only lost by 13 to Miami last week. But they still got torched by Mensah and Toney. The Deacons otherwise are 1-2 ATS, failing to cover against Purdue and Akron. Louisville OVERs are also 3-0 this year.

Virginia Tech -14 at Boston College – BC’s only cover this year was the “Red Bandana” game, at home on 9/11 against Rutgers after Schiano and Co. lost to UMass at home. They were -37.5 against Maine last week and only won 22-16. VT has been our squad this year. I’m not detracting.

San Diego State at Toledo -3 – The Rockets had a miracle, come-from-behind win last week to beat Temple 49-48 in OT. 2-1 ATS. Remember in Week 1, they almost beat Michigan State. And what the fuck is San Diego State doing in Toledo, Ohio? They’re 0-3 ATS. They got no business crossing three time zones for this game.

Ole Miss +3.5 at Florida – I’m not taking the drugs, Jon Sumrall.

Iowa at Michigan UNDER 38.5 – Small sample size, but neither of these teams have gone over this total in their P4 games this year. I think Bryce Underwood is Denard Robinson -2.0.

Oklahoma at Georgia -14 – Mateer is broken. He didn’t realize his guy was wide open for a touchdown last week until the crowd started yelling at him to throw it to the open man. I think Georgia wins 34-10.

UConn +3.5 at Miami (OH) and OVER 51.5 – Miami coming off a game against UC they easily could’ve won. Big letdown spot. And of the six (6) total games both teams have played, at least 52 points have been scored in each game.

Vanderbilt at Auburn -9.5 – Tailing the Insider.

Nebraska at Michigan State +5.5 – There’s just something off-putting about Nebraska. They’re 3-0 but haven’t played a P4 team. This is their first road game. I just don’t care for them. No reason to tail me here. Easy fade.

James Madison -6 at Old Dominion – Just following the numbers here. One team is 3-0 ATS and SU. The other is 0-3 ATS and 1-2 SU. They’ve played every season since 2022: JMU is 3-1 ATS and 4-0 SU.

South Carolina at Alabama -12.5 – Tailing the Insider.

Oklahoma State at West Virginia OVER 60.5 – The most exciting game on the slate. Sixty-three (63) degrees and partly cloudy in Morgantown. Five (5) mph wind gusts. We could see 90 points.

Missouri at Mississippi State -6.5 – I’m really high (not on drugs, Jon Sumrall) on MSU and Kamario Taylor. I can’t quit right now. Bulldogs are 3-0 ATS, including 2-0 against the P4 (Minnesota and South Carolina). MIZ-ZOU (1-2 ATS) covered against Kansas, but we’ve established on this blog that Kansas is hot garbage. I think this should be MSU -12.5.

Georgia Tech at Stanford +3.5 – GT’s loss to Colorado is looking worse by the week. They’re 0-3 ATS. Now, the cross-country trip. Stanford had the Week 1 win and cover against Hawaii. Then they played Miami (FL), maybe the best offense in the nation right now, and cross-country at Duke (L 35-7). I just don’t think there’s any logical reason for GT to be favored in this game. Stanford has had a tough go of it to start the year. Wake up with a dub.

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SEC Insider Picks of the Weekend

Last week: 2-1 / 2026 record: 6-6 / Since 2022: 83-88-3

*the following is verbatim*

Mouth Watering Pick of the Week (2026: 0-3 / Overall: 20-24-1): South Carolina at Alabama -12.5 – This is where it all falls apart for Shane Beamer. Is there a more punchable face in college football? Tide at home will be too much for Beamer and co to handle. You can’t handle Mississippi State at home? You ain’t hanging in T-Town.

Vanderbilt at Auburn -9.5 – Welcome to the SEC Jared Curtis. I think DJ Durkin is a good DC (Maybe not a good person). Auburn hung around pretty well with Florida last week. Environment, bright lights, crazy looks from Durkin’s D will be too much for the Dores.

Oregon -3 at USC – I refuse to believe USC is actually any good. Oregon’s back is already against the wall. I like Lanning in a must win spot.

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Insider Dash’s Prop-aganda Parlay of the Week

2026 record: 0-3/$10 bettor = -$30

*the following is verbatim*

Avery Johnson+Arch Manning+Kamario Taylor+Trinidad Chambliss – 300+ passing+rushing yards each = +1301 on DK ($10 to win $130)

This is a get right game. $100 gets you $1300 back. Is it NBA season yet?

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Prem League Advisor Pick of the Weekend

2026 record: 2-3 / Since 2023: 15-16

*the following is verbatim*

Prem is on international break for the next two (2) weeks.

It’s hard to argue much with the start to the season I, personally, have had. I’m 17-13 overall, but just 1-2 on the Toretto. I feel confident that the Toretto will be 2-2 after this week.

The SEC Insider (I don’t know, do you?) is letting us down. 4-5 overall and 0-2 on the Mouthwatering Pick. I’m not going to sound the alarm quite yet, but this individual needs to show us some sort of progress. It’s just been downhill since the start of last season. Fortunately, he/she/they/ze and I are aligned on one game and I am tailing the Insider’s two other picks. This is the week when things get right.

Insider Dash’s Prop-aganda Parlay of the Week is 0-2, but these are not all going to hit, folks. Dash hit 2 of the 4 legs last weekend. He’s getting there. It’s only a matter of time. I’m going to win this parlay when it hits. Will you?

And the Prem League Advisor……….I thought it would be fun to add this component to the blog. Is losing, this much, fun? Not really. 0-3 on the season and under .500 overall. You do not need to take any of these picks. At this point, I wanna see the Advisor lose em all. That would be a hell of an accomplishment. But the Advisor is giving us two picks this week to get back on track. Make or break.

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Where Griff was WRONG in Week 2:

Utah State at Washington -26.5 – “I think Washington will look like a top 25 team in this game. Again, last week was a rivalry game and WSU had all offseason to plan for that game. Washington still won by 14. Utah State lost to Idaho State last week. I don’t know what that really means for us, but I don’t think it’s good for Utah State. This will be an easy cover.“ – Washington won by 2 (16-14).

USF at Army -3.5 – “Respect the troops.” – USF won 28-24.

Where Griff was RIGHT in Week 2:

Old Dominion at Virginia Tech -19.5 – “James Franklin can’t win the big one, but he’s still a good coach who wins games he’s supposed to win. VT won 73-3 last week against a shitty FCS team. I don’t know what kind of team ODU is, but they’re not ‘the big one.'” – VT won by 23.

Ohio State +1.5 at Texas – “I’m a B1G guy.” – Never a doubt.

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Last week: 7-6 / 2026 record: 17-13 / Since 2022: 387-367-10

Dominic Toretto’s “Take it or leave it” Pick of the Week (2026: 1-2 / Overall: 24-25-1): Florida State at Alabama -19.5 – FSU just fired its Athletic Director. They’re 1-1 this year. Norvell is the most fired coach in college football, even more-so than Dave Arranda. It’s only a matter of time. Bama has looked awesome this season. Set it and forget it.

Georgia -24.5 at Arkansas – Tailing the Insider.

North Carolina +3.5 at Clemson – Clemson is starting a true freshman QB against Bill Belichick.

Arizona State -6 at Kansas – The case for ASU: they were down 24-20 in the 4th quarter at Texas A&M before losing 48-20. It was competitive for a long time in a non-rivalry game. They won 70-7 against Bum Fuck University in Week 1. This team is good, and they got a good coach, they just got steamrolled in the 4th Q last week. The case against Kansas: they left it all on the field in a huge rivalry game against Mizzou and lost 38-21. Their QB was making some outrageous decisions and finished 13/30 for 168, 2 TD and 2 INT. He also had 20 rushes for 23 yards. I think Kansas is cooked and this guy is gonna blow it for the Jayhawks in this game.

Tulane at Kansas State -20.5 – These guys may be onto something. Insider Dash has always been an Avery Johnson ryder. The guy may be coming into his own this year. And Colin Klein may be the real deal as a head coach.

Kentucky at Texas A&M -16.5 – Kentucky is not playing at Kroger Field this week. I think the Midnight Yell is gonna put their minds in a pretzel.

SMU at Louisville ML (-120) – Tailing the Insider.

Western Kentucky at Indiana -44.5 – Georgia and IU in back-to-back weeks? After getting slaughtered Mortal Kombat-style 70-20 last week, you really think the Hilltoppers are up for the challenge again? Gimme a break.

Mississippi State +4 at South Carolina – Kamario Taylor for MSU has been awesome in two (2) games: 7 pass TD and 0 INT, 145 yards rushing and a TD. MSU went to Minnesota last week and won 38-13. I know Lanoris Sellers is the talk of the town, but I think the nation will know Kamario Taylor’s name by the end of this game.

LSU -3 at Ole Miss – Just a gut feeling pick. (Editor’s note: I made this pick Wednesday morning around 1 a.m. ET. I’m writing this sentence Thursday morning at 1 a.m. ET, after Levitt appeared on the Injury Report. I still love the pick.)

Michigan State at Notre Dame -29.5 – I picked MSU to go over 4.5 regular season wins. They’re 2-0. I did not expect them to beat Notre Dame. I still don’t. And this will be a game to forget for the Spartans.

BYU -17.5 at Colorado State – Here’s the lowdown on CSU: they’re 2-0 with wins over Wyoming and an FCS team that scored 24 points last week and racked up 442 yards of offense. Any FBS team that gives up that many yards and points to an FCS team cannot be taken seriously. I think BYU could win by 30.

Virginia Tech -3 at Maryland – I’m just gonna keep riding Franklin and the Hokies until further notice.

Purdue at UCLA -14 – UCLA has looked really good with a 2-0 record SU and ATS. They get to stay home while Purdue makes the three timezone jump. Purdue is 1-1 SU and ATS. They don’t have the magic in them to pull this off. Wake up Sunday morning with a win in this one.

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SEC Insider Picks of the Weekend

Last week: 1-2 / 2026 record: 4-5 / Since 2022: 81-87-3

*the following is verbatim*

Why not give Texas ML last week you dang fool? That and Michigan were the easiest bets of the week and you whiffed.

The only way out is through.

Mouth Watering Pick of the Week (2026: 0-2 / Overall: 20-23-1): Kentucky at Texas A&M -16.5 – This is going to go south quick for UK. They realistically lost by 35 at home to Bama without the defensive lineman pick 6. Now you head to Kyle Field? Good luck[.]

Georgia -24.5 at Arkansas – Arkansas is the worst team in the conference. Georgia has been dominating the nobodies. Smart welcomes Silverfield to the SEC with an ass whipping.

SMU at Louisville ML (-120) – I came away impressed by what they did against Ole Miss. SMU beating FSU is not impressive. Give me the Cards at home. L1C4[.]

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Insider Dash’s Prop-aganda Parlay of the Week

2026 record: 0-2/$10 bettor = -$20

*the following is verbatim*

Avery Johnson (Kansas State) – 300+ passing+rushing yards / Lincoln Kienholz (Louisville) – 300+ passing+rushing yards / Keelon Russell (Alabama) – 300+ passing+rushing yards / Trinidad Chambliss (Ole Miss) – 300+ passing+rushing yards = +1905 on DK ($10 to win $190)

Let’s get one here folks. I wouldn’t be shocked if they get this just through the air. You add the run game and we will hit this easy.

#YitYat

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Prem League Advisor Pick of the Weekend

2026 record: 0-3 / Since 2023: 13-16

*the following is verbatim*

Double chance, double picks, double jeopardy.

Brighton Double Chance +110 AND Aston Villa Double Chance -135

This is a get it right or get out week. Hand up 0-3 start is not good. We were killed by a red card last week but I stand by the pick. I have a secret sub-advisor this week that helped me with these picks so I feel good. Brighton at home can pull out at least a draw, public loves Arsenal and I like this spot. Villa cannot be this bad, starting 0-3-1 means they are undervalued. Wouldn’t be surprised if Villa wins outright.