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Where Griff was WRONG:

Auburn at Arkansas -3: “Auburn is officially dead to this blog. Hugh Freeze is getting fired. Jackson Arnold is not HIM. Arkansas is due for a win under Petrino and it will come at the hand of the Tigers.” – Auburn won 33-24.

Illinois +3.5 at Washington: “This line SCREAMS Washington. That’s not even bait. It’s stupidity. All Illinois has done this year is win and cover in every single game besides the two games vs the two best teams in the country, OSU and Indiana. People have been hyping up Washington all year as “under-appreciated,” but they are 3-4 ATS. I think this line is a joke and recommend taking Illinois ml as well.” – Washington won 42-25.

Houston at Arizona St -7: “I’ve enjoyed betting on Houston most of this season, which means I am more than qualified to know when to bet against them. We faded the Cougars against Texas Tech a few weeks ago. ASU has a healthy Sam Leavitt and is ranked again (#24). I like the Sun Devils at home.” – Houston won 24-16.

Where Griff was RIGHT:

Oklahoma State at Texas Tech -37.5: “’I’m gonna continue to bet against OK St until they prove to be competitive.’ I wrote that two weeks ago. I wrote it last week. I will write it again next week.” – Texas Tech won 42-0.

South Florida at Memphis +6: “Both teams are 6-1 SU and ATS. Why is South Florida #18 in the AP poll but Memphis is unranked? I don’t know. Memphis, as a 24 point favorite, lost to UAB last week. Maybe UAB got a little jolt from firing Trent Dilfer and, perhaps, Memphis was looking ahead to this game? Meanwhile, USF had “the two best wins in the country” to begin the season: “upsetting” then-ranked Boise State (now 5-2) and “upsetting” then-ranked Florida (just fired head coach) before losing 49-12 at Miami (FL). I think these teams are equals. This line is way too big.” – Memphis won 34-31.

Virginia at UNC +10.5: “After examining Virginia’s schedule thus far, I’ve determined they are not that serious of a contender (full disclosure: I have not watched a single snap of theirs this season). Their best win is a 30-27 win at Louisville three weeks ago as a 6.5 point dawg. UofL is a fine team at 5-1, but last week’s win at Miami (FL) was more about the Canes looking like ass and Carson Beck throwing four (4) picks. UNC managed to go to California last week and cover as 7.5 point dawgs. I think they show up for this one.” – Virginia won 17-16.

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Last week: 9-6-1 / In 2025: 69-60-4 / Since 2022: 323-304-8

Dominic Toretto’s “Take it or leave it” Pick of the Week (In 2025: 3-6 / Overall: 20-19-1): Oklahoma State at Kansas -24.5 – “I’m gonna continue to bet against OK St until they prove to be competitive.” I wrote that three weeks ago. I wrote it two weeks ago. I wrote it last week. I will write it again next week.

Penn State TT u13.5 and at Ohio State -19.5 – Set it and forget it.

Vandy +3 at Texas – I cannot trust Texas in any game that they are favored. Why would you?

West Virginia at Houston -12.5 – The Cougars are 4-1 ATS as a favorite this year. Rich Rodriguez is 8-15 ATS as a double-digit dawg in his career. WVU has lost five straight games SU. All bad vibes for the Mountaineers and Houston is still playing for a chance to get to the Playoff.

Navy at North Texas -6.5 – This week’s “I Really Just Wanna Bet On This Team” Game of the Week (2-0 this season). The Mean Green (7-1) are the best team not enough people are talking about. They beat Army 45-38 a little over a month ago so we don’t have to be concerned about the military academy stuff. UNT is also 6-2 ATS and Navy is 2-5 ATS.

UCF +3 at Baylor – Baylor is 1-7 ATS this year. Like Texas, you cannot trust this team as a favorite. They’ve lost two straight after coming off a bye. UCF has covered in two straight and they are coming off their bye week.

Army at Air Force UNDER 48.5 – This game has gone UNDER in every game for the last 11 years.

Georgia -7 at Florida – Georgia has been favored in this game five (5) straight years now. The Dawgs covered the last four by an average of 21.5 points. Do you really think this Florida team is any better than the last four? We will find out if Billy Napier was the problem or if the Gators are just a B-tier program now.

Texas Tech at Kansas State +7.5 – This is crazy for me, considering all the praise I’ve given Texas Tech and how many times I’ve called Kansas State frauds. But I think ‘gotcha culture’ is coming for the Red Raiders. They host BYU next week, the best team remaining on their schedule. KSU has covered four (4) straight games now, three (3) straight as dawgs.

Michigan State at Minnesota -3.5 – I’m reading way too much about Michigan State probably firing its coach after the season. The Spartans (3-5) have lost five straight games SU. Minnesota isn’t much better with a 5-3 overall record, but no one is talking about PJ Fleck getting fired. I understand if the .5 in 3.5 will scare you away. This is a very fadeable pick.

Pitt -14 at Stanford – Pitt is 4-0 ATS since making the QB change. This is the biggest they’ve been favored in that stretch, and they got the cross-country game, but Stanford also went to Miami (FL) last week and lost 42-7 so they could have some jet lag. I’m gonna keep riding the hot hand.

Mississippi State +4.5 at Arkansas – Like Texas and Baylor, why is Arkansas favored? The Bulldogs, meanwhile, are 4-1 ATS as dawgs this year.

Purdue at Michigan -21 – I hate this pick. Michigan does not blow teams out (biggest win this year over a P4 team is by 17 points). Purdue does not get blown out (one loss this year by more than 21 points). But last week, Michigan scored 30 points for the first time since Week 1 with Sherrone Moore coaching and I think they might be finding a groove on offense. Confused yet? Me too. Don’t tail me on this one.

South Carolina at Ole Miss -12.5 – Tailing the Insider.

Georgia Tech -5.5 at NC State – Haynes King and the Yellow Jackets are for real. In year’s past, NC State would be enticing to take in this spot. But the Wolfpack have lost 4 of the last 5 games SU and ATS (its only win was against Campbell (?)). Tech has covered three straight games and are 2-1 ATS on the road this year.

Oklahoma at Tennessee -3 – I’ve lost faith in Oklahoma. Mateer coming back too early from his injury ruined it for the Sooners. Neyland@Night.

Wake Forest at Florida State -10.5 – Mainstream Bias Pick of the Week. I loved Wake Forest. The bias got to me. FSU is coming off a bye and Mike Norvell is 9-2 ATS after a bye. I guess Thomas Castellanos was injured but now he’s expected to play? And FSU is getting some big-time cornerback back from injury? The Noles have lost four (4) straight ATS. Wake Forest has won four (4) straight ATS. I’m not following the logic, I’m following the bias.

Hawaii +1.5 at San Jose State – Hawaii is 6-2 ATS. San Jose St is 3-4 ATS. Fall (back) asleep and wake up Sunday morning with an extra hour of sleep and a win.

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SEC Insider Picks of the Weekend

Last week: 1-2 / 2025 record: 12-15 / Since 2022: 66-74-3

*the following is verbatim*

Mouth Watering Pick of the Week (3-5 in 2025 / 17-18-1 overall): Oklahoma at Tennessee -2.5 – Dark [sic for ‘mode’ not ‘made’] made – Activated. Neyland black out incoming. I’ve got goose bumps just thinking about it. I don’t think Oklahoma is as good as they were made out to be. I like this TN team a lot. If Aguilar can get time, he will pick this Sooner D [sic for ‘apart’ not ‘a part’] a part

South Carolina at Ole Miss -12.5 – Can Beamer get his team up to play after last weeks heart break? I think the players have to be [sic] of his corn ball talk with no results this year. Rebs at home are no joke. Look for some style points. I see Lane wanting to stick it to Beamer

Penn State at Ohio State -19.5 – Why the hell not? Has Penn State shown you anything to that makes you think they can keep this within 3 scores? I can’t remember a team as dominant yet feels somehow no one really talk about them like the Buckeyes. They are a freight train and no one can stop them besides themselves at this point. Bucks – B1G!

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Prem League Advisor Pick of the Weekend

2025 record: 3-4 / Since 2023: 11-10

*the following is verbatim*

Brentford Double Chance -120

Sitting on my couch last Saturday watching our parlay lose killed me. This is a get right week. I am introducing a new strategy called, “Fade the easy ML bet [sic for no punctuation]” Crystal Palace is -110 to win. A simple [sic for ‘bettor’ not ‘better’] better would say, wow -110 that’s easy, I like that number, it reminds me of the bets I normally make! We are not a simple [sic] better, we take the opposite. Brentford win or draw.

Where Griff was WRONG:

Texas Tech -7 at Arizona State: “Tech is 6-0 ATS now. Not sure if [sic] Same Leavitt is suiting up for ASU. Give me a reason to not keep betting Texas Tech.” – Tech lost 26-22. [sic] Same Leavitt did in fact play.

LSU +1.5 at Vanderbilt: “I don’t think Vandy has been tested enough this year. LSU’s offense hasn’t looked great (haven’t scored more than 20 points vs a P4 team) but their defense is great (have given up either 7 or 10 points in every game besides giving up 24 in a loss at Ole Miss).” – Vandy won 31-24.

Ole Miss +7 at Georgia: “There’s just no reason to believe Georgia will win this game by more than a touchdown.” – Georgia won 43-35.

Where Griff was RIGHT:

Washington at Michigan UNDER 51.5: “The Huskies have not given up more than 24 points all season. Washington’s games have gone UNDER the total in three (3) straight games. Michigan is 3-1 to the UNDER with Sherrone Moore as head coach (OVER is 2-0 with Biff Poggi).” – Michigan won 24-7.

Texas A&M at Arkansas +7.5: “The second straight “I Really Just Wanna Bet On This Team” Game of the Week (1-0, Kent State beat UMass last week)…A&M has looked the part this whole year, but I gotta follow my gut.” – Texas A&M won 45-42.

Cincinnati -21.5 at Oklahoma State: “’I’m gonna continue to bet against OK St until they prove to be competitive.’ I wrote that last week. I will write it again next week.” – UC won 49-17. The real conundrum now is that OK St is at Texas Tech this week. Tech is -38.5. What to do. What to do.

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Last week: 10-8 / In 2025: 60-54-3 / Since 2022: 314-298-7

Dominic Toretto’s “Take it or leave it” Pick of the Week (In 2025: 3-5 / Overall: 20-18-1): Wisconsin at Oregon -31.5 – Wisconsin is dead. We know this. Been outscored 71-0 the last two games. 122-20 in four B1G games. Moving on.

Ole Miss +5.5 at Oklahoma – Here’s why you should fade me: Since 2021, the Rebels are 1-5 ATS as an away underdog and 3-7-1 ATS after a loss. Here’s why you should NOT fade me: we all know Ole Miss is the better team right now. The Insider provides analysis into this game in the section below. TLDR: “I think we know what we’ll get from Chambliss. I don’t know which Mateer we will get.”

Virginia at UNC +10.5 – After examining Virginia’s schedule thus far, I’ve determined they are not that serious of a contender (full disclosure: I have not watched a single snap of theirs this season). Their best win is a 30-27 win at Louisville three weeks ago as a 6.5 point dawg. UofL is a fine team at 5-1, but last week’s win at Miami (FL) was more about the Canes looking like ass and Carson Beck throwing four (4) picks. UNC managed to go to California last week and cover as 7.5 point dawgs. I think they show up for this one.

South Florida at Memphis +6 – Both teams are 6-1 SU and ATS. Why is South Florida #18 in the AP poll but Memphis is unranked? I don’t know. Memphis, as a 24 point favorite, lost to UAB last week. Maybe UAB got a little jolt from firing Trent Dilfer and, perhaps, Memphis was looking ahead to this game? Meanwhile, USF had “the two best wins in the country” to begin the season: “upsetting” then-ranked Boise State (now 5-2) and “upsetting” then-ranked Florida (just fired head coach) before losing 49-12 at Miami (FL). I think these teams are equals. This line is way too big.

Auburn at Arkansas -3 – Auburn has lost four (4) straight SEC games by a combined 29 points. They covered the spread in one of those games. Arkansas is 2-0 ATS since Bobby Petrino’s coup about a month ago. Those are just facts. My opinion? Auburn is officially dead to this blog. Hugh Freeze is getting fired. Jackson Arnold is not HIM. Arkansas is due for a win under Petrino and it will come at the hand of the Tigers.

Alabama at South Carolina +11.5 – Strictly taking the stats on this one: Kalen DeBoer is 1-4 ATS as a double-digit favorite away from home at Bama and Shane Beamer is 6-1 ATS vs top-10 teams at South Carolina.

Mizzou at Vandy -3 – I’ve learned my lesson betting against Diego Pavia. Vandy is real, and they are more real than Mizzou. The best team the Tigers have played, Alabama, resulted in a 27-24 loss and an ATS push. A road win at Auburn would look better if Auburn were actually good at football. I like Vandy coming off the emotional win over LSU, but try to get it at 2.5.

BYU at Iowa State – 2.5 – This line SCREAMS BYU. I’m not taking the bait. Iowa State is in overall bad shape, having lost two straight and 4 of the last 5 ATS. But they’re coming off a bye and I think they needed it. From Action Network: Matt Campbell is 6-2 ATS at home after a bye and “Top-15 teams coming off an upset win over a ranked opponent have hit at 44% ATS historically in their next game. When that opponent is coming off a bye (like Iowa State), they have gone just 5-19 ATS (20.8%), including 1-9 on the road.”

Illinois +3.5 at Washington – This line SCREAMS Washington. That’s not even bait. It’s stupidity. All Illinois has done this year is win and cover in every single game besides the two games vs the two best teams in the country, OSU and Indiana. People have been hyping up Washington all year as “under-appreciated,” but they are 3-4 ATS. I think this line is a joke and recommend taking Illinois ml as well.

NC State at Pitt – 6.5 – I’ve been riding Pitt since they made the QB change a few weeks ago and it’s been working. 3-0 SU and ATS in the Panthers’ last three games, two of those as favorites of 6.5 and 9.5.

UMass at Central Michigan -16.5 – UMass is the literal worst team in the country. 0-7 SU but 2-5 ATS. CMU has beaten a team 49-10 this season, so this is possible. No reason to tail me on this one.

Baylor at Cincinnati -3.5 – The Cats are just rolling and Baylor is not. Baylor has lost five (5) straight ATS. UC has covered 4 of its last 5 ATS. There is just no logical reason to take Baylor in this game.

Oklahoma State at Texas Tech -37.5 – “I’m gonna continue to bet against OK St until they prove to be competitive.” I wrote that two weeks ago. I wrote it last week. I will write it again next week.

Texas at Mississippi State +7 – I just don’t know how you can trust Texas, on the road as a touchdown favorite. They look like shit. Texas is 0-2 ATS as a road favorite this season.

Texas A&M at LSU +2.5 – Tailing the Insider.

Houston at Arizona St -7 – I’ve enjoyed betting on Houston most of this season, which means I am more than qualified to know when to bet against them. We faded the Cougars against Texas Tech a few weeks ago. ASU has a healthy Sam Leavitt and is ranked again (#24). I like the Sun Devils at home.

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SEC Insider Picks of the Weekend

Last week: 3-0 / 2025 record: 11-13 / Since 2022: 65-72-3

*the following is verbatim*

Fade away boys, fade away. Big sweep for the program last week. Can we get a “Where the Insider was RIGHT” spot this week Griff?

Mouth Watering Pick of the Week (3-4 in 2025 / 17-17-1 overall): Texas A&M at LSU ML +120 – I think the Texas A&M Magic runs out this week. Do we really think they can run the table and go undefeated? Do we really think they can go 11-1? Do we really think they can play for an SEC Title? LSU’s backs are against the wall. Welcome to Death Valley at night.

Auburn at Arkansas UNDER 55.5 – I’m seeing reports of horrific weather in Fayetteville this weekend. Steady rain, gusts of 20+. Im expecting turnovers and bad football.

Ole Miss +5.5 at Oklahoma – I think we see a good response out of the Rebs. All their goals are still ahead of them. Lane knows the Sooners are stealing signals and won’t let that happen. Ole Miss looked pretty darn good last week. I think we know what we’ll get from Chambliss. I don’t know which Mateer we will get. Rebs.

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Prem League Advisor Pick of the Weekend

2025 record: 3-3 / Since 2023: 11-9

*the following is verbatim*

Chelsea ML + Newcastle ML +115

No better way to spend your Saturday morning than betting 2 ML favorites, sitting on your couch, and eagerly awaiting a day of college football. That’s what I’ll be doing. We’re on a roll let’s keep the momentum going

Where Griff was WRONG:

Indiana at Oregon OVER 53.5: “I’ll take the points because both teams have great offenses and they don’t mind playing in a shootout-type of game. Feel free to fade this one.” – I should’ve trusted my heart. This was the most ‘I don’t know what to do with my hands,’ outcome imaginable. I remember last year, when IU was 2-0, they went on the road and beat UCLA in primetime on NBC. That was an, ‘oh shit, maybe this Cignetti guy is the real deal’ moment. Even when we were 5-0 going on the road to Northwestern, that was still a traditional B1G road game where the Hoosiers shit the bed. We only led by three (3) in Q4 but won 41-24. Cig went to the student section and shouted, ‘GO IU! GO IU!.’ Now he’s the third highest paid coach in college football and we’re on the road to 12-0. 12/6/25.

Washington State at Ole Miss -31.5: “As a home favorite of 30+ points since 2021, Kiffin and Ole Miss are 6-2-1 ATS, covering in four straight games.” – Ole Miss only won 24-21.

Wake Forest at Oregon State +3: “I’ve been a proponent of betting against the 0-6 Beavers this year. This week, the turn tables. This game means absolutely NOTHING to Wake Forest.” – Wake Forest won 39-14.

Where Griff was RIGHT:

Kansas at Texas Tech -14: “This is my team and I’m riding them until they tell me not to. 5-0 ATS. Let’s keep it going.” – Tech won 42-17.

Pitt +10 at Florida State: “I think FSU is joining my fraternity of fraudulent teams…Pitt made a QB change last week, going with a freshman over Eli Holstein, and beat Boston College 48-7. It feels sacrilegious to support a team that dropped a Jew the same week that Israeli hostages are being reunited with their families, but here we are.” – Pitt won outright 34-31.

Iowa -3 at Wisconsin: “This is a great spot to take Wisconsin, yeah? No. This blog has established that the Badgers are dead, even though everything is setup for them to win/cover here. In its last six (6) B1G night games on the road, Iowa is 2-4 SU. During the spring, Wisconsin players were doing 42 pushups after each practice, a reminder they gave up 42 points to Iowa in a loss last year. Maybe Wisconsin has had their sights set on this game all year and that’s why they suck? No. They suck because they suck. The pushups are way too gimmicky. I do that, and more, almost every day. Don’t fall for this. Take Iowa.” – Iowa won 37-0.

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Last week: 9-8-1 / In 2025: 50-46-3 / Since 2022: 304-290-7

Dominic Toretto’s “Take it or leave it” Pick of the Week (In 2025: 3-4 / Overall: 20-17-1): Texas Tech -7 at Arizona State – Tech is 6-0 ATS now. Not sure if Same Leavitt is suiting up for ASU. Give me a reason to not keep betting Texas Tech.

Washington at Michigan UNDER 51.5 – This is going to be an ugly game. You got Washington (5-1) starting at 9am PT/12pm ET. The Huskies have not given up more than 24 points all season. Washington’s games have gone UNDER the total in three (3) straight games. Michigan is 3-1 to the UNDER with Sherrone Moore as head coach (OVER is 2-0 with Biff Poggi).

LSU +1.5 at Vanderbilt – The last time Vandy was a favorite at home of 7 points or less was in 2019 (they beat Northern Illinois 24-18, did not cover the 7pt spread). Pavia and Co. have only been favored by single digits once in the last two years (-8.5 at Georgia State in 2024, lost SU 36-32). I don’t think Vandy has been tested enough this year. LSU’s offense hasn’t looked great (haven’t scored more than 20 points vs a P4 team) but their defense is great (have given up either 7 or 10 points in every game besides giving up 24 in a loss at Ole Miss). Tired of the parentheses yet? Take LSU in what should be a close game.

Georgia Tech +1.5 at Duke – Tailing the Insider (I’m a little nervous about this one though). Tech went 1-2 ATS as a road dawg last season. This is the first time in this spot for the Jackets this season. Duke has covered three straight as favorites of less than five (5) points and are coming off a bye.

Arizona at Houston +1.5 – After betting on these teams the last few weeks, I believe Houston is the better team. Only loss is to Texas Tech and they’re 4-2 ATS. Arizona’s biggest wins are over Kansas State (frauds) and Oklahoma State (bigger frauds). I should be taking Houston ml but I’ll play it safe.

West Virginia at UCF -7.5 – This blog has been monitoring WVU’s status all year and has determined the Mountaineers are not that good. We predicted their big win over Pitt in Week 3, but they haven’t done diddly since then. Three straight conference losses, all by at least 14 points. UCF is not a great team either (3-3 SU and ATS) but I don’t trust WVU on the road in this spot.

Michigan State at Indiana -27.5 – Under Coach Cig, IU is 5-2 ATS as a home favorite of at least 25 points. Michigan State just got humiliated at home by the emerging power that is UCLA. There’s nothing for them to prove in this game. Per Bite-Sized Bison, the Hoosiers may be susceptible to giving up a big play or two, but IU dominates MSU in every other metric. 12/6/25.

Ole Miss +7 at Georgia – There’s just no reason to believe Georgia will win this game by more than a touchdown. The best teams the Dawgs have played (Bama and Tennessee) were in games decided by a total of 6 points. Ole Miss escaped Washington State last week with a 24-21 win because Lane Kiffin has had this game on his mind for a while. The SEC is hard to read this year, but this game will be close, so take the points.

Texas A&M at Arkansas +7.5 – The second straight “I Really Just Wanna Bet On This Team” Game of the Week (1-0, Kent State beat UMass last week). I really wanna bet on Bobby Petrino. I didn’t last week when the Razorbacks covered against Tennessee (L 34-31 but covered +10.5). A&M has looked the part this whole year, but I gotta follow my gut.

Ohio State -25.5 at Wisconsin – Did you read my blurb about Wisconsin in the ‘Where Griff was RIGHT’ section? Go do that.

UNLV +13.5 at Boise State – I’m legitimately confused by this line. UNLV is 6-0. Boise is 4-2. I haven’t read anything about UNLV missing a key player to injury. Boise State coaches and the AD are asking fans to stay for the whole game this Saturday, but it’s a sold-out game. Definitely feel free to fade this one, but UNLV being that much of a dawg makes zero sense.

Oregon -17.5 at Rutgers +17.5 – I wanted to take Rutgers, but I remembered how good of a team Oregon is (despite losing at home to Indiana) and how good of a coach Dan Lanning is (despite being outcoached by Cig). The Ducks do not care about a cross-country flight to Piscataway or Rutgers celebrating Homecoming. Oregon is one of the best teams in the country. They will take care of business on the road, far away from home, because that’s what good teams do.

Texas at Kentucky +12.5 – Really, how good was Texas’ win over Oklahoma last week? Arch wasn’t spectacular (21/27-166-1td), Mateer shouldn’t have come back from his injury that soon (3 INTs) and Texas’ defense never really felt challenged. Kentucky is coming off a bye week. As a home dawg of at least 10 points since 2018, Stoops and the Cats are 5-1 ATS.

Penn State at Iowa -3 – I don’t think firing Franklin will put a jolt into Penn State. There’s no reason they can’t salvage their season, but it won’t start this week on the road at Iowa. The Hawkeyes are 5-1 ATS. Penn State is 0-6 ATS.

Tennessee +8.5 at Alabama – This is dangerous for me because of how much the blog likes Bama. They are 4-0-1 ATS after losing to Florida State in Week 1. The push was at Mizzou last week. Tennessee has failed to cover the spread in three straight games. This is a bad bet. Just fade this one.

Mizzou ml -122 at Auburn – Tailing the Insider.

Utah -3.5 at BYU – Utah is 5-1 SU. BYU is 6-0. But the Utes have been tested more than BYU has. Utah got spanked at home vs Texas Tech, covered the spread in a win over a bad West Virginia team and blew out Arizona State 42-10 (ASU did not have Sam Leavitt). According to my calculations, BYU’s only legit win is over Colorado (24-21, didn’t cover spread). They also beat WVU and Arizona but we’ve established those teams are bad, and Colorado may be as well. Give me Utah in the Holy War.

Cincinnati -21.5 at Oklahoma State – “I’m gonna continue to bet against OK St until they prove to be competitive.” I wrote that last week. I will write it again next week. They are 1-5 ATS. UC fucked us last week, but in this blog, we bet against the very bad teams no matter what.

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SEC Insider Picks of the Weekend

Last week: 1-2 / 2025 record: 8-13 / Since 2022: 62-72-3

*the following is verbatim*

Mouth Watering Pick of the Week (2-4 in 2025 / 16-17-1 overall): Missouri ml -122 at Auburn – I truly do not think Auburn can bounce back from what happened at the end of the 1st half against Georgia. They responded about as poorly as you can. From the AD to the Head Coach to the players. Hugh lost the locker room this week when they kicked that RB off the team. Pretty telling when all the players come out in support of the player. I expect Freeze gone soon.

Ohio State -25.5 at Wisconsin – Wisconsin is about as bad as it gets and this OSU train has no signs of stopping. Buckeyes roll.

Georgia Tech ml +100 at Duke – Insiders know I picked GT to win the conference pre season. Brent Key has these boys playing some football. I like the Jackets to get up for this noon kick on the road.

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Prem League Advisor Pick of the Weekend

2025 record: 2-3 / Since 2023: 10-9

Man City ML + Arsenal ML +109

No write up. Business decision. ML parlay top teams that’s the strategy

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Last week: 8-6 / In 2025: 41-38-2 / Since 2022: 295-282-6

Dominic Toretto’s “Take it or leave it” Pick of the Week (In 2025: 2-4 / Overall: 19-17-1): Kansas at Texas Tech -14 – This is my team and I’m riding them until they tell me not to. 5-0 ATS. Let’s keep it going.

Ohio State -14 at Illinois TTu 17.5 – Yeah, I’m doubling down on this game because OSU is proving to be the real deal again. The Bucks have not given up double digit points to anyone this year and they are 4-1 ATS. Illinois is not bad, even though the loss to Indiana should have relegated the Illini to the G5, but they are nowhere close to Ohio State’s level.

Alabama at Mizzou +3 – Eli Drinkwitz and Mizzou are 7-1 ATS and SU as a home dawg of less than 10 points since 2020. They got a good run game. If this game were in Tuscaloosa, I’d take Bama -7, but the Crimson Tide have not been great as road favorites under DeBoer (2-4 ATS, 1-1 with a spread of less than 10 points).

Pitt +10 at Florida State – I think FSU is joining my fraternity of fraudulent teams. That win over Bama in Week 1 is starting to feel very distant. The Noles have lost two straight and did not cover either game. They’re other two wins are against Kent State and something called ‘ETAM.’ Pitt made a QB change last week, going with a freshman over Eli Holstein, and beat Boston College 48-7. It feels sacrilegious to support a team that dropped a Jew the same week that Israeli hostages are being reunited with their families, but here we are.

UCF at Cincinnati -10.5 AND OVER 54.5 – This is where I get myself in trouble. Nipp at Noon. UC is hot. The Cats are getting a lot of national attention right now. The OVER has hit in four straight games (at least 54 total points scored each of those games). UCF is on a two-game skid, SU and ATS. 54 and 57 total points have been scored in those games. I’m a little scared of this one, but I’m following the bread crumbs.

Houston -14.5 at Oklahoma State – I’m gonna continue to bet against OK St until they prove to be competitive. Houston must be deflated after getting blown out, 35-11, at home against Texas Tech last week. That was their Super Bowl. But this blog loves Texas Tech and knows they are real contender this year and the Cougars are still 4-1 overall. The number is ugly, sure, but Oklahoma State is just as ugly and they ran out of money to buy any makeup.

Washington State at Ole Miss -31.5 – As a home favorite of 30+ points since 2021, Kiffin and Ole Miss are 6-2-1 ATS, covering in four straight games. Ole Miss plays at Georgia next week. If you wanna stay away cause you think this is a look-ahead game, I won’t shame you for that.

UMass at Kent State -2.5 – I think these are the two worst teams in the country. I just want to bet on this game. That’s all. Give me the home team by less than a field goal.

Indiana at Oregon OVER 53.5 – I have skewed vision with this game because I want IU to win but, as you’ll read in the Insider’s section below, there is some childish behavior going on with IU’s DC and I do not like that. It’s also the cross-timezone thing. I’ll take the points because both teams have great offenses and they don’t mind playing in a shootout-type of game. Feel free to fade this one.

Iowa State -2.5 at Colorado – Tailing the Insider.

Nebraska at Maryland +7 – Maryland has covered two straight games as an underdog (+10.5 at Wisconsin and +5.5 vs Washington). They blew the win last week vs Washington, but they still covered. Nebraska is on the road for the first time all year in this game. The Huskers are not a team to be trusted as a touchdown favorite on the road. I’ve seen them enough this year and I don’t believe they can do it.

Wake Forest at Oregon State +3 – I’ve been a proponent of betting against the 0-6 Beavers this year. This week, the turn tables. This game means absolutely NOTHING to Wake Forest. It’s not a conference game. It’s all the way across the country. They have a bye next week. I think they mail it in. Meanwhile, I think Oregon State looks at this as maybe their only shot at a P4 win this year. That’s enough to get them up for this game. And if Wake were that much better of a team than Oregon State, the spread would be much higher.

Florida +7.5 at Texas A&M – This is my “The SEC Is Pretty Equal All Around This Year So Take Underdogs Of At Least One Touchdown” Game of the Week. If DJ Lagway is able to take his confidence he earned from the Texas game last week, we’ll cover this game.

Iowa -3 at Wisconsin – This is a great spot to take Wisconsin, yeah? No. This blog has established that the Badgers are dead, even though everything is setup for them to win/cover here. In its last six (6) B1G night games on the road, Iowa is 2-4 SU. During the spring, Wisconsin players were doing 42 pushups after each practice, a reminder they gave up 42 points to Iowa in a loss last year. Maybe Wisconsin has had their sights set on this game all year and that’s why they suck? No. They suck because they suck. The pushups are way too gimmicky. I do that, and more, almost every day. Don’t fall for this. Take Iowa.

Michigan +2.5 at USC – I’m just taking the better team here, but this is a weird game. Michigan has yet to cover a spread with Sherrone Moore as head coach this season (2-0 with Biff Poggi). USC has failed to cover three straight. In the end, I think Michigan makes more plays on offense.

Georgia -4 at Auburn – Auburn is not a good football team, even in a watered down SEC. They have an advantage coming off a bye and playing at home, but I don’t trust them. Jackson Arnold is very bland. They are 0-2 in the SEC. However, Georgia is 2-8 ATS in its last 10 games as a road favorite, including three consecutive ATS losses with the number less than four (4) points. Maybe I jumped the gun on this one.

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SEC Insider Picks of the Weekend

Last week: 2-1 / 2025 record: 7-11 / Since 2022: 61-70-3

*the following is verbatim*

Mouth Watering Pick of the Week (2-4 in 2025 / 16-17-1 overall): Ohio State -14 at Illinois – I can’t get the Illinois v Indiana game out of my head. Buckeyes haven’t given up double digits this year and we still haven’t seen the true rolodex of this Buckeye offense. Buckeyes big.

Indiana at Oregon -7 – Why is Indiana’s Defensive Coordinator tweeting at people about the size ability of his D-Line in the days leading up to the game. Fake tough guy behavior. Time zone travel continues to be a problem in the B1G. Google me.

Iowa State -2.5 at Colorado – I like the Clones to bounce back here. I still think they’re a good football team. Lots of non football distractions in Boulder this week. Prayers up to Prime.

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Prem League Advisor Pick of the Weekend

2025 record: 2-3 / Since 2023: 10-9

I guess the Prem is on a bye again. What the hell is this guy/girl/random individual even doing on this blog?

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Last week: 7-12 / In 2025: 33-32-2 / Since 2022: 287-276-6

Dominic Toretto’s “Take it or leave it” Pick of the Week (In 2025: 2-3 / Overall: 19-16-1): Wisconsin at Michigan -17.5 – Wisconsin is dead. We know this. Bryce Underwood is starting to look like HIM. Even if you don’t think he’s HIM, Underwood has been HIM against lesser competition this year. My only concern is Sherrone Moore taking the clipboard back from Biff Poggi. But I don’t think that stops Michigan rolling at B1G Noon.

Illinois at Purdue +9.5 – I put zero stock into Illinois’ win over USC last week. The Trojans are not good in central and eastern timezones. Again, we know this. We also know the Illini are on a rollercoaster with a blowout at Indiana and last week’s miracle win. Purdue is coming off a bye. Rollercoasters always come back down. We could see Spoilermaker this weekend.

Iowa State at Cincinnati ML -122 – They proved me wrong in winning at Kansas last week. Sorsby is trying to get himself drafted and UC fans always show up for big games like this. Iowa State lost a couple of CBs for the season last week and UC may get DT Dontay “The Godfather” Corleone back for the first time in a month. Since 2019, Matt Campbell is 3-7 ATS as a road favorite of 4.5 points or less. And the UNDER is 7-3 in those games.

Clemson v UNC OVER 46.5 – Tailing the Insider.

Oklahoma State at Arizona -20.5 – OSU is deader than dead. They fire Gundy then lose by 18 to a shitty Baylor team. They covered the spread though. But now they hit the road with less than what they had last week. OSU fired its DC. The Director of Player Development yelled at a kid on the sideline (wah wah) and got suspended. That kid then transferred. Arizona is not hot shit by any means. Got their ass kicked by Iowa State last week, 39-14. But they’re 3-1 with some cupcake wins at home. This is strictly a bet against Oklahoma State.

Vanderbilt at Alabama -10.5 – So Kirby Smart does have a Bama problem. But I should’ve stuck to my guns about what I think Alabama is this year. We rode them two straight weeks after losing to Florida State. Then, I let my emotions get the best of me last week. Bama may very well be the best team in the SEC. This is a revenge game. I’m just trusting my gut on this. But the numbers are not with me. At Vandy, Diego Pavia is 6-0 ATS as a road dawg, including four (4) SU wins.

Penn State -24.5 at UCLA – James Franklin is 5-1 ATS as a road dawg of 21 points or more at Penn State. UCLA is another dead team. I don’t care about the cross-country disadvantage for Penn State. UCLA won’t be able to do diddly against the Nittany Lions’ defense.

Washington at Maryland +5.5 – I really like the Maryland freshman QB. I DO care about Washington going cross-country after being fired up to host OSU last Saturday. This will be a huge letdown spot for a Washington team that a lot of the country is high on. Throw Maryland ml in your parlays for a little extra juice.

Michigan State at Nebraska OVER 49.5 – The over has hit in three straight MSU games by an average of about 21 points. That’s a lot. The over has hit in three straight Nebraska games by an average of about 13 points. That’s also a lot. I like Michigan St with the points as well, but I LOVE the over.

Kent State at Oklahoma -45.5 – Since last year, Kent State is 0-4 ATS as underdogs of at least 45 points. They’ve lost those games (at Penn St, Texas Tech, Tennessee and Florida State) by a combined score of 255-24.

Miami (FL) -4.5 at Florida State – Tailing the Insider.

Texas Tech -12.5 at Houston – I’ve been all in on Texas Tech this year and I’m not wavering when it feels like the rest of the country is this week. TTU is coming off a bye. Last time we saw them, they proved to the country what they can be when they beat the brakes off Utah on B1G Noon. Now, Houston has been planning for this rivalry game. They only beat Oregon State by three last Friday, failing to cover for the first time all year. They’ll be ready. But Tech will prove to be too much.

Duke at California +3 – This is Duke’s third road game in four weeks and it will be a 10:30pm ET (7:30 PT) start for them. Cal is coming back from Boston College with a 28-24 win. This is their first home game in three weeks. I know I flip-flop on the whole timezone thing, but I’m betting against Duke in this spot and hoping that Cal freshman QB can find his groove in front of his home crowd.

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SEC Insider Picks of the Weekend

Last week: 1-2 / 2025 record: 5-10 / Since 2022: 59-69-3

*the following is verbatim*

Folks – I’m not quite sure where we turn from here. 10 steps backwards. 2 steps forward. Then another 5 steps backwards last week. But, you know how you get out of a slump? You keep swinging. “Don’t give up. Don’t ever give up.“

Mouth Watering Pick of the Week (1-4 in 2025 / 15-17-1 overall): Miami (FL) -4.5 at Florida State – Inexcusable loss last week for FSU. I think we put far too much stock into what they are after beating Alabama week 1. My take? FSU is a fraud. I believe Miami is a true natty contender. Beck has seen plenty of tough road environments. Give me the Canes.

Mississippi State +15.5 at Texas A&M – Line opened at 13.5. Miss State is undefeated against the spread this year. I doubted them last week and I was wrong. Hand up. How bout the job Jeff Lebby has done? Lebby is from Texas – went to Oklahoma. This one means something to him.

Clemson v UNC OVER 46.5 – UNC simply cannot stop anyone. Dabo and co know they need to make a splash here against a big name/inferior opponent. This is the kind of spot where he can run it up and brag to the media about it after.

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Prem League Advisor Pick of the Weekend

2025 record: 2-2 / Since 2023: 10-8

*the following is verbatim*

Leeds Double Chance + Man U ML +121

Devastating last week to lose in the 97th minute but that’s why we watch. This week we start with Leeds. This line makes no sense, only +175 on the ML against Tottenham. I sprinkled Leeds ML in my discord but for the pick of the week let’s stick with double chance. Adding in Man U in a must win scenario. Sunderland is solid but I feel like these are the games Man U wins to give fans hope.