Last week: 8-6 / In 2025: 41-38-2 / Since 2022: 295-282-6
Dominic Toretto’s “Take it or leave it” Pick of the Week (In 2025: 2-4 / Overall: 19-17-1): Kansas at Texas Tech -14 – This is my team and I’m riding them until they tell me not to. 5-0 ATS. Let’s keep it going.
Ohio State -14 at Illinois TTu 17.5 – Yeah, I’m doubling down on this game because OSU is proving to be the real deal again. The Bucks have not given up double digit points to anyone this year and they are 4-1 ATS. Illinois is not bad, even though the loss to Indiana should have relegated the Illini to the G5, but they are nowhere close to Ohio State’s level.
Alabama at Mizzou +3 – Eli Drinkwitz and Mizzou are 7-1 ATS and SU as a home dawg of less than 10 points since 2020. They got a good run game. If this game were in Tuscaloosa, I’d take Bama -7, but the Crimson Tide have not been great as road favorites under DeBoer (2-4 ATS, 1-1 with a spread of less than 10 points).
Pitt +10 at Florida State – I think FSU is joining my fraternity of fraudulent teams. That win over Bama in Week 1 is starting to feel very distant. The Noles have lost two straight and did not cover either game. They’re other two wins are against Kent State and something called ‘ETAM.’ Pitt made a QB change last week, going with a freshman over Eli Holstein, and beat Boston College 48-7. It feels sacrilegious to support a team that dropped a Jew the same week that Israeli hostages are being reunited with their families, but here we are.
UCF at Cincinnati -10.5 AND OVER 54.5 – This is where I get myself in trouble. Nipp at Noon. UC is hot. The Cats are getting a lot of national attention right now. The OVER has hit in four straight games (at least 54 total points scored each of those games). UCF is on a two-game skid, SU and ATS. 54 and 57 total points have been scored in those games. I’m a little scared of this one, but I’m following the bread crumbs.
Houston -14.5 at Oklahoma State – I’m gonna continue to bet against OK St until they prove to be competitive. Houston must be deflated after getting blown out, 35-11, at home against Texas Tech last week. That was their Super Bowl. But this blog loves Texas Tech and knows they are real contender this year and the Cougars are still 4-1 overall. The number is ugly, sure, but Oklahoma State is just as ugly and they ran out of money to buy any makeup.
Washington State at Ole Miss -31.5 – As a home favorite of 30+ points since 2021, Kiffin and Ole Miss are 6-2-1 ATS, covering in four straight games. Ole Miss plays at Georgia next week. If you wanna stay away cause you think this is a look-ahead game, I won’t shame you for that.
UMass at Kent State -2.5 – I think these are the two worst teams in the country. I just want to bet on this game. That’s all. Give me the home team by less than a field goal.
Indiana at Oregon OVER 53.5 – I have skewed vision with this game because I want IU to win but, as you’ll read in the Insider’s section below, there is some childish behavior going on with IU’s DC and I do not like that. It’s also the cross-timezone thing. I’ll take the points because both teams have great offenses and they don’t mind playing in a shootout-type of game. Feel free to fade this one.
Iowa State -2.5 at Colorado – Tailing the Insider.
Nebraska at Maryland +7 – Maryland has covered two straight games as an underdog (+10.5 at Wisconsin and +5.5 vs Washington). They blew the win last week vs Washington, but they still covered. Nebraska is on the road for the first time all year in this game. The Huskers are not a team to be trusted as a touchdown favorite on the road. I’ve seen them enough this year and I don’t believe they can do it.
Wake Forest at Oregon State +3 – I’ve been a proponent of betting against the 0-6 Beavers this year. This week, the turn tables. This game means absolutely NOTHING to Wake Forest. It’s not a conference game. It’s all the way across the country. They have a bye next week. I think they mail it in. Meanwhile, I think Oregon State looks at this as maybe their only shot at a P4 win this year. That’s enough to get them up for this game. And if Wake were that much better of a team than Oregon State, the spread would be much higher.
Florida +7.5 at Texas A&M – This is my “The SEC Is Pretty Equal All Around This Year So Take Underdogs Of At Least One Touchdown” Game of the Week. If DJ Lagway is able to take his confidence he earned from the Texas game last week, we’ll cover this game.
Iowa -3 at Wisconsin – This is a great spot to take Wisconsin, yeah? No. This blog has established that the Badgers are dead, even though everything is setup for them to win/cover here. In its last six (6) B1G night games on the road, Iowa is 2-4 SU. During the spring, Wisconsin players were doing 42 pushups after each practice, a reminder they gave up 42 points to Iowa in a loss last year. Maybe Wisconsin has had their sights set on this game all year and that’s why they suck? No. They suck because they suck. The pushups are way too gimmicky. I do that, and more, almost every day. Don’t fall for this. Take Iowa.
Michigan +2.5 at USC – I’m just taking the better team here, but this is a weird game. Michigan has yet to cover a spread with Sherrone Moore as head coach this season (2-0 with Biff Poggi). USC has failed to cover three straight. In the end, I think Michigan makes more plays on offense.
Georgia -4 at Auburn – Auburn is not a good football team, even in a watered down SEC. They have an advantage coming off a bye and playing at home, but I don’t trust them. Jackson Arnold is very bland. They are 0-2 in the SEC. However, Georgia is 2-8 ATS in its last 10 games as a road favorite, including three consecutive ATS losses with the number less than four (4) points. Maybe I jumped the gun on this one.
SEC Insider Picks of the Weekend
Last week: 2-1 / 2025 record: 7-11 / Since 2022: 61-70-3
*the following is verbatim*
Mouth Watering Pick of the Week (2-4 in 2025 / 16-17-1 overall): Ohio State -14 at Illinois – I can’t get the Illinois v Indiana game out of my head. Buckeyes haven’t given up double digits this year and we still haven’t seen the true rolodex of this Buckeye offense. Buckeyes big.
Indiana at Oregon -7 – Why is Indiana’s Defensive Coordinator tweeting at people about the size ability of his D-Line in the days leading up to the game. Fake tough guy behavior. Time zone travel continues to be a problem in the B1G. Google me.
Iowa State -2.5 at Colorado – I like the Clones to bounce back here. I still think they’re a good football team. Lots of non football distractions in Boulder this week. Prayers up to Prime.
Prem League Advisor Pick of the Weekend
2025 record: 2-3 / Since 2023: 10-9
I guess the Prem is on a bye again. What the hell is this guy/girl/random individual even doing on this blog?
Griffin Weinberg 