Where Griff was WRONG:
Indiana at Oregon OVER 53.5: “I’ll take the points because both teams have great offenses and they don’t mind playing in a shootout-type of game. Feel free to fade this one.” – I should’ve trusted my heart. This was the most ‘I don’t know what to do with my hands,’ outcome imaginable. I remember last year, when IU was 2-0, they went on the road and beat UCLA in primetime on NBC. That was an, ‘oh shit, maybe this Cignetti guy is the real deal’ moment. Even when we were 5-0 going on the road to Northwestern, that was still a traditional B1G road game where the Hoosiers shit the bed. We only led by three (3) in Q4 but won 41-24. Cig went to the student section and shouted, ‘GO IU! GO IU!.’ Now he’s the third highest paid coach in college football and we’re on the road to 12-0. 12/6/25.
Washington State at Ole Miss -31.5: “As a home favorite of 30+ points since 2021, Kiffin and Ole Miss are 6-2-1 ATS, covering in four straight games.” – Ole Miss only won 24-21.
Wake Forest at Oregon State +3: “I’ve been a proponent of betting against the 0-6 Beavers this year. This week, the turn tables. This game means absolutely NOTHING to Wake Forest.” – Wake Forest won 39-14.
Where Griff was RIGHT:
Kansas at Texas Tech -14: “This is my team and I’m riding them until they tell me not to. 5-0 ATS. Let’s keep it going.” – Tech won 42-17.
Pitt +10 at Florida State: “I think FSU is joining my fraternity of fraudulent teams…Pitt made a QB change last week, going with a freshman over Eli Holstein, and beat Boston College 48-7. It feels sacrilegious to support a team that dropped a Jew the same week that Israeli hostages are being reunited with their families, but here we are.” – Pitt won outright 34-31.
Iowa -3 at Wisconsin: “This is a great spot to take Wisconsin, yeah? No. This blog has established that the Badgers are dead, even though everything is setup for them to win/cover here. In its last six (6) B1G night games on the road, Iowa is 2-4 SU. During the spring, Wisconsin players were doing 42 pushups after each practice, a reminder they gave up 42 points to Iowa in a loss last year. Maybe Wisconsin has had their sights set on this game all year and that’s why they suck? No. They suck because they suck. The pushups are way too gimmicky. I do that, and more, almost every day. Don’t fall for this. Take Iowa.” – Iowa won 37-0.
Last week: 9-8-1 / In 2025: 50-46-3 / Since 2022: 304-290-7
Dominic Toretto’s “Take it or leave it” Pick of the Week (In 2025: 3-4 / Overall: 20-17-1): Texas Tech -7 at Arizona State – Tech is 6-0 ATS now. Not sure if Same Leavitt is suiting up for ASU. Give me a reason to not keep betting Texas Tech.
Washington at Michigan UNDER 51.5 – This is going to be an ugly game. You got Washington (5-1) starting at 9am PT/12pm ET. The Huskies have not given up more than 24 points all season. Washington’s games have gone UNDER the total in three (3) straight games. Michigan is 3-1 to the UNDER with Sherrone Moore as head coach (OVER is 2-0 with Biff Poggi).
LSU +1.5 at Vanderbilt – The last time Vandy was a favorite at home of 7 points or less was in 2019 (they beat Northern Illinois 24-18, did not cover the 7pt spread). Pavia and Co. have only been favored by single digits once in the last two years (-8.5 at Georgia State in 2024, lost SU 36-32). I don’t think Vandy has been tested enough this year. LSU’s offense hasn’t looked great (haven’t scored more than 20 points vs a P4 team) but their defense is great (have given up either 7 or 10 points in every game besides giving up 24 in a loss at Ole Miss). Tired of the parentheses yet? Take LSU in what should be a close game.
Georgia Tech +1.5 at Duke – Tailing the Insider (I’m a little nervous about this one though). Tech went 1-2 ATS as a road dawg last season. This is the first time in this spot for the Jackets this season. Duke has covered three straight as favorites of less than five (5) points and are coming off a bye.
Arizona at Houston +1.5 – After betting on these teams the last few weeks, I believe Houston is the better team. Only loss is to Texas Tech and they’re 4-2 ATS. Arizona’s biggest wins are over Kansas State (frauds) and Oklahoma State (bigger frauds). I should be taking Houston ml but I’ll play it safe.
West Virginia at UCF -7.5 – This blog has been monitoring WVU’s status all year and has determined the Mountaineers are not that good. We predicted their big win over Pitt in Week 3, but they haven’t done diddly since then. Three straight conference losses, all by at least 14 points. UCF is not a great team either (3-3 SU and ATS) but I don’t trust WVU on the road in this spot.
Michigan State at Indiana -27.5 – Under Coach Cig, IU is 5-2 ATS as a home favorite of at least 25 points. Michigan State just got humiliated at home by the emerging power that is UCLA. There’s nothing for them to prove in this game. Per Bite-Sized Bison, the Hoosiers may be susceptible to giving up a big play or two, but IU dominates MSU in every other metric. 12/6/25.
Ole Miss +7 at Georgia – There’s just no reason to believe Georgia will win this game by more than a touchdown. The best teams the Dawgs have played (Bama and Tennessee) were in games decided by a total of 6 points. Ole Miss escaped Washington State last week with a 24-21 win because Lane Kiffin has had this game on his mind for a while. The SEC is hard to read this year, but this game will be close, so take the points.
Texas A&M at Arkansas +7.5 – The second straight “I Really Just Wanna Bet On This Team” Game of the Week (1-0, Kent State beat UMass last week). I really wanna bet on Bobby Petrino. I didn’t last week when the Razorbacks covered against Tennessee (L 34-31 but covered +10.5). A&M has looked the part this whole year, but I gotta follow my gut.
Ohio State -25.5 at Wisconsin – Did you read my blurb about Wisconsin in the ‘Where Griff was RIGHT’ section? Go do that.
UNLV +13.5 at Boise State – I’m legitimately confused by this line. UNLV is 6-0. Boise is 4-2. I haven’t read anything about UNLV missing a key player to injury. Boise State coaches and the AD are asking fans to stay for the whole game this Saturday, but it’s a sold-out game. Definitely feel free to fade this one, but UNLV being that much of a dawg makes zero sense.
Oregon -17.5 at Rutgers +17.5 – I wanted to take Rutgers, but I remembered how good of a team Oregon is (despite losing at home to Indiana) and how good of a coach Dan Lanning is (despite being outcoached by Cig). The Ducks do not care about a cross-country flight to Piscataway or Rutgers celebrating Homecoming. Oregon is one of the best teams in the country. They will take care of business on the road, far away from home, because that’s what good teams do.
Texas at Kentucky +12.5 – Really, how good was Texas’ win over Oklahoma last week? Arch wasn’t spectacular (21/27-166-1td), Mateer shouldn’t have come back from his injury that soon (3 INTs) and Texas’ defense never really felt challenged. Kentucky is coming off a bye week. As a home dawg of at least 10 points since 2018, Stoops and the Cats are 5-1 ATS.
Penn State at Iowa -3 – I don’t think firing Franklin will put a jolt into Penn State. There’s no reason they can’t salvage their season, but it won’t start this week on the road at Iowa. The Hawkeyes are 5-1 ATS. Penn State is 0-6 ATS.
Tennessee +8.5 at Alabama – This is dangerous for me because of how much the blog likes Bama. They are 4-0-1 ATS after losing to Florida State in Week 1. The push was at Mizzou last week. Tennessee has failed to cover the spread in three straight games. This is a bad bet. Just fade this one.
Mizzou ml -122 at Auburn – Tailing the Insider.
Utah -3.5 at BYU – Utah is 5-1 SU. BYU is 6-0. But the Utes have been tested more than BYU has. Utah got spanked at home vs Texas Tech, covered the spread in a win over a bad West Virginia team and blew out Arizona State 42-10 (ASU did not have Sam Leavitt). According to my calculations, BYU’s only legit win is over Colorado (24-21, didn’t cover spread). They also beat WVU and Arizona but we’ve established those teams are bad, and Colorado may be as well. Give me Utah in the Holy War.
Cincinnati -21.5 at Oklahoma State – “I’m gonna continue to bet against OK St until they prove to be competitive.” I wrote that last week. I will write it again next week. They are 1-5 ATS. UC fucked us last week, but in this blog, we bet against the very bad teams no matter what.
SEC Insider Picks of the Weekend
Last week: 1-2 / 2025 record: 8-13 / Since 2022: 62-72-3
*the following is verbatim*
Mouth Watering Pick of the Week (2-4 in 2025 / 16-17-1 overall): Missouri ml -122 at Auburn – I truly do not think Auburn can bounce back from what happened at the end of the 1st half against Georgia. They responded about as poorly as you can. From the AD to the Head Coach to the players. Hugh lost the locker room this week when they kicked that RB off the team. Pretty telling when all the players come out in support of the player. I expect Freeze gone soon.
Ohio State -25.5 at Wisconsin – Wisconsin is about as bad as it gets and this OSU train has no signs of stopping. Buckeyes roll.
Georgia Tech ml +100 at Duke – Insiders know I picked GT to win the conference pre season. Brent Key has these boys playing some football. I like the Jackets to get up for this noon kick on the road.
Prem League Advisor Pick of the Weekend
2025 record: 2-3 / Since 2023: 10-9
Man City ML + Arsenal ML +109
No write up. Business decision. ML parlay top teams that’s the strategy
Griffin Weinberg 