Last week: 7-12 / In 2025: 33-32-2 / Since 2022: 287-276-6
Dominic Toretto’s “Take it or leave it” Pick of the Week (In 2025: 2-3 / Overall: 19-16-1): Wisconsin at Michigan -17.5 – Wisconsin is dead. We know this. Bryce Underwood is starting to look like HIM. Even if you don’t think he’s HIM, Underwood has been HIM against lesser competition this year. My only concern is Sherrone Moore taking the clipboard back from Biff Poggi. But I don’t think that stops Michigan rolling at B1G Noon.
Illinois at Purdue +9.5 – I put zero stock into Illinois’ win over USC last week. The Trojans are not good in central and eastern timezones. Again, we know this. We also know the Illini are on a rollercoaster with a blowout at Indiana and last week’s miracle win. Purdue is coming off a bye. Rollercoasters always come back down. We could see Spoilermaker this weekend.
Iowa State at Cincinnati ML -122 – They proved me wrong in winning at Kansas last week. Sorsby is trying to get himself drafted and UC fans always show up for big games like this. Iowa State lost a couple of CBs for the season last week and UC may get DT Dontay “The Godfather” Corleone back for the first time in a month. Since 2019, Matt Campbell is 3-7 ATS as a road favorite of 4.5 points or less. And the UNDER is 7-3 in those games.
Clemson v UNC OVER 46.5 – Tailing the Insider.
Oklahoma State at Arizona -20.5 – OSU is deader than dead. They fire Gundy then lose by 18 to a shitty Baylor team. They covered the spread though. But now they hit the road with less than what they had last week. OSU fired its DC. The Director of Player Development yelled at a kid on the sideline (wah wah) and got suspended. That kid then transferred. Arizona is not hot shit by any means. Got their ass kicked by Iowa State last week, 39-14. But they’re 3-1 with some cupcake wins at home. This is strictly a bet against Oklahoma State.
Vanderbilt at Alabama -10.5 – So Kirby Smart does have a Bama problem. But I should’ve stuck to my guns about what I think Alabama is this year. We rode them two straight weeks after losing to Florida State. Then, I let my emotions get the best of me last week. Bama may very well be the best team in the SEC. This is a revenge game. I’m just trusting my gut on this. But the numbers are not with me. At Vandy, Diego Pavia is 6-0 ATS as a road dawg, including four (4) SU wins.
Penn State -24.5 at UCLA – James Franklin is 5-1 ATS as a road dawg of 21 points or more at Penn State. UCLA is another dead team. I don’t care about the cross-country disadvantage for Penn State. UCLA won’t be able to do diddly against the Nittany Lions’ defense.
Washington at Maryland +5.5 – I really like the Maryland freshman QB. I DO care about Washington going cross-country after being fired up to host OSU last Saturday. This will be a huge letdown spot for a Washington team that a lot of the country is high on. Throw Maryland ml in your parlays for a little extra juice.
Michigan State at Nebraska OVER 49.5 – The over has hit in three straight MSU games by an average of about 21 points. That’s a lot. The over has hit in three straight Nebraska games by an average of about 13 points. That’s also a lot. I like Michigan St with the points as well, but I LOVE the over.
Kent State at Oklahoma -45.5 – Since last year, Kent State is 0-4 ATS as underdogs of at least 45 points. They’ve lost those games (at Penn St, Texas Tech, Tennessee and Florida State) by a combined score of 255-24.
Miami (FL) -4.5 at Florida State – Tailing the Insider.
Texas Tech -12.5 at Houston – I’ve been all in on Texas Tech this year and I’m not wavering when it feels like the rest of the country is this week. TTU is coming off a bye. Last time we saw them, they proved to the country what they can be when they beat the brakes off Utah on B1G Noon. Now, Houston has been planning for this rivalry game. They only beat Oregon State by three last Friday, failing to cover for the first time all year. They’ll be ready. But Tech will prove to be too much.
Duke at California +3 – This is Duke’s third road game in four weeks and it will be a 10:30pm ET (7:30 PT) start for them. Cal is coming back from Boston College with a 28-24 win. This is their first home game in three weeks. I know I flip-flop on the whole timezone thing, but I’m betting against Duke in this spot and hoping that Cal freshman QB can find his groove in front of his home crowd.
SEC Insider Picks of the Weekend
Last week: 1-2 / 2025 record: 5-10 / Since 2022: 59-69-3
*the following is verbatim*
Folks – I’m not quite sure where we turn from here. 10 steps backwards. 2 steps forward. Then another 5 steps backwards last week. But, you know how you get out of a slump? You keep swinging. “Don’t give up. Don’t ever give up.“
Mouth Watering Pick of the Week (1-4 in 2025 / 15-17-1 overall): Miami (FL) -4.5 at Florida State – Inexcusable loss last week for FSU. I think we put far too much stock into what they are after beating Alabama week 1. My take? FSU is a fraud. I believe Miami is a true natty contender. Beck has seen plenty of tough road environments. Give me the Canes.
Mississippi State +15.5 at Texas A&M – Line opened at 13.5. Miss State is undefeated against the spread this year. I doubted them last week and I was wrong. Hand up. How bout the job Jeff Lebby has done? Lebby is from Texas – went to Oklahoma. This one means something to him.
Clemson v UNC OVER 46.5 – UNC simply cannot stop anyone. Dabo and co know they need to make a splash here against a big name/inferior opponent. This is the kind of spot where he can run it up and brag to the media about it after.
Prem League Advisor Pick of the Weekend
2025 record: 2-2 / Since 2023: 10-8
*the following is verbatim*
Leeds Double Chance + Man U ML +121
Devastating last week to lose in the 97th minute but that’s why we watch. This week we start with Leeds. This line makes no sense, only +175 on the ML against Tottenham. I sprinkled Leeds ML in my discord but for the pick of the week let’s stick with double chance. Adding in Man U in a must win scenario. Sunderland is solid but I feel like these are the games Man U wins to give fans hope.
Griffin Weinberg 