Last week: 7-5 / In 2025: 83-76-5 / Since 2022: 337-320-9
Dominic Toretto’s “Take it or leave it” Pick of the Week (In 2025: 3-8 / Overall: 20-21-1): Texas at Georgia OVER 49.5 – I’m getting UGA-Tennessee shootout vibes. In Georgia’s ranked games this year, they’ve given up 41, 35, and 24 points. Meanwhile, Texas has scored 45 and 34 points its last two games. Arch is getting comfortable. Georgia’s defense isn’t that scary anymore. Plus, if YouTube TV and Disney strike a deal before this game, this game is 100% hitting the OVER. It has to. The people would deserve that. That’s a big part of this bet. Let’s go Iger! (Editor’s note: LFG)
South Carolina at Texas A&M -19.5 – Next week, A&M will play a tune-up game against Samford followed by the season finale at Texas. Next week is the week to fade A&M, not this week. Set it and forget it.
Michigan at Northwestern UNDER 40.5 – The only Michigan games that have gone OVER with Sherrone Moore coaching were Week 1 (Week 1 results don’t matter) and against Michigan State (maybe the worst P4 defense in the country). Now you’re playing at Wrigley Field in weird conditions.
Notre Dame -12.5 at Pitt – Narduzzi said it: Pitt could lose by 100 and still make the CFP. This game does not matter to them. Beating a ranked team matters to ND.
Arizona at UC -6 – The Bearcats (I believe) can still make the Big 12 Championship game if they win out. Getting blown out by Utah was not good, but that line (+11.5) was always fishy. Now, UC is 2-0 ATS with a rest advantage this year, which they’ll have against Arizona. Pump It Up.
Arkansas +6 at LSU – This number is way too big for two shitty teams. Since Bobby Petrino’s coup, Arkansas has lost three (3) games by three (3) points each and another loss to Auburn by nine (9) points.
Tennessee Tech +22.5 at Kentucky
North Texas -17.5 at UAB – North Texas is 7-2 SU and ATS. When they lose games, they also lose ATS. Do you think North Texas will lose this game? If so, just take UAB moneyline.
Oklahoma +6 at Alabama – They want you to take Alabama. All the Tide have to do is win by a touchdown. It should be simple. I’m not falling for it. If the line were 7.5, I’d take Bama. But this number is too weird.
Penn State at Michigan State +7 – Why is Penn State favored? And by that much? Because they almost beat Indiana last week? MSU has covered four (4) straight games as a dawg. Both of these teams suck. I’d take the OVER but I’m worried about these teams’ ability to score against each other. You may think this line is similar and fishy, like the game above, but it’s not. It’s just wrong. Trust me.
NC State +14.5 at Miami (FL) – Makes total sense to fade me on this one. I don’t watch either team that much. But Mario Cristobal’s Hurricanes usually drop off late in the season and his team is 2-4 ATS in November since 2024. This year, Miami is 1-3 ATS in the last four (4) games. NC State upset Georgia Tech a couple weeks ago and are coming off a bye. Maybe we catch the Wolfpack at the right time.
UCF at Texas Tech -23.5 – The Red Raiders are 9-0 ATS in games QB Behren Morton has started this year. Morton is probable for this game.
Memphis +3 at ECU – I have this game as Memphis -3. ECU is only favored because of what they’ve done recently: won three straight games 41-27, 45-14, 48-22, but those opponents’ combined record is 8-20 and 3-9 in the AAC. ECU only covered the spread in two of those games. Memphis got upset at by Tulane on national TV their last time out. But Memphis is the better team. 8-2 SU and ATS and 2-0 ATS as a dawg this season. Tigers ml.
North Carolina +5.5 at Wake Forest – UNC is just playing good football right now. They’ve covered three of the last four won two straight games. The defense has been good, giving up 10, 15, 17 and 21 points in the last four. In Wake’s last three games, they’ve scored 7, 13 and 16 points. I’m not sure about taking the UNDER (38.5) but I am sure about taking UNC.
Florida at Ole Miss -11.5 – Just one of those lines you look at and immediately know which side you’re taking.
Utah -8.5 at Baylor – I just have a problem with Baylor. They’re 2-7 ATS and 1-4 ATS at home. Utah is 7-2 ATS. There’s not much else to this one.
UCLA at Ohio State -32.5 – The honeymoon is over. UCLA has lost two straight. Ryan Day knows how to play against Nico (Bucks beat Vols 42-17 in Columbus last year). OSU’s defense is even better this year. UCLA should not score double digits this game.
Mississippi State at Mizzou -7 – Tailing the Insider.
SEC Insider Picks of the Weekend
Last week: 1-2 / 2025 record: 15-18 / Since 2022: 69-77-3
*the following is verbatim*
3 weeks to go. I’ve been about as disappointed in myself as the Louisiana Governor is in Brian Kelly and Scott Woodward. If you’re fading me, congrats thus far. It’s time to go play spoiler and win the year on a high note.
Mouth Watering Pick of the Week (3-7 in 2025 / 17-20-1 overall): TCU at BYU -3 – Get right spot for BYU here after getting beat down last week. 8:15PM kick in Provo? Expect the fans to be all hopped up on Sugar and ready to go. Cougars by 10+.
Mississippi State at Missouri -7 – Look for Missouri to run silly on Miss State here. I think Zollers has some good tools and should settle in here with another week of practice. Tough to play that A&M D in your first start. Tigers roll.
Arizona at Cincinnati -6 – My friends in Cincinnati think the Bearcats can still win the Big12. If that’s the case, you go and beat this AZ team by a TD. Welcome to Nip at Noon you west coasters.
Prem League Advisor Pick of the Weekend
2025 record: 3-6 / Since 2023: 11-12
Bye week.
Griffin Weinberg 