I’m tired.
Tired from work. Twice this week, the second I stepped back in the office coming back from a story, I had to rush out to cover a car crash. This eliminates about an hour of time I have to work on a story. It’s not fun, but it’s the job. Not complaining, just informing. I didn’t leave work last night (this morning) until after 12:30 a.m. ET, didn’t get to bed until about 2:30 a.m. ET yet I woke up at 8 a.m. ET to get this blog done. I’ve worked about 30 hours in three days. Again, not complaining.
Tired from winning. Week 1 was not great, but Week 2 we went 12-11-1 and last week we went 9-6. Winning isn’t exhausting, but the process of providing winners can be. It takes many hours to select the games I bet on each week. Couple that with working an average of 10 hours a day, I don’t have a lot of free time. Instead of going to the beach or making new friends or going to a bar or going to the movies or having sex, I’m putting money in your pockets and mine. Not complaining, just informing.
Tired of the SEC Insider. He/She/Whomever is 2-7 on the year. The mouthwatering pick is 0-3. Last week, I tailed the Insider on each pick cause I wanted to bring some confidence back to this individual. MISTAKE. If I wasn’t so kind and caring and supportive of the Insider, we could’ve went 9-3 and put ourselves over .500 on the year. Not complaining, just informing.
And then there’s the Prem League Advisor. Does anybody actually care about the Advisor’s picks? I don’t know. But we got back on track with a win last week. They’ll try to get us started on a good note Saturday with another parlay.
Speaking of last week…
Where Griff was WRONG:
Trusting the SEC Insider: Georgia at Tennessee TT u22.5, Vanderbilt at South Carolina -3 and Texas A&M at Notre Dame -6.5.
Florida +7.5 at LSU: “At Florida on the road in SEC games with a single-digit spread, Napier is 3-1 ATS.” – Make it 3-2. I felt pretty spoiled with the way this game was going, but five (5) INTs from DJ Lagway and one hell of a final run from LSU were too much for the Gators. Napier isn’t lasting the whole season.
Where Griff was RIGHT:
The other two games where I was wrong: Oklahoma at Temple +23.5 (“I don’t recommend tailing me on this one.”) and Ohio at Ohio State -28.5 (“It does feel like (the spread) should be a lot higher, though.”). I was right to have bad feelings about those games, but I took em anyway. Just can’t help myself sometimes.
The Toretto, Wisconsin at Alabama -20.5: “I just think Bama is who we thought they were before Week 1.” – Luke Fickell is also not the answer at Wisconsin.
Pitt at WVU +7.5: “Last week was the preparation. This week is the execution.” – The trap game. West Virginia loses at Ohio U. the week before, then upsets Pitt in the Backyard Brawl. Too easy.
Let’s get to this week’s picks.
Last week: 9-6 / In 2025: 15-16-1 / Since 2022: 269-260-5
Dominic Toretto’s “Take it or leave it” Pick of the Week (In 2025: 1-2 / Overall: 18-15-1): Arkansas at Memphis +7.5 – This is a huge game for Memphis (3-0). Their HC Ryan Silverfield is 5-2 ATS as a home dawg since 2020. Arkansas had a chance to take down Ole Miss last week, who played their backup QB, and couldn’t do it. Now they have to go on the road to the place where Johnny Manziel played his last professional football game on American soil (for the AAF Memphis Express, March 30th, 2019, when he got concussed by his own teammate and was eating McNuggets in the tunnel during the 3rd quarter, and his team lost to the Orlando Apollos, 34-31. Don’t believe me? I was there.) and win by a touchdown? No thanks.
Texas Tech at Utah UNDER 57.5 – This is the first real game for each team. Both are 3-0 but their opponents’ combined record is 1-11. Kickoff is at 10 a.m. local time. I don’t wanna bet against Texas Tech just yet but this also feels like a good time to remember that Kyle Wittingham wins these kinds of games at Utah. End of the day, I think both offenses will need to adjust to facing better defenses. Could also be a good spot for a 1H under bet.
Maryland +10 at Wisconsin – I just think Wisconsin is cooked. They’re already talking about this being a must win game. The Badgers may still have their backup QB starting this game and the Maryland freshman QB has been pretty good. Maryland’s coach is 12-22 ATS as a road underdog. Fickell is 3-7 ATS as a home favorite of eight (8) points or more.
SMU +7 at TCU – The Iron Skillet rivalry is coming to an end because TCU chose to end it. They’ve played over 100 times. TCU didn’t want to keep it going. I know nothing about these teams besides TCU beating North Carolina in Week 1. This is a spite bet.
UNLV at Miami (OH) +2.5 – The Rebels are crossing three timezones to play in Oxford, Ohio? For a noon kickoff? Whoever scheduled this game for UNLV needs to be fired. Love and Honor.
Oregon State +35.5 at Oregon 1Q -9.5 – Oregon State (0-3) may be the worst team in the country, but this is still a rivalry game, and five touchdowns is a lot. Oregon is also at Penn State next weekend. Dan Lanning wants to leave this game clean. They jump out to a big lead early and the backups will be in after halftime.
Auburn at Oklahoma -7 – Oklahoma has looked like the real deal this year. Revenge game for Auburn QB Jackson Arnold but it would be different if Auburn were the home team here. Kinda like Duke’s Darian Mensah facing Tulane last week, Arnold won’t be able to handle the pressure.
Michigan -2.5 at Nebraska – I like Poggi-ball. He let Bryce Underwood play his brand of football last week and it worked. Sure, it was against Central Michigan, but it worked. Meanwhile, Nebraska has lost 27 straight games vs ranked teams. Dylan Raiola looks good, but Nebraska hasn’t played any serious competition this year. I wouldn’t be shocked if Michigan wins this game by two touchdowns.
Purdue at Notre Dame -25.5 – The Irish need to win convincingly for the rest of the season, and it has to start here. This is THE pick to fade of mine this weekend.
Kent State at Florida State -45.5 – Since last year, Kent State is 0-3 ATS as underdogs of at least 45 points. They’ve lost those games (at Penn St, Texas Tech and Tennessee) by a combined score of 189-14.
Temple +23.5 at Georgia Tech – I think what happened to Temple last week against Oklahoma will help them in the long run. A stat I read: GT HC Brent Key is 15-6 ATS as an underdog but 4-6-1 ATS as a favorite (2-5-1 ATS at home).
West Virginia at Kansas -12.5 – This blog is putting WVU through the gauntlet. Huge letdown at Ohio followed by emotional win at home vs Pitt followed by away game at a rival. Rich Rodriguez is 15-27 ATS as a road dawg, worst record in college football. I don’t think they have it in em to keep this game close.
Florida +7.5 at Miami (FL) – This line should be A LOT bigger. I learned my lesson last week taking OSU -28.5 vs Ohio U.
Illinois at Indiana -6 – This is the first IU game I will be able to watch all year. I gotta take the Hoosiers to cover.
Michigan State at USC OVER 55.5 – Both teams can score. It’s an 8 pm PT/11 pm ET kickoff so maybe Michigan State’s defense will be a little sleepy. I’m gonna wake up Sunday morning with an easy win in the bank.
SEC Insider Picks of the Weekend
Last week: 0-3 / 2025 record: 2-7 / Since 2022: 56-66-3
*the following is verbatim*
Alright – [sic] time re-evaluate. I’ve watched nothing. I’ve read nothing. I’ve consumed nothing. We’re going strictly off of what my eyes have seen. And I know these eyes know ball. Or [sic] atleast they did once upon a time.
Mouth Watering Pick of the Week (0-3 in 2025 / 14-16-1 overall): Florida at Miami (FL) -7.5 – Canes might be the best team in the country. Things are bad for Florida. It’s not a matter of if, but when for Napier. Canes big.
Iowa -2.5 at Rutgers – my eyes after week 1 tell me Rutgers stinks. I think Iowa is scrappy. Give me the Hawkeyes
Illinois +6 at Indiana – Illinois impressed me against Duke. Indiana hasn’t played anyone. They’ve run it up against no one. Google me.
Prem League Advisor Pick of the Weekend
Last week: 1-0 / 2025 record: 1-1 / Since 2023: 9-7
*the following is verbatim*
Brighton Double Chance + Liverpool ML -104
Sticking with the parlays [sic] these week and setting up a perfect Saturday for the lads. Liverpool v. Everton at 7:30 AM EST to start the morning off right. I think this match will be closer than a lot of people think but you can’t not bet on Liverpool at the moment. Parlay that into a 10:00 AM EST match of Brighton v. Tottenham and you’ve got yourself a morning. Brighton at home and Tottenham broke our hearts 2 weeks ago, I like our double chance.
Griffin Weinberg 