CFB Betting: Week 1

I started tracking what I eat on a daily basis a few months ago.

I wasn’t overweight and I didn’t have any health issues that required me to do so, but they say abs are made in the kitchen, so I wanted to see what was holding me back. Also, one of the big reasons why I got my tattoo was to motivate me to get in/stay in shape. What I discovered is how much sodium I was consuming in a day (about 2-3x the recommended amount), all the carbs and fat in some of the processed shit I was eating (goodbye, pretzels) and how much snacking I was doing. I was lifting 5x a week and kept my cardio up, but that wasn’t enough to get me to look like Ryan Gosling in The Fall Guy (a not-great movie).

Since early April, I’ve dropped about 20-25 lbs. while doing 10 minutes of core every day. Getting my 10,000 steps in almost every day has helped with that, too. I’m looking better, but I’m not quite ready to quit my (low-paying) day job to start modeling for Calvin Klein like Kate McKinnon in that SNL skit mocking Justin Bieber. But we’re making progress. That’s all we can do every day. Make a little progress.

For the second year in a row, I wasn’t going to write this blog again to start the season. Last year it was because my at-the-time job was getting overwhelming and the only thing I wanted to do at the end of the day was take a five-finger pour of Teremana to the face. This year, I was just lacking motivation. I stopped writing last season after my dad died and I hadn’t felt the urge to start again. I’ve barely even been gambling over the last few months and haven’t cared to put in the research for football season either (why am I saying that like it’s a bad thing?).

But I got a text the other day. It was from the SEC Insider. Then, the Prem League Advisor chimed in. The chat was going. The blood was flowing. Wheels turning. The bottle of Teremana (Blanco) in my freezer was staring at me like the Green Goblin mask.

I left the bottle in its place……………for now.

But the blog goes on. It must.

There was little-to-no research done for my picks this week. It’s Week 1. I don’t think it makes sense to deep-dive into these games because everyone has been prepping for months for this one game. I just looked at the lines and chose what I thought was right. I’m 2-0 so far (GT +10.5 vs FSU and NDSU +9.5 vs “We Comin” University). Why can’t we go 9-0 today?

Glad to be back. Let’s get to the picks.

CFB (2-0 in 2024 / 32-39-1 in 2023 / 141-135-2 since 2022):

Dominic Toretto’s “Take it or leave it” Pick of the Week (3-1 in 2023, 9-6-1 overall): Miami (FL) -2.5 at Florida – This is more about Florida just being bad than trusting Miami to win. Three straight losing seasons for the Gators and they still have Billy Napier and Graham Mertz. Why do we think it’s going to all-of-a-sudden be better? Mario Cristobal blowing that one game last year when he could’ve taken a knee but decided to run it instead definitely makes me nervous about taking The U, but Florida is just not gonna be good.

Georgia -13.5 vs Clemson – The line keeps moving in favor of Clemson bettors. I don’t care. We know Georgia is competing for a national championship. We can’t say the same about Clemson.

West Virginia +7.5 vs Penn State – Purely picked because of the atmosphere in Morgantown. I’ll for sure take a touchdown (+.5) if you’ll give it to me.

Akron at Ohio State (under 57) – Akron should not score a single point. I don’t think OSU keeps running up the score that high.

Alabama -32 vs Western Kentucky – I have not seen a single negative report out of Alabama camp over the last couple months. Now, I’m not on the message boards, but nothing major from the mainstream media tells me all is well in Tuscaloosa. This should be business as usual for DeBoer’s first game. He needs to make a statement as well.

UNLV at Houston (over 55.5) – Mainstream bias pick of the week.

Notre Dame at Texas A&M (under 46) – Mike Elko knows how to defend Riley Leonard. He also needs to win to get the fanbase fully invested in him. ND lost Joe Alt and another starter this offseason and I think their O-line is young in general. I just don’t see a lot of offense here.

Fresno St. at Michigan (1H under 23.5) – Tailing the SEC Insider’s Mouth Watering Pick of the Week, which is 11-4 overall.

Kentucky -26.5 vs Southern Mississippi – I’ve seen the Cats in action multiple times on NCAA 25 and know what they’re capable of. They HAVE to hit this number.

SEC Insider picks of the weekend (9-5-1 in 2023, 31-24-2 overall):

Mouth Watering Pick of the Week (3-0 in 2023, 11-4 overall): Fresno St. at Michigan (1H under 23.5)

Georgia -13.5 vs Clemson

LSU -4 vs USC

Prem League Advisor pick of the weekend (2-0 in 2023, 2-0 overall):

Brentford (-135 ML) vs Southampton