We’re staying afloat. Solid week last week but we want more winners than losers. It’s a simple concept. I like a lot of overs this week and it makes me nervous but there’s also a part of that that makes me feel good. I’m confused. Let’s get to the picks.
CFB (7-7 last week, 83-60-1 overall):
Dominic Toretto’s “Take it or leave it” Pick of the Week (5-4-1): Liberty at UCONN (+14.5) – bought the half. Liberty is good, but not that much gooder than UCONN. Huskies have covered six straight. Yeah Liberty went into WPS land last week and beat Arkansas, but was it that big of a shocker? Hugh Freeze had his guys prepped for that game and Arkansas are looking like frauds. Now it’s two former P5 coaches going against each other with their startup schools? Jim Mora will keep this close. – WIN
Tuesday: Ball State at Toledo (over 52.5) – LOSS
Wednesday: Buffalo at Central Michigan (-1.5) – WIN
Thursday: Tulsa at Memphis (-6.5) – WIN
Thursday: Georgia Southern (+3.5) at Louisiana Lafayette – LOSS
Indiana at Ohio State (over 57.5) – bought the half. The only concern here is if IU can hold up their end of the bargain because I think OSU will get at least 40 with ease – WIN
LSU at Arkansas (under 62.5) – it’s gonna be cold and windy in Fayetteville. Lot’s of the mainstream media think Arkansas might even win this game and, if they do, in my humble opinion, just my thoughts, I think they win in a low scoring game. WPS. – WIN
Temple at Houston (over 56.5) – Houston will get at least 30, probably a few more. I think their defense is bad enough to give Temple at least three touchdowns (Temple scored 54 last week but has only gotten more than 20 four times). This is a real gamble. – WIN
Maryland at Penn State (-10.5) – mainstream bias pick of the week – WIN
North Texas (+6) at UAB – another mainstream bias pick that many are saying could be an outright winner. Three straight wins and six straight covers for UNT, while UAB has lost three straight and has failed to cover in four straight. Could be a trap. But I’m in. – LOSS
Kansas State at Baylor (-2.5) – see below – LOSS
Georgia (-16.5) at Mississippi State – see below – WIN
TCU at Texas (over 64.5) – bought the half. The Insider (still don’t know) is on the road dog, but I like the over (assuming Ewers doesn’t get hurt). TCU has at least 34 in each game. The only times Texas hasn’t hit that number were against Bama (Ewers hurt) and Iowa State. Sonny Dykes isn’t a defensive coach. – LOSS
North Carolina at Wake Forest (over 77) – why the hell not? – LOSS
8-6 this week (overall: 91-66-1; Toretto’s picks: 6-4-1)
SEC Insider picks of the weekend (2-2 last week, 18-16-1 overall):
Mouth Watering Pick of the Week (8-2): Kansas State at Baylor (-2.5) – “Baylor has bounced back since the loss to WVU. Love the way Aranda has the boys playing.” – LOSS
Alabama at Ole Miss (+12) – “Lane Kiffin wants nothing more than to beat little Nick. The Tide have nothing to play for. The Rebs have everything to play for. Can you imagine the content Lane will pump if he beats Saban? The wheels are falling off in TTown. Don’t be surprised if the Rebs make their way to ATL for the SEC title..” – WIN
Georgia (-16.5) at Mississippi State – “You hear those cowbells? Dawgs have an opportunity to clinch an SEC East Title this weekend. The master motivator has this team rolling. Hangover spot? Take about 10 CBD drops, eat 4 Advil, chug a water… good to go.” – WIN
TCU (+7) at Texas – “#4 team in the country getting no respect? 7 point dogs? Can TCU knock another QB out of the game? Unprecedented stuff there. Something smells here.” – WIN
3-1 this week (overall: 21-17-1; mouthwatering picks: 8-3)
NFL (3-3-1 last week, 42-40-2 overall):
DEN at TEN (under 40) – WIN
NO at PIT (-1) – WIN
MIN (TT o19.5) at BUF – WIN
JAX (+9.5) at KC – LOSS
ARI at LAR (-3) – LOSS
DAL at GB (+3.5) – WIN
LAC at SF (under 45.5) – WIN
WAS at PHI (-7 1H) – LOSS
5-3 (47-43 overall)
Griffin Weinberg 