Category: Blog

**28-9-1.**

That’s my record in college football since I made that promise about three weeks ago. We went 10-4 last week in CFB. NFL is 12-10 in that same span (4-3 last week). Not as flashy as the CFB picks but folks those are winning numbers. We’re gonna keep it rolling (loud) this week with more winners.

I got a wedding to go to on Saturday so I’ll try to update the blog with NFL picks but I’m not guaranteeing that. However, I am guaranteeing that I did my homework this week and we’ll win again.

Let’s get to the picks.

CFB (67-46-1 overall):

Dominic Toretto’s “Take it or leave it” Pick of the Week (3-4-1): Ohio State at Penn State (+15.5) – the last time OSU won this game by more than 16 points was in 2015 (38-10 in Columbus). Since then, games at Penn State had the Nittany Lions winning in ’16, lose by one in ’18 and lose by 13 in the covid year. The Bucs aren’t looking ahead to anything here and neither are the Nittany Lions.

ECU (+3) at BYU – after covering their first two games, BYU is 0-6 ATS. ECU is 2-1 ATS as underdogs but this is more about not trusting BYU.

Boston College at UCONN (+7.5) – this is a both teams suck game so I’m taking the points. UCONN, after losing big to Cuse, Michigan and NC State, have covered four straight games (including the NC State game). BC’s only win this year (of their two total wins) by more than 7 points was a 38-17 win (shoutout Basil and Ellen Prifti).

Arkansas (-3.5) at Auburn – SEC Insider’s (still don’t know) mouthwatering pick

Miami (OH) at Akron (+8.5) – the Zips have covered twice in a row for me and this game is a lot like the last two. Why is Love and Honor laying 8.5 on the road? They beat Robert Morris by double digits but every other game has been a loss or a win by exactly three points.

Florida at Georgia (-22.5) – needed some convincing from the Insider to take this pick. It’s not a look ahead spot (Tennessee at Georgia is next week). This game matters to the Dawgs. It matters to Kirby (South Georgia native). Insider: “Oh man I think (Georgia) wins handily…(Georgia) is getting healthy…(Georgia’s) biggest rival. Take a gander at this.

New Mexico State (-2.5) at UMASS – mainstream bias pick of the week (need to keep track of these)

SMU at Tulsa (+2.5) – read something about Tanner Mordecai having a concussion so he might not play. Tulsa are 2-0 ATS as underdogs. I just have an inkling about this one

***LATE ADD***: Cincinnati at UCF (-0.5) – bought half

Northwestern at Iowa (under 37.5) – they can’t possibly go over this number, can they?

Colorado State (+27.5) at Boise State – this is an eye popping number. Boise is 5-2 but they haven’t won by 27 all year. CSU was the worst team in the country after four games but they’re getting better. Won two of the last three games, all decided by a combined 11 points. I just don’t see why Boise is laying this much (I clearly have a thing for making my picks based on that assessment)

Kentucky at Tennessee (-11.5) – bought the half. Another convincing pick from the Insider: “Night game in (sic) neyland I think they’ll be ready to go”

USC (-15.5) at Arizona – a little nervous about this one cause Arizona has a solid offense, bad season, could bring the energy for this game (the o/u is 76.5). But USC is off a bye (so is Arizona, for the record), they had the scare at Oregon State (who always plays the Trojans well) and USC lost the Utah game that Utah was just meant to win. Every other win has been by at least 16 points.

***LATE ADD***: Ole Miss (-2.5) at Texas A&M – took it after I saw the report of Jimbo canceling his production meeting with ESPN and his agent is in town

Pitt at North Carolina (-3) – can’t remember why I liked this game. This strategy worked last week, FYI (Editor’s note: I’m writing this at 8:30 am so no Teremana has been consumed, for the record)

MTSU at UTEP (-1.5) – there was some bias in this pick as well. However, I MTSU had that upset against a bad Miami team, they beat Colorado State (when they really sucked) and Texas State (?) early in the season. They’ve lost every game by at least 15 points. I’ll bet on the home team here.

SEC Insider picks of the weekend (13-13-1 overall):

Mouth Watering Pick of the Week (6-2): Arkansas (-3.5) at Auburn – “Harsin has lost the locker room. Portal going crazy. WPS my mouth is watering”

Cincinnati at UCF (-1.5)

Florida at Georgia (-22.5) – …continued analysis from above…“Jamon Dumas Johnson said this week they still have a bad taste in their mouth from 2020 and how those seniors went out with a loss there.”

Kentucky at Tennessee (-12) – …continued analysis from above…“My take still stands in Uk being frauds”

NFL (34-31-1 overall):

***above record includes Baltimore (+2.5) at Tampa Bay on TNF***

🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥

Wowee-wow-wow-wow. Two weeks ago we got back on track. Last week we lit that shit on fire like Ghost Rider coming down the ramp about jump the length a football field with 100 yards worth of helicopters covering the turf (I really need to rewatch Ghost Rider cause that movie was awesome and also Wes Bentley).

13-2 in college football. And one of those losses was the (anonymous) SEC Insider’s mouthwatering pick so I was really like 13-1 (Editor’s note: I will continue to follow the mouthwatering picks). Just looking back on why I made my picks last week I was so fucking smart. But it does scare me. Because that’s hard to duplicate and now I’m a little over confident (I took Georgia Tech -2.5 Thursday night and they lost 16-9). I gotta keep my head clear (kinda hard when I’m drinking Teremana while writing this), stick to the science (when applicable) and just do my thing (whatever that means).

NFL went 1-2, but I won in terms of units. I really should be tracking my picks that way but that’s too much math and the Finite (no, not fortnite) math classes at IU burned my brain in ways that I don’t ever want to talk about again. I put 5 units on Bengals -3 and Burrow to Chase saved the day for the win and cover. Then I took over in Chiefs-Bills and live lined Chiefs before their final drive (Mahomes INT) just cause I had some money to work with and wanted action on the game. That was a move that was reflective of CFB Week 5 & NFL Week 4 so I need to stray away from that.

With all that said, let’s get to the picks:

CFB (57-43-1 overall):

Dominic Toretto’s “Take it or leave it” Pick of the Week (3-3-1): Syracuse at Clemson (-13.5) – nice win for Cuse over NC State last week, but they’ve also beaten Wagner, Virginia (by 2), Purdue (by 3) and their only away game of the season was a win at (an improved ) UCONN team. One away game this season! Now they go to Clemson. Outside of the dome. DJ is getting a lot better, Clemson could be a playoff team, I’m not overthinking this – LOSS

Akron (+18.5) at Kent State – literally the same reason I picked Akron last week (+13.5 vs CMU). Both teams suck. Why is Kent State getting this many points? – WIN

Iowa at Ohio State (-28.5) – this line has already moved to OSU -30. I read something about the Buckeyes getting healthy. Yeah Iowa’s got the good defense but both teams are coming off a bye. You think Ryan Day can’t figure this defense out? – WIN

Cincinnati (-3.5) at SMU – I’m mostly riding a friend of mine who seems to think UC rolls here. He’s slightly delusional but he’s been to this game at SMU before so I’ll trust him. UC coming off a bye too (though SMU played last Friday so they have an extra day of rest) – LOSS

Duke (+9) at Miami – I know Duke is fraudulent and they only beat Northwestern by 8, but each of their losses is by 8 or less points. After Miami’s first two sleeper games of the year (wins vs Bethune Cookman and Southern Missouri) they’re 0-4 against the spread and lost outright as favorites twice. I don’t trust the Canes. – WIN

Bowling Green (+6.5) at Central Michigan – can’t remember why I picked this one. I’d fade it (Editor’s note: was not drinking Teremana when I made this pick) – WIN

Marshall at James Madison (-12.5) – I like JMU in a bounce back game at home. They lost by 7 at a solid Georgia Southern team after getting to #25 in the polls. Back home for the first time in two weeks. I will say, Marshall has stayed within 10 points in each of their three losses (Editor’s note: was drinking Teremana when I made this pick) – LOSS

Boston College at Wake Forest (-20.5) – Wake Forest is an actual good team and Boston College is an actual bad team. Both teams off the bye, I’ll take the better team in every respect to win – WIN

Texas at Oklahoma State (over 60.5) – OK State with the points was on my mind but I think the total points is the better bet. Texas has played two great coaches/defenses in Bama and Iowa State and didn’t top 30 points. Every other game they’ve scored at least 34. Oklahoma State has at least 34 in each game and the over in their games has hit in four straight. – WIN

UCLA at Oregon (over 71.5) – kinda like OK State vs TCU last week, there’s so many points I just wanna be in on it. This game will be fun. (UCLA has 40 in every game besides one (32 in that one) and Oregon has at least 41 in each game besides the Georgia game) – WIN

Florida Atlantic at UTEP (+4) – mainstream bias pick of the week – WIN

Mississippi State at Alabama (-20.5) – bought the half point. If Bama loses this game, their season is over. I’m here to report that Bama’s season is not over. Bama has won this game by at least 24 points in four straight years. – WIN

Kansas State at TCU (-3.5) – rider – WIN

**went 10-3 Saturday, 10-4 on the week (updated CFB record: 67-46-1 overall…Toretto’s picks: 3-4-1)**

SEC Insider picks of the weekend (10-12-1 overall):

Mouth Watering Pick of the Week (5-2): Kansas State at TCU (-3.5) – “The TCU train keeps rolling. Can they win the (sic) big 12? Bearcat fans starting to think their transition to the Big 12 may not be as easy as they thought.” – WIN

Purdue at Wisconsin (-2.5) – WIN

Texas A&M at South Carolina (+3) – “Que (sic) Samdstorm.” (Editor’s note: this was not an initial pick by the Insider (no clue who it could be). I received the other three picks then replied ‘No SEC picks…🤔’ and this person responded ‘You’re right. I will add one. Gosh I’ve been in a slump’ and immediately responded with this pick” – WIN

UCLA (+6.5) at Oregon – “Bo Nix hasn’t fallen flat on his face in a while. Looking forward to true dual between him and DTR.” – LOSS

**went 3-1 (updated overall record: 13-13-1…mouthwatering picks: 6-2)**

NFL (29-28-1 overall):

ATL at CIN (over 47.5) – Bengals offense is starting to come together (wouldn’t be surprised if they put up 30 again), their run defense sucks and the Falcons are the best running team in the league so they could steal a couple touchdowns there, mix in a couple field goals and we got it

GB at WAS (+4.5) – why not? Can’t trust the Packers to beat the breaks off anyone (beat Tampa by 2, Chicago on SNF and the Saints in week two by 10), Commanders coming off a win and extended rest and Taylor Heinecke could bring some energy to the offense

TB at CAR (+13.5) – this is a science pick and it’s more about not trusting the Bucs. Plus the Panthers aren’t tanking, they just don’t need CMC to win games

NYJ at DEN (1H u17.5) – read something about the weather being not great for the first half of this game and maybe Brett Rypien needs a half to get into rhythm

KC at SF (u49.5) – gonna be windy in the Bay Area, 49ers have a lock down defense, just feel like this will be a slow game

I promised last week that we’d get back on track, and right on track we are. 5-4-1 in college football and 7-5 in the NFL (*Editor’s note: it should be 7-4 in NFL but I decided to take a pick that someone I know designated as “the lock of the day” when it in fact was not a lock. That team failed to score any points. I will not be riding this person’s picks anymore)

Last week started as a disaster but a late Saturday afternoon winning streak sent me into the green and provided mostly good vibes for the rest of the weekend. And how about that SEC Insider (any guesses?) getting right on track? A good bounce back in the mouthwatering pick and the only blemish was trusting noted pervert Brent Musberger.

So we’re rolling along and throwing out winners for another week. Let’s get to the picks.

CFB (44-40-1 overall):

Dominic Toretto’s “Take it or leave it” Pick of the Week (2-3-1): Nebraska (+14) at Purdue – Purdue’s only game this year decided by more than 14 points? A 56-0 win over the now 1-4 Indiana State Cyclones. Nebraska lost their first game under their new head coach (?) but have won the last two. 14 points is just too much. – WIN

Central Michigan at Akron (+13.5) – A good old-fashioned science pick. They’re both 1-5 so idk why the hell Central Michigan is laying that much on the road. Maybe if I did some research it’d make sense but that’s not happening – WIN

Penn State at Michigan (-6.5) – bought the half. I’ll take the Wolverines in the Big House in a big game. Plus, Penn State has screwed me a couple times this year. – WIN

UCONN (+9.5) at Ball State – a little mainstream bias came with this pick but Ball State’s last three games have been decided by nine points or less and, after losing to Syracuse, Michigan and NC State in consecutive weeks, UCONN’s playing a more realistic schedule and has won the last two. – WIN

Alabama at Tennessee (+7.5) – bought the half. Have to bet on this game and I wanna believe in Rocky Top – WIN

Vanderbilt at Georgia (-38) – Dawgs have the bye week before playing Florida, I think they wanna keep the #1 ranking so they blow out Vandy easy – WIN

Oklahoma State at TCU (over 68) – this could be a bad play but it’s a fun one to bet on. At least 34 points in every game for OK State and at least 38 for TCU in every game. So the under will definitely hit. – WIN

Wisconsin (-7.5) at Michigan State – I don’t trust Mel Tucker to rally the troops for this one. He made some comments in a press conference about consistency and other coach-speak stuff. I think he’s fine with getting bought out from that $95 million contract and I’ll ride with the interim coach thing for Wisconsin again – LOSS

Memphis (+5.5) at ECU – mainstream bias. The source said five points is too much and, just looking at ECU’s schedule, they haven’t done anything great since that first game against NC State and that wasn’t even that impressive. Congrats, you beat USF by 20 points. I’ll ride with the bias – WIN

Mississippi State (-4) at Kentucky – always riding with the Insider – LOSS

*I will absolutely add to the card

Late adds:

Kansas at Oklahoma (over 65) – WIN

Iowa State (+15.5) at Texas – WIN

Monmouth at Maine (over 60.5) – Matthew 28:19 > Larry David says if you like lobster it doesn’t mean you should convince the world to eat lobster > the seafood capital state of the United States? Maine > it’s Homecoming for the Black Bears and they host Monmouth > Monmouth averages about 40 per game and nearly 500 yards of offense while Maine is averaging over 418 yards and 22 points per game over the last three – WIN

Alabama at Tennessee (over 66.5) – WIN

**went 13-2 (updated overall record: 57-42-1…Toretto’s picks: 3-3-1)**

SEC Insider picks of the weekend (9-8-1 overall):

Mouth Watering Pick of the Week (5-1): Mississippi State (-4) at Kentucky – “I think (Kentucky) are one of the most overrated teams in the country with or without (Will Levis)” – LOSS

Penn State (+7) at Michigan – LOSS

Vanderbilt at Georgia (-38 and over 56.5) – COVERED SPREAD, LOST OVER

USC at Utah (-3) – LOSS

BONUS GOLF PICK OF THE WEEK: Sepp Straka top-10 finish at the ZOZO thing – “Straka last 3 starts on Zoysia (?) grass (sic) 2,3,2″ (*Editor’s note: Straka is currently T-49 and Even after two rounds) – LOSS (*Editor’s note: I will no longer be accepting golf bets on this blog and I won’t count this as a loss against the overall record, it’s just a loss of trust)

**went 1-4 (updated overall record: 10-12-1)…mouthwatering picks: 5-2**

NFL (28-26-1 overall):

will add Sunday morning

Bengals (-3) at Saints – that’s it. The winnings from yesterday are going into this. Must win for the Who Deys. Saints’ top three receivers and Lattimore are out. Return to New Orleans for Burrow and Chase (and Collins). Burrow was wearing Chase’s national championship jersey into the superdome. Funny stat though: Andy Dalton is 2-0 vs the Bengals (Cowboys won in 2020 and Bears won in 2021).

**will probably take the over in Chiefs-Bills and some side on the SNF game**

Well last week sucked. The two games I felt were absolute locks (Georgia and Indiana) were in fact, not locks. It was a great start to the week with the Bengals taking care of business against the Dolphins (thoughts and prayers) but almost nothing went right after that. The Houston overs trend is dead (*Editor’s note: I wrote this before Houston-Memphis hit the over on Friday night), USC is no longer a ride or die pick, and some fool at my friend’s engagement party told me to trust the mainstream bias and take Virginia +2 against Duke. Final score? Vagina-17 Duke-38. Ya know, someone once told me, “Alcohol and mainstream bias is no way to go through life, son.” Truer words have never been spoken. (*Editor’s note: I took SMU on Wednesday night so we’re 0-1 this week)

College football finished 4-8.

I will say I made some smart picks. UTSA TT was easy, OU +11.5 (Ohio, Reid), and Kansas will be on the card once more this week.

NFL? Actually decent. 6-4-1 (BUF -3 pushed). Thought I did worse but a winning week is a winning week. Would love to do that again but it’ll be a negative start to the week with this Thursday night game making me want to drink another glass of Teremana (I took Broncos -3 and as I’m writing this it’s 12-9 Colts in OT)

(*Editor’s note: Nathaniel Hackett is a fucking idiot).

An important note: I think the week was destined to fail because I didn’t put in the effort on last week’s blog, and that’s on me. The SEC Insider (your guess is as good as mine) sent me two wrong lines and I only caught one of em. Just lazy by me.

I just want to say one thing.

To the fans and everybody in my blog’s Nation, I’m sorry, extremely sorry.

I promise you one thing, a lot of good will come out of this.

Let’s get to the picks.

CFB (39-37 overall)

Dominic Toretto’s “Take it or leave it” Pick of the Week (2-3): TCU at Kansas (+7) – I’m riding the Kansas train. TCU has beaten Colorado (one of the worst teams in the country), Texas State (?), an awful SMU team and Oklahoma (They’ll be good under Venables, just not this year). Kansas has been tested and will show out for this one. – PUSH

Texas at Oklahoma (over 65.5) – Red River rivalry – LOSS

Tennessee at LSU (+3) – riding with the Insider here – LOSS

Buffalo at Bowling Green (+2.5) – bought half point. Mainstream bias pick – LOSS

Kent State at Miami Ohio (+5) – this is me not trusting Kent State still. Love and Honor pick of the week – WIN

Wisconsin (-10.5) at Northwestern – Northwestern sucks. Mutual decision firing at Wisconsin this week. Feels like an easy win – WIN

**Late add: Utah at UCLA (over 64.5) – WIN

Kansas State at Iowa State (+1.5) – feels like a “Matt Campbell will get talked about in NFL circles again” type of game. Cyclones can absolutely win this – WIN

**Went 5-3-1 on Saturday. Updated record: 44-40-1 overall**

SEC Insider picks of the weekend (7-7-1 overall):

Mouth Watering Pick of the Week (4-1): Ole Miss (-17) at Vanderbilt – WIN

South Carolina (+6) at Kentucky – WIN

Tennessee at LSU (+3) – (sic) “a home team getting points, what’s better than that?” Musberger – LOSS

**updated overall record: 9-8-1…updated mouthwatering pick record: 5-1**

NFL (21-21-1):

Giants (+8.5) at GB

Titans (PK) at Commanders

Texans at Jaguars (-6.5) – bought half

Falcons at Bucs (under 46.5)

Dolphins at Jets (+3.5)

Steelers at Bills (-13.5) – bough half

Cowboys (+5.5) at Rams

Bengals (+3.5) at Ravens

Quick write-up. CFB went 10-7 last week and NFL 5-4. SEC Insider’s mouthwatering picks are now 4-0. The Bengals came through in a huge spot against Miami. I took -4 and TT o26.5 so thank the lord for Teddy two (2) gloves finding an open Vonn Bell and Joe Burrow getting the job done at the end. I’ll probably tweet out the NFL picks once I get a good look at the Sunday slate. Onto the CFB picks:

CFB (35-28 overall):

Dominic Toretto’s “Take it or leave it” Pick of the Week (2-2): Georgia (-27.5) at Missouri – I had this Saturday night and the SEC Insider (remains anonymous) confirmed it. Dawgs kept Kent State too close last week so Kirby probably kicked their ass in practice. Mizzou had a devastating loss. UGA rolls.

Tulane at Houston (over 54.5) – just keep riding the Houston overs (4-0 this season)

UTSA (TT o34) at MTSU – let down game for MTSU after beating Miami and only time UTSA didn’t hit that number was when they scored 20 in a loss at Texas.

Michigan at Iowa (+11.5) – there’s just something about top 5 teams going to Kinnick Stadium (there is a stat but I’m not looking it up). Only thing that scares me is this isn’t a night game (11 am central kickoff)

Ohio (+11.5) at Kent State – Kent state gave their souls to try and win at Sanford Stadium. They’re in the graveyard like Spurrier’s visor

Northwestern at Penn State (-24.5) – Northwestern may be the worst power 5 team in the nation and they’re too focused on building smaller stadiums instead of covering spreads

Iowa State at Kansas (+3) – home dogs and Kansas might be for real

LSU (-7.5) at Auburn – Bryan Harsin probably pooped his pants after escaping for a win against Mizzou. He’s gonna have diarrhea this week. And LSU’s loss to Florida State is looking better and better each week

Indiana (+4.5) – at Nebraska – this has my science written all over it. Why is Nebraska favored in any game? Tom Allen is probably a fraud but he can beat Nebraska. And That former Nebraska coach who also called Tom Allen a fraud (“clown”) got skirted on social media for all the wrong reasons

Arizona State at USC (-24.5) – Toretto’s pick last week couldn’t get it done but Oregon State has a history of giving USC fits. Arizona State is a program in shambles. I’m not overthinking this one

SEC Insider picks of the weekend (7-4-1 overall):

Mouth Watering Pick of the Week (4-0): Georgia (-27.5) at Missouri – “mouthwatering faucet rain river” (*Editor’s note: ?)

Kentucky at Ole Miss (+7)

Oklahoma State at Baylor (-2) – *Editor’s note: the Insider texted me Baylor +2 but they, in fact, are not +2, so this is pending (*Editor’s note to the Editor’s note: “I had it flipped my fault”)… -2 it is

NFL (*15-16):

*Includes Bengals -4 and TT o26.5*