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Wowee-wow-wow-wow. Two weeks ago we got back on track. Last week we lit that shit on fire like Ghost Rider coming down the ramp about jump the length a football field with 100 yards worth of helicopters covering the turf (I really need to rewatch Ghost Rider cause that movie was awesome and also Wes Bentley).
13-2 in college football. And one of those losses was the (anonymous) SEC Insider’s mouthwatering pick so I was really like 13-1 (Editor’s note: I will continue to follow the mouthwatering picks). Just looking back on why I made my picks last week I was so fucking smart. But it does scare me. Because that’s hard to duplicate and now I’m a little over confident (I took Georgia Tech -2.5 Thursday night and they lost 16-9). I gotta keep my head clear (kinda hard when I’m drinking Teremana while writing this), stick to the science (when applicable) and just do my thing (whatever that means).
NFL went 1-2, but I won in terms of units. I really should be tracking my picks that way but that’s too much math and the Finite (no, not fortnite) math classes at IU burned my brain in ways that I don’t ever want to talk about again. I put 5 units on Bengals -3 and Burrow to Chase saved the day for the win and cover. Then I took over in Chiefs-Bills and live lined Chiefs before their final drive (Mahomes INT) just cause I had some money to work with and wanted action on the game. That was a move that was reflective of CFB Week 5 & NFL Week 4 so I need to stray away from that.
With all that said, let’s get to the picks:
CFB (57-43-1 overall):
Dominic Toretto’s “Take it or leave it” Pick of the Week (3-3-1): Syracuse at Clemson (-13.5) – nice win for Cuse over NC State last week, but they’ve also beaten Wagner, Virginia (by 2), Purdue (by 3) and their only away game of the season was a win at (an improved ) UCONN team. One away game this season! Now they go to Clemson. Outside of the dome. DJ is getting a lot better, Clemson could be a playoff team, I’m not overthinking this – LOSS
Akron (+18.5) at Kent State – literally the same reason I picked Akron last week (+13.5 vs CMU). Both teams suck. Why is Kent State getting this many points? – WIN
Iowa at Ohio State (-28.5) – this line has already moved to OSU -30. I read something about the Buckeyes getting healthy. Yeah Iowa’s got the good defense but both teams are coming off a bye. You think Ryan Day can’t figure this defense out? – WIN
Cincinnati (-3.5) at SMU – I’m mostly riding a friend of mine who seems to think UC rolls here. He’s slightly delusional but he’s been to this game at SMU before so I’ll trust him. UC coming off a bye too (though SMU played last Friday so they have an extra day of rest) – LOSS
Duke (+9) at Miami – I know Duke is fraudulent and they only beat Northwestern by 8, but each of their losses is by 8 or less points. After Miami’s first two sleeper games of the year (wins vs Bethune Cookman and Southern Missouri) they’re 0-4 against the spread and lost outright as favorites twice. I don’t trust the Canes. – WIN
Bowling Green (+6.5) at Central Michigan – can’t remember why I picked this one. I’d fade it (Editor’s note: was not drinking Teremana when I made this pick) – WIN
Marshall at James Madison (-12.5) – I like JMU in a bounce back game at home. They lost by 7 at a solid Georgia Southern team after getting to #25 in the polls. Back home for the first time in two weeks. I will say, Marshall has stayed within 10 points in each of their three losses (Editor’s note: was drinking Teremana when I made this pick) – LOSS
Boston College at Wake Forest (-20.5) – Wake Forest is an actual good team and Boston College is an actual bad team. Both teams off the bye, I’ll take the better team in every respect to win – WIN
Texas at Oklahoma State (over 60.5) – OK State with the points was on my mind but I think the total points is the better bet. Texas has played two great coaches/defenses in Bama and Iowa State and didn’t top 30 points. Every other game they’ve scored at least 34. Oklahoma State has at least 34 in each game and the over in their games has hit in four straight. – WIN
UCLA at Oregon (over 71.5) – kinda like OK State vs TCU last week, there’s so many points I just wanna be in on it. This game will be fun. (UCLA has 40 in every game besides one (32 in that one) and Oregon has at least 41 in each game besides the Georgia game) – WIN
Florida Atlantic at UTEP (+4) – mainstream bias pick of the week – WIN
Mississippi State at Alabama (-20.5) – bought the half point. If Bama loses this game, their season is over. I’m here to report that Bama’s season is not over. Bama has won this game by at least 24 points in four straight years. – WIN
Kansas State at TCU (-3.5) – rider – WIN
**went 10-3 Saturday, 10-4 on the week (updated CFB record: 67-46-1 overall…Toretto’s picks: 3-4-1)**
SEC Insider picks of the weekend (10-12-1 overall):
Mouth Watering Pick of the Week (5-2): Kansas State at TCU (-3.5) – “The TCU train keeps rolling. Can they win the (sic) big 12? Bearcat fans starting to think their transition to the Big 12 may not be as easy as they thought.” – WIN
Purdue at Wisconsin (-2.5) – WIN
Texas A&M at South Carolina (+3) – “Que (sic) Samdstorm.” (Editor’s note: this was not an initial pick by the Insider (no clue who it could be). I received the other three picks then replied ‘No SEC picks…🤔’ and this person responded ‘You’re right. I will add one. Gosh I’ve been in a slump’ and immediately responded with this pick” – WIN
UCLA (+6.5) at Oregon – “Bo Nix hasn’t fallen flat on his face in a while. Looking forward to true dual between him and DTR.” – LOSS
**went 3-1 (updated overall record: 13-13-1…mouthwatering picks: 6-2)**
NFL (29-28-1 overall):
ATL at CIN (over 47.5) – Bengals offense is starting to come together (wouldn’t be surprised if they put up 30 again), their run defense sucks and the Falcons are the best running team in the league so they could steal a couple touchdowns there, mix in a couple field goals and we got it
GB at WAS (+4.5) – why not? Can’t trust the Packers to beat the breaks off anyone (beat Tampa by 2, Chicago on SNF and the Saints in week two by 10), Commanders coming off a win and extended rest and Taylor Heinecke could bring some energy to the offense
TB at CAR (+13.5) – this is a science pick and it’s more about not trusting the Bucs. Plus the Panthers aren’t tanking, they just don’t need CMC to win games
NYJ at DEN (1H u17.5) – read something about the weather being not great for the first half of this game and maybe Brett Rypien needs a half to get into rhythm
KC at SF (u49.5) – gonna be windy in the Bay Area, 49ers have a lock down defense, just feel like this will be a slow game
Griffin Weinberg 